Rayo Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Tips | LaLiga

arrow_back Back/LaLiga/Rayo Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano

Home

Full Time

1 - 1

HT: 1 - 0

Saturday 28 February

Ath Bilbao

Away

Rayo VallecanoTimelineAth Bilbao

1st Half

de Frutos J.

sports_soccer

35'

Jauregizar M.

39'

Palazon I.

40'

2nd Half

Berenguer A.Out: Gomez U.

sync_alt

46'

Williams I. (Berenguer A.)

sports_soccer

47'

Rego A.Out: Ruiz de Galarreta I.

sync_alt

59'

Lopez U.Out: Gumbau G.

sync_alt

61'

Perez F.Out: Garcia A.

sync_alt

61'

Valentin O.Out: Mendy N.

sync_alt

61'

Sancet O.

65'

Diaz P.Out: Palazon I.

sync_alt

69'

Vivian D.

71'

Gorosabel A.Out: Areso J.

sync_alt

73'

Akhomach I.

85'

AlemaoOut: Akhomach I.

sync_alt

86'

Vesga M.Out: Jauregizar M.

sync_alt

86'

Sanchez S.Out: Sancet O.

sync_alt

86'

Top stats

1.44Expected goals (xG)0.54

50%Ball possession50%

15Total shots8

7Shots on target2

3Big chances0

5Corner kicks4

66% (204/309)Passes66% (199/301)

2Yellow cards3

Shots

1.44Expected goals (xG)0.54

2.56xG on target (xGOT)0.10

15Total shots8

7Shots on target2

6Shots off target2

2Blocked shots4

9Shots inside the box4

6Shots outside the box4

1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances0

5Corner kicks4

18Touches in opposition box18

1Accurate through passes0

3Offsides0

17Free kicks8

Passes

66% (204/309)Passes66% (199/301)

27% (23/85)Long passes30% (21/70)

44% (43/98)Passes in final third51% (65/127)

44% (8/18)Crosses12% (3/25)

0.60Expected assists (xA)0.63

19Throw ins28

Defense

8Fouls17

55% (12/22)Tackles59% (10/17)

61Duels won52

45Clearances26

8Interceptions4

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves6

0.10xGOT faced2.56

-0.90Goals prevented1.56

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified High Confidence

12.59

X3.16

23.09

Recommended Bet

cancel

Away Win

Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #15 vs Away #8

Season: Home 1.08 PPG vs Away 1.36 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

29%

31%

40%

Rayo Vallecano

Draw

Ath Bilbao

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Rayo Vallecano

Starting 11

7Isi Palazón

RW6.90

11Ilias Akhomach

5.12

15Gerard Gumbau

CDM4.13

19Jorge De Frutos

RW6.64

21Fran Perez

6.04

23Óscar Valentín

CM6.18

32Nobel Mendy

5.40

2Andrei Ratiu

RB6.96

22Alfonso Espino

LB4.79

24Florian Lejeune

CB6.97

13Augusto Martín Batalla Barga

GK6.96

Substitutes

14Carlos Martín

1.17

18Álvaro García

LW6.83

4Pedro Díaz Fanjul

CM6.66

6Pathé Ciss

CM6.83

8Óscar Trejo

CAM1.96

9Alemão

CF5.07

11Randy Ntekja

CAM3.72

17Unai López

CM5.79

3Pep Chavarría

LB6.82

5Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi

3.75

20Iván Balliu

RB2.91

-Juan Pedro Gil Bueno

Ath Bilbao

Starting 11

9Iñaki Williams

CF6.70

11Gorka Guruzeta

CF6.35

8Oihan Sancet

CAM6.63

16Íñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (Injured)

CM6.86

20Unai Gómez

4.09

30Alejandro Rego Mora

4.71

3Dani Vivian

CB6.68

14Aymeric Laporte

CB6.95

15Íñigo Lekue

RB3.05

17Yuri Berchiche

LB6.68

1Unai Simón

GK6.73

Substitutes

19Adama Boiro Boiro

2.41

22Nicolás Serrano Galdeano

LW3.02

25Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi

2.66

6Mikel Vesga

CDM3.99

23Robert Navarro

CAM6.45

44Selton Sued Sánchez Camilo

2.22

-Iker Monreal Agundez

49Eder Garcia Altuna

3.20

2Andoni Gorosabel

RB3.41

4Aitor Paredes

CB4.61

12Jesús Areso

RB5.70

-Álex Padilla Pérez

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

On February 28, 2026 GMT, Rayo Vallecano will take on Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga matchup at Estadio de Vallecas.

Rayo Vallecano is currently positioned 15th in the standings with 26 points, while Athletic Bilbao sits in 8th place with 34 points.

Rayo Vallecano has faced challenges recently, losing 50% of their last 6 matches in La Liga.

On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao has struggled on the road, with a high 58% away loss rate this season in La Liga.

In their historical head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano has lost 5 out of their last 6 encounters against Athletic Bilbao in all leagues.

As they prepare to clash at Estadio de Vallecas, Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao will aim to secure a valuable result.

Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win by 1-2.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 / 25 matches

Rayo VallecanovsAth Bilbao

0.92Goals / Match1.16

1.29Conceded / Match1.40

7Clean Sheets5

4.54Shots on Target / Match4.64

53.9%Possession %49.6%

83.2%Pass Accuracy %80.5%

radarTeam Profile

Rayo Vallecano

Ath Bilbao

sports_soccer

35Attack41

shield

52Defense44

swap_horiz

57Possession50

gps_fixed

47Efficiency49

auto_fix_high

31Creativity31

gavel

11Discipline21

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

22Goals Scored29

31Goals Conceded35

7Clean Sheets5

58Big Chances59

39Big Chances Missed38

2Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

319Total Shots362

109Shots on Target116

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.9%Avg Possession49.6%

10,486Total Passes10,396

83.2%Pass Accuracy80.5%

shieldDefending

404Tackles373

192Interceptions235

67Saves68

47.7%Duels Won46.2%

gavelDiscipline

325Fouls346

64Yellow Cards55

7Red Cards6

52Offsides32

analyticsOther

138Corners136

160Successful Dribbles180

2Errors Leading to Goal4

6.73Avg Rating6.72

League Standings Context

For Rayo Vallecano

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
14	Deportivo Alavés	26	7	6	13	27
15	Rayo Vallecano	24	6	8	10	26
16	Valencia	25	6	8	11	26

For Ath Bilbao

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
7	Espanyol	25	10	5	10	35
8	Athletic Bilbao	25	10	4	11	34
9	Osasuna	25	9	6	10	33

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

50.6/ 100.5

Dangerous Attacks

50.8/ 112.3

33.0%

Shots on Target

31.0%

14.5

Total Shots

13.9

58.0%

Possession

47.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4

Goals Scored / Match

1.1

1.2

Goals Conceded / Match

1.6

Head-to-Head Summary

Rayo Vallecano Wins

Draws

17%

Ath Bilbao Wins

83%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Rayo Vallecano	Ath Bilbao
Over 1.5 Goals	75%27/36	75%27/36
Over 2.5 Goals	50%18/36	53%19/36
Both Teams to Score	47%17/36	53%19/36

* Based on last 36 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Rayo Vallecano

Home Games: Rayo Vallecano

Last 6: Ath Bilbao

Away Games: Ath Bilbao

history Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano

1.1 GPG

Ath Bilbao

1.4 GPG

group Head to Head

PL25 Aug 2025

1-0

PL13 Apr 2025

3-1

PL1 Dec 2024

1-2

PL25 May 2024

0-1

PL2 Dec 2023

4-0

61%

Over 2.5 Goals

57%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

74%

17 / 23 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

61%

14 / 23 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

30%

7 / 23 matches

Both Teams to Score

57%

13 / 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano CS

Clean Sheets

Ath Bilbao CS

39%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Aug 2025

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

13 Apr 2025

Athletic Club Bilbao

3 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

1 Dec 2024

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 2

Athletic Club Bilbao

25 May 2024

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

2 Dec 2023

Athletic Club Bilbao

4 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

5 Mar 2023

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 0

Athletic Club Bilbao

17 Sept 2022

Athletic Club Bilbao

3 - 2

Rayo Vallecano

23 Jan 2022

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

21 Sept 2021

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 2

Rayo Vallecano

14 Apr 2019

Athletic Club Bilbao

3 - 2

Rayo Vallecano

24 Oct 2018

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

10 Apr 2016

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.08

Form (Overall)

1.36

Ath Bilbao is +26% better in terms of Points Per Game

Real Betis

1 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 0

Atlético Madrid

Real Madrid

2 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 3

CA Osasuna

Celta de Vigo

3 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

Athletic Club Bilbao

2 - 1

Elche CF

Real Oviedo

1 - 2

Athletic Club Bilbao

4 - 2

Levante UD

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 1

Real Sociedad

Sevilla FC

2 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

Weekly Newsletter

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.

Free Weekly Tips

Value Opportunities

Rayo Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app

Rayo Vallecano

Ath Bilbao

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Rayo Vallecano

Starting 11

Substitutes

Ath Bilbao

Starting 11

Substitutes

Match Preview

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

League Standings Context

For Rayo Vallecano

For Ath Bilbao

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: Rayo Vallecano

Home Games: Rayo Vallecano

Last 6: Ath Bilbao

Away Games: Ath Bilbao

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

Subscribe for Betting Tips