PSG vs Monaco Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

PSG

PSG

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Wednesday 25 February
Monaco

Monaco

Away
PSGTimelineMonaco
1st Half
Zakaria D.
24'
Akliouche M. (Coulibaly M.)
sports_soccer
45'
2nd Half
Vanderson
48'
Coulibaly M.
55'
Coulibaly M.
58'
Marquinhos (Doue D.)
sports_soccer
60'
Teze J.Out: Bamba A.
sync_alt
62'
Kvaratskhelia K. (Hakimi A.)
sports_soccer
66'
Lee Kang-InOut: Barcola B.
sync_alt
69'
Biereth M.Out: Balogun F.
sync_alt
74'
Adingra S.Out: Akliouche M.
sync_alt
74'
Mawissa C.Out: Zakaria D.
sync_alt
74'
Hernandez L.Out: Mendes N.
sync_alt
80'
Fernandez D.Out: Zaire-Emery W.
sync_alt
87'
Ramos G.Out: Doue D.
sync_alt
88'
Teze J.
sports_soccer
90+1'
Nibombe S.Out: Vanderson
sync_alt
90+4'
Nibombe S.
90+4'
Pocognoli S.
90+4'
Safonov M.
90+5'

Top stats

2.13Expected goals (xG)1.17
73%Ball possession27%
21Total shots10
6Shots on target4
4Big chances3
8Corner kicks4
93% (660/707)Passes78% (208/266)
1Yellow cards6
0Red cards1

Shots

2.13Expected goals (xG)1.17
2.82xG on target (xGOT)1.48
21Total shots10
6Shots on target4
6Shots off target4
9Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box7
11Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances3
8Corner kicks4
37Touches in opposition box17
2Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
12Free kicks8

Passes

93% (660/707)Passes78% (208/266)
54% (22/41)Long passes40% (17/43)
92% (207/226)Passes in final third67% (52/78)
24% (4/17)Crosses22% (2/9)
1.81Expected assists (xA)0.88
15Throw ins8

Defense

8Fouls12
60% (9/15)Tackles65% (13/20)
50Duels won43
9Clearances15
10Interceptions14
1Errors leading to shot1
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4
1.48xGOT faced2.82
-0.52Goals prevented0.82
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.26
X6.91
210.10

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
64
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.25 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.40 conc vs Away 2.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

89%
6%
6%
PSG
Draw
Monaco

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) will face Monaco in a crucial Champions League showdown at the Parc des Princes on February 25, 2026, GMT.

Both teams will battle it out in the elimination phase, aiming to secure a pivotal victory in their quest to progress in the competition.

PSG has been formidable this season, notching 69 wins out of 100 matches and displaying strength with 4 victories in their last 6 home matches in the Champions League.

On the other hand, Monaco has faced challenges on the road, with 2 losses in their recent 4 away fixtures in the Champions League.

In their recent Champions League head-to-head clash, PSG maintained a perfect record with a 100% win rate in the past encounter against Monaco.

As the two teams prepare to meet again, PSG will look to continue their dominance while Monaco seeks to turn the tide in this crucial fixture.

Prediction: PSG to emerge triumphant with a 4-1 victory.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

PSG

Starting 11
-1Gonçalo Ramos
CF5.96
27Pedro Fernández Sarmiento
1.11
29Bradley Barcola
CF6.80
14Désiré Doué
8.15
-1Lee Kang-in
CAM6.15
-1Warren Zaïre-Emery
6.90
2Achraf Hakimi
RB7.42
-Lucas Lopes Beraldo
-1Illia Zabarnyi
CB3.87
-1Lucas Hernández
CB2.63
-1Matvei Safonov
GK2.53
Substitutes
7Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
LW7.43
17Vitinha
CM7.87
49Ibrahim Mbaye
2.59
87João Neves
6.21
-Renato Bellucci Marin
5Marquinhos
CB6.09
25Nuno Mendes
LB7.24
51Willian Pacho
CB6.97
30Lucas Chevalier
4.78

Monaco

Starting 11
9Folarin Balogun
CF6.92
24Simon Adingra
LW6.48
27Krepin Diatta
RW6.69
6Denis Zakaria
CDM6.77
15Lamine Camara
7.03
-1Mamadou Coulibaly (Injured)
6.11
-1Jordan Teze
RB6.22
-1Thilo Kehrer
CB6.55
12Caio Henrique
LB6.16
25Wout Faes (Injured)
CB6.33
16Philipp Köhn
GK5.41
Substitutes
-Paris Josua Brunner (Injured)
-1Ansu Fati
LW5.71
14Mika Bieveth
4.38
-1Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo
0.71
23Aladji Bamba
3.69
-Jules Stawiecki
-Samuel Kondi Nibombé
-Ilane Touré
-1Yann Lienard
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 matches
PSGvsMonaco

radarTeam Profile

PSG
Monaco
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
99Attack46
shield
40Defense61
swap_horiz
98Possession50
gps_fixed
64Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
80Creativity44
gavel
69Discipline47

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

24Goals Scored10
13Goals Conceded17
2Clean Sheets4
38Big Chances29
28Big Chances Missed22
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

203Total Shots124
71Shots on Target44

swap_horizPassing & Possession

69.2%Avg Possession43.0%
6,123Total Passes3,586
90.9%Pass Accuracy82.4%

shieldDefending

147Tackles159
64Interceptions83
15Saves30
53.2%Duels Won51.0%

gavelDiscipline

69Fouls103
6Yellow Cards16
2Red Cards1
17Offsides9

analyticsOther

62Corners44
95Successful Dribbles75
3Errors Leading to Goal2
6.97Avg Rating6.78

League Standings Context

For PSG

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Inter850315
11PSG842214
12Newcastle United842214

For Monaco

PosTeamPWDLPts
20Galatasaray831410
21Monaco824210
22Qarabag831410

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

61.3/ 116.4
Dangerous Attacks
46.0/ 96.9
40.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
17.2
Total Shots
12.5
68.0%
Possession
50.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

4
PSG Wins
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Monaco Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketPSGMonaco
Over 1.5 Goals
82%83/101
23%23/101
Over 2.5 Goals
65%66/101
22%22/101
Both Teams to Score
55%56/101
22%22/101
* Based on last 101 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: PSG

Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
UCL
PSG
1 - 1
Newcastle United
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Lille
CdF
PSG
0 - 1
Paris FC
FrC
PSG
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille

Home Games: PSG

Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
UCL
PSG
1 - 1
Newcastle United
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Lille
CdF
PSG
0 - 1
Paris FC
FrC
PSG
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille

Last 6: Monaco

Fr1
Lens
2 - 3
Monaco
Fr1
Nice
0 - 0
Monaco
CdF
Strasbourg
3 - 1
Monaco
Fr1
Le Havre
0 - 0
Monaco
UCL
Real Madrid
6 - 1
Monaco
CdF
US Orléans
1 - 3
Monaco

Away Games: Monaco

Fr1
Lens
2 - 3
Monaco
Fr1
Nice
0 - 0
Monaco
CdF
Strasbourg
3 - 1
Monaco
Fr1
Le Havre
0 - 0
Monaco
UCL
Real Madrid
6 - 1
Monaco
CdF
US Orléans
1 - 3
Monaco

history Recent Form

PSGPSG
1.9 GPG
W
L
W
W
W
MonacoMonaco
1.2 GPG
W
W
D
W
D

group Head to Head

PL17 Feb 2026
Monaco
2-3
PSG
PL29 Nov 2025
Monaco
1-0
PSG
PL7 Feb 2025
PSG
4-1
Monaco
PL5 Jan 2025
PSG
1-0
Monaco
PL18 Dec 2024
Monaco
2-4
PSG
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
84%
31 / 37 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
19 / 37 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
15 / 37 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
20 / 37 matches
PSG CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Monaco CS
22%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 Feb 2026
Monaco
2 - 3
PSG
29 Nov 2025
Monaco
1 - 0
PSG
7 Feb 2025
PSG
4 - 1
Monaco
5 Jan 2025
PSG
1 - 0
Monaco
18 Dec 2024
Monaco
2 - 4
PSG
1 Mar 2024
Monaco
0 - 0
PSG
24 Nov 2023
PSG
5 - 2
Monaco
11 Feb 2023
Monaco
3 - 1
PSG
28 Aug 2022
PSG
1 - 1
Monaco
20 Mar 2022
Monaco
3 - 0
PSG
12 Dec 2021
PSG
2 - 0
Monaco
19 May 2021
Monaco
0 - 2
PSG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
PSG
1.90
Form (Overall)
Monaco
1.20

PSG is +58% better in terms of Points Per Game

PSG
3 - 0
Metz
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Strasbourg
1 - 2
PSG
Auxerre
0 - 1
PSG
Lens
2 - 3
Monaco
Monaco
3 - 1
Nantes
Nice
0 - 0
Monaco
Monaco
4 - 0
Rennes
Le Havre
0 - 0
Monaco

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