PSV vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

PSV Eindhoven will take on AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash at Philips Stadion on March 7, 2026 GMT.

The league-leading PSV Eindhoven, with 65 points, faces 6th-placed AZ Alkmaar, who has accumulated 39 points.

PSV Eindhoven comes into the match with strong home form, securing 4 wins in their last 6 matches at their home ground.

On the other hand, AZ Alkmaar has struggled on the road, losing 67% of their last 6 away matches.

In terms of goalscoring, PSV Eindhoven has been prolific at home, scoring 2+ goals in 100% of their last 3 home matches.

Meanwhile, AZ Alkmaar has seen over 2.5 goals scored in 26 of their last 42 matches.

With the contrasting form of both teams, the match promises to be an intriguing battle between a dominant home side and a resilient away team.

Our algorithm predicts PSV Eindhoven to emerge victorious with a probability of 50%.

League leaders PSV welcome AZ Alkmaar to the Philips Stadion in one of Matchday 26’s most significant fixtures. PSV sit comfortably at the top of the Eredivisie with 65 points from 25 matches (21W, 2D, 2L), while AZ occupy fifth place on 39 points (11W, 6D, 8L), aiming to strengthen their European qualification push.

The historical balance between the clubs strongly favours PSV, who have won 56 of their Eredivisie meetings compared to AZ’s 23, alongside 15 draws. Recent encounters have been even more one-sided: PSV are unbeaten in their last six meetings with AZ (five wins, one draw), including a commanding 5-1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season.

PSV’s domestic campaign has been dominant. They have scored a league-high 73 goals and conceded just 30, giving them a remarkable +43 goal difference. Their recent form remains strong as well, with four wins from their last five matches and 11 goals scored during that stretch.

At home, the Philips Stadion has once again proved a fortress. PSV have collected nine wins, two draws and only one defeat there this season, combining attacking fluency with defensive control. Over their last three home matches they have averaged more than three goals scored per game.

AZ arrive with a more uneven trajectory. Their last five matches have produced three wins and two defeats, including a 2-0 loss to Utrecht in their most recent outing. Across those five games they have scored nine goals but also conceded regularly, reflecting the defensive instability that has characterized their season.

Statistically, AZ’s campaign has been balanced but less dominant: 42 goals scored and 40 conceded, leaving little margin for error against the division’s most prolific attack.