Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app
Rayo Vallecano
HomeFull Time
0:3
Saturday 24 October
Elche
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.79
X3.81
24.53
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
68
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #14 vs Away #18
Season: Home 1.13 PPG vs Away 0.78 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
44%
26%
30%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Elche
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.90 | 1.74 | 1.98 | +9.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.94 | 2.35 | 2.02 | -17.4% |
| Rayo Vallecano Win | 1.74 | 2.26 | 1.84 | -23.0% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.87 | 4.02 | -1.8% |
| Elche CF Win | 4.55 | 4.20 | 4.81 | +8.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.88 | -1.7% |
| BTTS - No | 2.00 | 2.28 | 2.14 | -12.3% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Rayo Vallecano
Starting 11
-Emil Audero
GK6.96
-Adrià Pedrosa
DL6.85
-Mujaid Sadick
DC6.44
-Florian Lejeune
DC6.50
-Iván Balliu
DR6.03
-Pathé Ciss
DMC6.76
-Unai López
DMC6.91
-Álvaro García
AML6.68
-Isi Palazón
AMC6.41
-Jorge de Frutos
AMR6.66
-Sergio Camello
FW7.18
Elche
Starting 11
-Matías Dituro
GK6.29
-Roy Revivo
DL6.76
-Federico Redondo
DC6.30
-Víctor Chust
DC6.51
-Buba Sangaré
DR6.28
-Javier Morcillo
DMC6.49
-Gonzalo Villar
DMC6.63
-Germán Valera
AML6.65
-Thomas Lemar
AMC6.76
-Lucas Cepeda
AMR6.56
-Fer Niño
FW6.97
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Rayo Vallecano sit 12th in LaLiga with 10 points from nine games (W2 D4 L3). They have drawn their last three league matches, most recently a 1-1 draw away at Getafe.
Elche are 18th with seven points (W1 D4 L4), but they are unbeaten in their last three. They drew 0-0 at Villarreal last weekend.
The sides last met at Vallecas on 3 April 2026, when Rayo won 1-0. Randy Nteka scored the only goal of the game in the 74th minute.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 8 / 9 matchesRayo VallecanovsElche
1.50Goals / Match1.22
2.13Conceded / Match1.89
0Clean Sheets2
4.63Shots on Target / Match4.22
51.3%Possession %50.9%
82.3%Pass Accuracy %85.3%
radarTeam Profile
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
sports_soccer
48Attack34
shield
32Defense39
swap_horiz
53Possession61
gps_fixed
61Efficiency68
auto_fix_high
56Creativity54
gavel
22Discipline30
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
12Goals Scored11
17Goals Conceded17
0Clean Sheets2
16Big Chances17
9Big Chances Missed11
0Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
115Total Shots99
37Shots on Target38
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.3%Avg Possession50.9%
3,249Total Passes4,312
82.3%Pass Accuracy85.3%
shieldDefending
132Tackles137
75Interceptions85
26Saves23
48.1%Duels Won48.7%
gavelDiscipline
103Fouls121
19Yellow Cards22
2Red Cards1
10Offsides11
analyticsOther
45Corners41
55Successful Dribbles66
4Errors Leading to Goal4
6.97Avg Rating7.03
Statistical Comparison
Rayo VallecanoMetricElche
12
Goals
11
9
Assists
10
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
30.2
Average Age
25.5
177.2
Average Height (cm)
181.8
1.1
Shots pg
0.8
47%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1.4
history Recent Form
Rayo VallecanoD
W
W
D
W
ElcheD
W
D
L
D
group Head to Head
PL3 Apr 2026
1-0
PL21 Dec 2025
4-0
PL29 Apr 2023
4-0
PL3 Oct 2022
2-1
PL18 Feb 2022
2-1
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
17 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
11 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
11 / 19 matches
Rayo Vallecano CS
16%
Clean Sheets
Elche CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
3 Apr 2026
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
Elche CF
21 Dec 2025
Elche CF
4 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
29 Apr 2023
Elche CF
4 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
3 Oct 2022
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Elche CF
18 Feb 2022
Elche CF
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
17 Oct 2021
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Elche CF
16 Jan 2021
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Elche CF
8 Mar 2020
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 3
Elche CF
5 Oct 2019
Elche CF
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
21 Jan 2017
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Elche CF
20 Aug 2016
Elche CF
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
9 Feb 2015
Elche CF
2 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.33
Form (Overall)
1.20
Rayo Vallecano is +94% better in terms of Points Per Game
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
RCD Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 2
Racing Santander
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Villarreal
Villarreal
0 - 0
Elche CF
RCD Espanyol
1 - 3
Elche CF
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 1
Elche CF
Racing Santander
3 - 2
Elche CF
Deportivo La Coruña
1 - 1
Elche CF
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