RB Leipzig vs Dortmund Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 2 - 0
Saturday 21 February
Dortmund

Dortmund

Away
RB LeipzigTimelineDortmund
1st Half
Baumgartner C. (Diomande Y.)
sports_soccer
20'
Romulo Cardoso
30'
Baumgartner C. (Raum D.)
sports_soccer
39'
Lukeba C.
41'
Bensebaini R.
45+2'
2nd Half
Romulo Cardoso
sports_soccer
50'
Reggiani L.
54'
Brandt J.Out: Beier M.
sync_alt
64'
Couto Y.Out: Reggiani L.
sync_alt
64'
Chukwuemeka C.Out: Nmecha F.
sync_alt
65'
Nusa A.Out: Schlager X.
sync_alt
65'
Ryerson J.
69'
Silva F.Out: Guirassy S.
sync_alt
72'
Adeyemi K.Out: Sabitzer M.
sync_alt
76'
Silva F.
78'
Harder C.Out: Romulo Cardoso
sync_alt
81'
Banzuzi E.Out: Gruda B.
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82'
Henrichs B.Out: Baku R.
sync_alt
82'
Raum D.
90+2'
Finkgrafe M.Out: Diomande Y.
sync_alt
90+4'
Silva F. (Adeyemi K.)
sports_soccer
90+5'

Top stats

1.90Expected goals (xG)1.61
55%Ball possession45%
13Total shots11
3Shots on target5
5Big chances4
6Corner kicks2
83% (374/450)Passes76% (279/366)
3Yellow cards4

Shots

1.90Expected goals (xG)1.61
1.74xG on target (xGOT)1.54
13Total shots11
3Shots on target5
6Shots off target2
4Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box10
1Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

5Big chances4
6Corner kicks2
39Touches in opposition box25
1Accurate through passes1
0Offsides4
17Free kicks11

Passes

83% (374/450)Passes76% (279/366)
42% (23/55)Long passes48% (25/52)
66% (63/95)Passes in final third57% (62/108)
39% (7/18)Crosses36% (5/14)
3.17Expected assists (xA)1.62
14Throw ins24

Defense

11Fouls17
45% (5/11)Tackles54% (7/13)
54Duels won51
34Clearances33
12Interceptions2
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1
1.54xGOT faced1.74
0.54Goals prevented-0.26
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.10
X4.19
23.21

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #2
Season: Home 1.82 PPG vs Away 2.32 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.27 GPG vs Away 1.91 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

28%
21%
51%
RB Leipzig
Draw
Dortmund

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

RB Leipzig

Starting 11
-Maarten Vandevoordt
GK6.19
-David Raum
DL7.39
-Castello Lukeba
DC6.96
-Willi Orbán
DC7.18
-Ridle Baku
DR6.79
-Christoph Baumgartner
MC7.05
-Brajan Gruda
MC7.90
-Nicolas Seiwald
MC6.94
-Antonio Nusa
FWL7.14
-Rômulo
FW7.03
-Yan Diomande
FWR7.45

Dortmund

Starting 11
-Gregor Kobel
GK6.81
-Ramy Bensebaini
DC7.00
-Waldemar Anton
DC7.24
-Luca Reggiani
DC6.28
-Daniel Svensson
DML6.86
-Marcel Sabitzer
MC6.65
-Felix Nmecha
MC6.93
-Julian Ryerson
DMR6.95
-Maximilian Beier
AMC6.86
-Julian Brandt
AMC6.93
-Serhou Guirassy
FW7.13
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

RB Leipzig will face Borussia Dortmund in a Bundesliga encounter at Red Bull Arena on February 21, 2026 GMT.

The home side, RB Leipzig, currently holds the 5th position in the league standings with 40 points, while Borussia Dortmund sits comfortably in 2nd place with 51 points.

RB Leipzig has showcased a solid performance in the Bundesliga, securing victory in 55% of their matches.

On the other hand, Borussia Dortmund has been even more impressive, winning 58% of their fixtures this season.

In their recent head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig has emerged victorious in 3 out of their last 6 encounters against Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga.

With these statistics in mind, the upcoming match between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund is set to be an intriguing battle, with our algorithm predicting Borussia Dortmund to clinch a 1-3 victory.

RB Leipzig needed a late Brajan Gruda goal to salvage a point from their contest with Wolfsburg last weekend, narrowly avoiding a humbling home defeat to Die Wölfe. Saturday's hosts have won just one of their last four league games and have dropped to fifth in the standings.

Borussia Dortmund opened up a 2-0 lead inside 15 minutes against Mainz 05 last weekend as Die Schwarzgelben cruised to a dominant home win. A midweek triumph over Atlanta in the Champions League has only improved the mood in the away camp as they chase a seventh straight league win.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 22 matches
RB LeipzigvsDortmund
1.91Goals / Match2.14
1.36Conceded / Match0.91
9Clean Sheets11
5.82Shots on Target / Match4.91
53.5%Possession %54.0%
84.9%Pass Accuracy %84.4%

radarTeam Profile

RB Leipzig
Dortmund
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
75Attack68
shield
58Defense66
swap_horiz
72Possession66
gps_fixed
66Efficiency88
auto_fix_high
71Creativity61
gavel
71Discipline48

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

42Goals Scored47
30Goals Conceded20
9Clean Sheets11
75Big Chances62
50Big Chances Missed29
1Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

360Total Shots291
128Shots on Target108

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.5%Avg Possession54.0%
11,295Total Passes11,042
84.9%Pass Accuracy84.4%

shieldDefending

336Tackles308
197Interceptions181
53Saves56
51.0%Duels Won50.2%

gavelDiscipline

200Fouls252
31Yellow Cards40
0Red Cards2
33Offsides25

analyticsOther

117Corners120
255Successful Dribbles182
5Errors Leading to Goal1
6.96Avg Rating6.98

Statistical Comparison

RB LeipzigMetricDortmund
41
Goals
47
31
Assists
35
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
24.3
Average Age
26.7
182.6
Average Height (cm)
186
1.1
Shots pg
0.8
49%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
1.2
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For RB Leipzig

PosTeamPWDLPts
4Stuttgart22133642
5RB Leipzig22124640
6Bayer Leverkusen21123639

For Dortmund

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Bayern Munich22183157
2Borussia Dortmund22156151
3Hoffenheim22143545

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

51.0/ 103.0
Dangerous Attacks
57.5/ 111.2
36.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
16.4
Total Shots
12.9
54.0%
Possession
54.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
2.1
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

4
RB Leipzig Wins
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Dortmund Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketRB LeipzigDortmund
Over 1.5 Goals
88%23/26
112%29/26
Over 2.5 Goals
65%17/26
69%18/26
Both Teams to Score
58%15/26
65%17/26
* Based on last 26 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: RB Leipzig

De1
RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Wolfsburg
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 5
Bayern Munich
De1
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Freiburg
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
RB Leipzig
6 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Home Games: RB Leipzig

De1
RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Wolfsburg
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 5
Bayern Munich
De1
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Freiburg
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
RB Leipzig
6 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Last 6: Dortmund

De1
Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
De1
Union Berlin
0 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
UCL
Tottenham
2 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
De1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
De1
Freiburg
1 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 2
Borussia Dortmund

Away Games: Dortmund

De1
Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
De1
Union Berlin
0 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
UCL
Tottenham
2 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
De1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
De1
Freiburg
1 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 2
Borussia Dortmund

history Recent Form

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1.8 GPG
D
W
L
D
W
DortmundDortmund
2.3 GPG
W
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL4 Oct 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
RB Leipzig
PL15 Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
2-0
Borussia Dortmund
PL2 Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
PL27 Apr 2024
RB Leipzig
4-1
Borussia Dortmund
PL9 Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
RB Leipzig
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
18 / 21 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
13 / 21 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
9 / 21 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
14 / 21 matches
RB Leipzig CS
19%
Clean Sheets
Dortmund CS
14%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Oct 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
15 Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
2 Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 1
RB Leipzig
27 Apr 2024
RB Leipzig
4 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
9 Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3
RB Leipzig
5 Apr 2023
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
3 Mar 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 1
RB Leipzig
10 Sept 2022
RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
2 Apr 2022
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 4
RB Leipzig
6 Nov 2021
RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
13 May 2021
RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Borussia Dortmund
8 May 2021
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
RB Leipzig
1.82
Form (Overall)
Dortmund
2.32

Dortmund is +27% better in terms of Points Per Game

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Wolfsburg
Köln
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
Heidenheim
0 - 3
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Heidenheim
Union Berlin
0 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
St. Pauli

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