PSV vs Heerenveen Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

PSV

PSV

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 21 February
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

Away
PSVTimelineHeerenveen
1st Half
Nordas L. (Meerveld R.)
sports_soccer
21'
Man D.
29'
Perisic I. (Veerman J.)
sports_soccer
45'
2nd Half
Obispo A.Out: Gasiorowski Y.
sync_alt
46'
Boadu M.Assist: Wanner P.
sports_soccer
48'
Vente D.Out: Nordas L.
sync_alt
63'
Rivera M.Out: Oyen L.
sync_alt
63'
Meerveld R.
67'
Courtens N.Out: Meerveld R.
sync_alt
70'
Salah-Eddine A.Out: Veerman J.
sync_alt
75'
Pepi R.Out: Boadu M.
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75'
Salah-Eddine A.
80'
Bajraktarevic E.Out: Man D.
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86'
Zagaritis V.Out: Petrov H.
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86'
Pepi R. (Saibari I.)
sports_soccer
87'
Driouech C.Out: Perisic I.
sync_alt
90+2'

Top stats

3.27Expected goals (xG)1.28
65%Ball possession35%
29Total shots14
7Shots on target4
6Big chances1
9Corner kicks3
88% (546/618)Passes76% (254/334)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

3.27Expected goals (xG)1.28
1.70xG on target (xGOT)1.41
29Total shots14
7Shots on target4
17Shots off target2
5Blocked shots8
18Shots inside the box7
11Shots outside the box7
2Hit the woodwork1

Attack

6Big chances1
9Corner kicks3
51Touches in opposition box22
1Accurate through passes1
2Offsides0
5Free kicks12

Passes

88% (546/618)Passes76% (254/334)
53% (24/45)Long passes39% (23/59)
87% (235/271)Passes in final third63% (61/97)
33% (9/27)Crosses71% (5/7)
3.21Expected assists (xA)1.43
16Throw ins15

Defense

12Fouls5
63% (12/19)Tackles67% (10/15)
42Duels won54
17Clearances20
5Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot1
1Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
1.41xGOT faced1.70
0.41Goals prevented-1.30
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.33
X5.74
28.12

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.9 vs Away 6.7
Model Consensus: 3-1 (Home)
More Goals: Home 66 vs 37

donut_small Win Probabilities

98%
1%
1%
PSV
Draw
Heerenveen

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

PSV

Starting 11
-Niek Schiks
GK6.56
-Mauro Júnior
DL7.22
-Armando Obispo
DC6.49
-Ryan Flamingo
DC6.66
-Sergiño Dest
DR6.98
-Joey Veerman
DMC7.95
-Jerdy Schouten
DMC6.90
-Ivan Perisic
AML7.29
-Paul Wanner
AMC6.80
-Esmir Bajraktarevic
AMR6.64
-Myron Boadu
FW6.34

Heerenveen

Starting 11
-Bernt Klaverboer
GK6.46
-Vasilios Zagaritis
DL6.98
-Maas Willemsen
DC6.67
-Sam Kersten
DC6.61
-Oliver Braude
DR6.65
-Marcus Linday
DMC6.52
-Joris van Overeem
DMC6.74
-Maxence Rivera
AML6.70
-Ringo Meerveld
AMC7.04
-Luca Oyen
AMR6.21
-Lasse Nordås
FW6.99
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

In a Eredivisie match scheduled for February 21, 2026, at Philips Stadion, PSV Eindhoven will take on Heerenveen.

PSV Eindhoven, boasting an impressive record with 24 victories in their last 34 matches, will face Heerenveen, who have struggled on the road with 50% losses in their last 6 away Eredivisie fixtures.

In their recent head-to-head encounters, PSV Eindhoven has dominated with 5 wins in their last 6 matches against Heerenveen.

Goals are expected in this clash, as PSV Eindhoven has witnessed Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3 home Eredivisie games, while Heerenveen has seen Over 2.5 goals in all of their last 3 matches.

With the statistics favoring PSV Eindhoven's form and historical success against Heerenveen, our algorithm predicts a 51% probability of PSV Eindhoven emerging victorious in this matchup.

The leaders return to the Philips Stadion with a point to prove. PSV sit comfortably at the top of the Eredivisie with 59 points from 23 matches, holding a commanding 14-point advantage over second-placed Feyenoord. Their recent 2-1 defeat away to Volendam was a rare blemish in what has otherwise been a dominant campaign.

Peter Bosz’s side remain the league’s most potent attacking force, scoring 67 goals at an average of 2.8 per match. They have found the net in each of their last 19 league games and are unbeaten in 18 of their previous 19. At home, they have been particularly ruthless: 36 goals scored at the Philips Stadion, an average of three per match, ranking first in home goals scored.

Heerenveen arrive in eighth place with 31 points, having alternated between encouraging attacking displays and defensive vulnerability. Their 4-2 win over PEC Zwolle last weekend showcased their forward threat, but across the season they have conceded as many goals (39) as they have scored. Interestingly, Robin Veldman’s side have won three of their last four away league matches, suggesting they are capable of testing PSV on transition.

Recent head-to-head history leans heavily toward the hosts. PSV have won four of the last five meetings, including a 4-1 KNVB Beker victory in February. Across the last nine encounters, PSV average 2.78 goals per match against Heerenveen, converting chances at nearly double their opponents’ efficiency in those fixtures. Heerenveen average just 0.78 goals per match in the same sample, significantly below their seasonal scoring rate.

With PSV leading the league in goals scored, total wins, and fewest defeats, the numbers point toward another assertive home performance. Heerenveen’s improved away form adds intrigue, but the scale of PSV’s firepower and consistency makes them clear favourites.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 matches
PSVvsHeerenveen
2.91Goals / Match1.70
1.22Conceded / Match1.70
6Clean Sheets2
6.91Shots on Target / Match5.39
60.9%Possession %51.8%
86.7%Pass Accuracy %80.4%

radarTeam Profile

PSV
Heerenveen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
98Attack62
shield
52Defense30
swap_horiz
80Possession57
gps_fixed
89Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
77Creativity55
gavel
61Discipline53

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

67Goals Scored39
28Goals Conceded39
6Clean Sheets2
98Big Chances61
52Big Chances Missed34
2Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

397Total Shots361
159Shots on Target124

swap_horizPassing & Possession

60.9%Avg Possession51.8%
12,842Total Passes10,205
86.7%Pass Accuracy80.4%

shieldDefending

390Tackles351
197Interceptions169
55Saves74
51.6%Duels Won50.1%

gavelDiscipline

248Fouls261
33Yellow Cards36
1Red Cards2
36Offsides30

analyticsOther

169Corners127
206Successful Dribbles200
8Errors Leading to Goal6
7.03Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

PSVMetricHeerenveen
66
Goals
37
55
Assists
29
6.8
Average Ratings
6.5
25.5
Average Age
23.7
182
Average Height (cm)
181.5
1.2
Shots pg
1.3
55%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.4
Tackles pg
1.3

League Standings Context

For PSV

PosTeamPWDLPts
1PSV Eindhoven23192259
2Feyenoord23143645

For Heerenveen

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Twente23811435
8Heerenveen2387831
9Groningen23941031

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

61.1/ 109.4
Dangerous Attacks
50.7/ 102.0
41.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
15.9
Total Shots
15.3
60.0%
Possession
52.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

5
PSV Wins
83%
0
Draws
0%
1
Heerenveen Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketPSVHeerenveen
Over 1.5 Goals
97%33/34
76%26/34
Over 2.5 Goals
82%28/34
59%20/34
Both Teams to Score
74%25/34
56%19/34
* Based on last 34 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: PSV

NlC
PSV Eindhoven
4 - 1
Heerenveen
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
3 - 0
Feyenoord
UCL
PSV Eindhoven
1 - 2
Bayern Munich
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
2 - 2
NAC Breda
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
5 - 1
Excelsior
NlC
PSV Eindhoven
3 - 0
GVVV

Home Games: PSV

NlC
PSV Eindhoven
4 - 1
Heerenveen
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
3 - 0
Feyenoord
UCL
PSV Eindhoven
1 - 2
Bayern Munich
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
2 - 2
NAC Breda
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
5 - 1
Excelsior
NlC
PSV Eindhoven
3 - 0
GVVV

Last 6: Heerenveen

Nl1
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 3
Heerenveen
Nl1
Twente
5 - 0
Heerenveen
NlC
PSV Eindhoven
4 - 1
Heerenveen
Nl1
Heracles
0 - 3
Heerenveen
NlC
Feyenoord
2 - 3
Heerenveen
Nl1
Sparta Rotterdam
0 - 3
Heerenveen

Away Games: Heerenveen

Nl1
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 3
Heerenveen
Nl1
Twente
5 - 0
Heerenveen
NlC
PSV Eindhoven
4 - 1
Heerenveen
Nl1
Heracles
0 - 3
Heerenveen
NlC
Feyenoord
2 - 3
Heerenveen
Nl1
Sparta Rotterdam
0 - 3
Heerenveen

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