PSG vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app
PSG
HomeFull Time
5 - 2
HT: 2 - 1
Wednesday 11 March
Chelsea
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.95
X4.00
23.78
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
92
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 2.71 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.20 conc vs Away 1.29 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
95%
2%
2%
PSG
Draw
Chelsea
Match Preview
At Parc des Princes on March 11, 2026, PSG will face Chelsea in a significant Champions League fixture.
PSG enters the match with a 50% win rate in their last 6 games and an impressive 12 wins in 18 home matches this season, while Chelsea has secured 5 wins out of 8 matches played in the Champions League this campaign, despite suffering 2 losses in their last 4 away matches.
Looking at their head-to-head record in the Champions League, PSG and Chelsea have a balanced history with both teams winning half of their matchups.
The algorithm predicts a draw between PSG and Chelsea.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
PSG
Starting 11
27Pedro Fernández Sarmiento
0.95
29Bradley Barcola
CF6.78
7Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
LW7.49
14Désiré Doué
8.17
17Vitinha
CM7.84
-1Warren Zaïre-Emery
6.89
2Achraf Hakimi
RB7.37
-1Illia Zabarnyi
CB3.44
25Nuno Mendes
LB7.25
51Willian Pacho
CB6.94
-1Matvei Safonov
GK2.97
Substitutes
-1Gonçalo Ramos
CF5.37
10Ousmane Dembélé (Injured)
RW6.93
-1Lee Kang-in
CAM6.12
24Senny Mayulu (Injured)
5.15
49Ibrahim Mbaye
2.30
-Lucas Lopes Beraldo
5Marquinhos
CB6.23
-1Lucas Hernández
CB3.08
30Lucas Chevalier
4.25
Chelsea
Starting 11
7Pedro Neto
RW5.66
-1Alejandro Garnacho
LW6.03
9Liam Delap
5.19
-1Andrey Santos
CM4.81
45Roméo Lavia
CDM4.39
4Tosin Adarabioyo
CB5.25
5Benoît Badiashile
CB4.29
-Mamadou Sarr
-1Jorrel Hato
2.43
1Robert Sánchez
GK6.00
Substitutes
20João Pedro
CF5.87
-1Marc Guiu
CF0.88
-Dário Essugo (Injured)
CDM
-Jesse Derry
3Marc Cucurella
LB5.91
23Trevoh Chalobah
CB4.96
24Reece James
RB6.10
27Malo Gusto
RB5.72
-Teddy Sharman-Lowe
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 10 / 38 matchesPSGvsChelsea
radarTeam Profile
PSG
Chelsea
sports_soccer
98Attack18
shield
38Defense16
swap_horiz
98Possession24
gps_fixed
63Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
80Creativity5
gavel
70Discipline53
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
26Goals Scored55
15Goals Conceded67
2Clean Sheets7
1Penalty Goals6
gavelDiscipline
7Yellow Cards68
2Red Cards4
League Standings Context
For PSG
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
For Chelsea
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
61.9/ 117.0
Dangerous Attacks
53.4/ 104.7
40.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
17.3
Total Shots
14.2
68.0%
Possession
60.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
2.5
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2
Head-to-Head Summary
2
PSG Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Chelsea Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | PSG | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 82%85/104 | 38%39/104 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65%68/104 | 31%32/104 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56%58/104 | 30%31/104 |
* Based on last 104 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: PSG
Fr1
PSG
1 - 3
Monaco
UCL
PSG
2 - 2
Monaco
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
UCL
PSG
1 - 1
Newcastle United
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Lille
Home Games: PSG
Fr1
PSG
1 - 3
Monaco
UCL
PSG
2 - 2
Monaco
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
UCL
PSG
1 - 1
Newcastle United
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Lille
Last 6: Chelsea
FA
Wrexham FC
2 - 2
Chelsea
EPL
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Wolverhampton
1 - 3
Chelsea
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
Away Games: Chelsea
FA
Wrexham FC
2 - 2
Chelsea
EPL
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Wolverhampton
1 - 3
Chelsea
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
history Recent Form
PSGL
W
W
L
W
ChelseaW
L
D
D
W
group Head to Head
PL13 Jul 2025
3-0
PL9 Mar 2016
1-2
PL16 Feb 2016
2-1
PL11 Mar 2015
2-2
PL17 Feb 2015
1-1
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
7 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
5 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
71%
5 / 7 matches
PSG CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Chelsea CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
13 Jul 2025
Chelsea
3 - 0
PSG
9 Mar 2016
Chelsea
1 - 2
PSG
16 Feb 2016
PSG
2 - 1
Chelsea
11 Mar 2015
Chelsea
2 - 2
PSG
17 Feb 2015
PSG
1 - 1
Chelsea
8 Apr 2014
Chelsea
2 - 0
PSG
2 Apr 2014
PSG
3 - 1
Chelsea
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
2.00
Both teams have equal form.
PSG
1 - 3
Monaco
Le Havre
0 - 1
PSG
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 - 3
Chelsea
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.95
X4.00
23.78
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
92
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 2.71 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.20 conc vs Away 1.29 conc
Match Preview
At Parc des Princes on March 11, 2026, PSG will face Chelsea in a significant Champions League fixture.
PSG enters the match with a 50% win rate in their last 6 games and an impressive 12 wins in 18 home matches this season, while Chelsea has secured 5 wins out of 8 matches played in the Champions League this campaign, despite suffering 2 losses in their last 4 away matches.
Looking at their head-to-head record in the Champions League, PSG and Chelsea have a balanced history with both teams winning half of their matchups.
The algorithm predicts a draw between PSG and Chelsea.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 10 / 38 matchesPSGvsChelsea
radarTeam Profile
PSG
Chelsea
sports_soccer
98Attack18
shield
38Defense16
swap_horiz
98Possession24
gps_fixed
63Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
80Creativity5
gavel
70Discipline53
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
26Goals Scored55
15Goals Conceded67
2Clean Sheets7
1Penalty Goals6
gavelDiscipline
7Yellow Cards68
2Red Cards4
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
61.9/ 117.0
Dangerous Attacks
53.4/ 104.7
40.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
17.3
Total Shots
14.2
68.0%
Possession
60.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
2
PSG Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Chelsea Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Past Matches
Last 6: PSG
Fr1
PSG
1 - 3
Monaco
UCL
PSG
2 - 2
Monaco
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
UCL
PSG
1 - 1
Newcastle United
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Lille
Home Games: PSG
Fr1
PSG
1 - 3
Monaco
UCL
PSG
2 - 2
Monaco
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
UCL
PSG
1 - 1
Newcastle United
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Lille
Last 6: Chelsea
FA
Wrexham FC
2 - 2
Chelsea
EPL
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Wolverhampton
1 - 3
Chelsea
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
Away Games: Chelsea
FA
Wrexham FC
2 - 2
Chelsea
EPL
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Wolverhampton
1 - 3
Chelsea
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
group Head to Head
PL13 Jul 2025
3-0
PL9 Mar 2016
1-2
PL16 Feb 2016
2-1
PL11 Mar 2015
2-2
PL17 Feb 2015
1-1
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
2.00
Both teams have equal form.
PSG
1 - 3
Monaco
Le Havre
0 - 1
PSG
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 - 3
Chelsea
donut_small Win Probabilities
95%
2%
2%
PSG
Draw
Chelsea
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
PSG
Starting 11
27Pedro Fernández Sarmiento
0.95
29Bradley Barcola
CF6.78
7Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
LW7.49
14Désiré Doué
8.17
17Vitinha
CM7.84
-1Warren Zaïre-Emery
6.89
2Achraf Hakimi
RB7.37
-1Illia Zabarnyi
CB3.44
25Nuno Mendes
LB7.25
51Willian Pacho
CB6.94
-1Matvei Safonov
GK2.97
Substitutes
-1Gonçalo Ramos
CF5.37
10Ousmane Dembélé (Injured)
RW6.93
-1Lee Kang-in
CAM6.12
24Senny Mayulu (Injured)
5.15
49Ibrahim Mbaye
2.30
-Lucas Lopes Beraldo
5Marquinhos
CB6.23
-1Lucas Hernández
CB3.08
30Lucas Chevalier
4.25
Chelsea
Starting 11
7Pedro Neto
RW5.66
-1Alejandro Garnacho
LW6.03
9Liam Delap
5.19
-1Andrey Santos
CM4.81
45Roméo Lavia
CDM4.39
4Tosin Adarabioyo
CB5.25
5Benoît Badiashile
CB4.29
-Mamadou Sarr
-1Jorrel Hato
2.43
1Robert Sánchez
GK6.00
Substitutes
20João Pedro
CF5.87
-1Marc Guiu
CF0.88
-Dário Essugo (Injured)
CDM
-Jesse Derry
3Marc Cucurella
LB5.91
23Trevoh Chalobah
CB4.96
24Reece James
RB6.10
27Malo Gusto
RB5.72
-Teddy Sharman-Lowe
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
League Standings Context
For PSG
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
For Chelsea
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
Team Performance (Avg)
2.5
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2
Recent Form Stats
| Market | PSG | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 82%85/104 | 38%39/104 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65%68/104 | 31%32/104 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56%58/104 | 30%31/104 |
* Based on last 104 matches
history Recent Form
PSGL
W
W
L
W
ChelseaW
L
D
D
W
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
7 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
5 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
71%
5 / 7 matches
PSG CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Chelsea CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
13 Jul 2025
Chelsea
3 - 0
PSG
9 Mar 2016
Chelsea
1 - 2
PSG
16 Feb 2016
PSG
2 - 1
Chelsea
11 Mar 2015
Chelsea
2 - 2
PSG
17 Feb 2015
PSG
1 - 1
Chelsea
8 Apr 2014
Chelsea
2 - 0
PSG
2 Apr 2014
PSG
3 - 1
Chelsea
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