RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Home
Full Time
5 - 0
HT: 2 - 0
Sunday 13 September
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Away
RB LeipzigTimelineHamburger SV
1st Half
Capaldo N.
6'
Gomis T.Assist: Banzuzi E.
sports_soccer
17'
Nusa A.
sports_soccer
28'
Nkunku C.Out: Ouedraogo A.
sync_alt
35'
2nd Half
Moffi T.Out: Poulsen Y.
sync_alt
46'
Lukeba C.
48'
Nandja S.
71'
Orban W. (Nusa A.)
sports_soccer
72'
Vieira F.Out: Daka P.
sync_alt
73'
Omari W.Out: Nandja S.
sync_alt
73'
Baku R.Out: Henrichs B.
sync_alt
74'
Romulo CardosoOut: Gomis T.
sync_alt
74'
Esteve M.Out: Lukeba C.
sync_alt
74'
Nkunku C. (Nusa A.)
sports_soccer
74'
Romulo Cardoso
sports_soccer
77'
Finkgrafe M.Out: Nusa A.
sync_alt
78'
Stange O.Out: Lokonga A. S.
sync_alt
78'
Jatta B.Out: El Ouahdi Z.
sync_alt
89'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.36
X5.57
27.64

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #18
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.36 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.67 GPG vs Away 1.83 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

61%
22%
17%
RB Leipzig
Draw
Hamburger SV
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.401.62-13.5%
Under 2.5 Goals2.862.61+9.4%
RB Leipzig Win1.371.65-16.7%
Draw5.504.50+22.1%
Hamburger SV Win7.505.88+27.6%
BTTS - Yes1.571.76-10.7%
BTTS - No2.232.32-3.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

RB Leipzig head into gameweek three looking to shake a worrying handful of results. Die Roten Bullen were beaten 3-1 on the road by Werder Bremen last time out in the Bundesliga, and suffered a heavy 4-1 away defeat to Como in the Champions League in midweek.

Hamburg travel to the Red Bull Arena still looking for their first goal of the Bundesliga season. HSV were beaten 2-0 by Borussia Dortmund in their season opener before suffering an alarming 5-0 home defeat to Mainz 05 last time out.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

RB Leipzig

Starting 11
-Maarten Vandevoordt
GK6.74
-David Raum
DL7.08
-Castello Lukeba
DC7.64
-Willi Orbán
DC7.10
-Ridle Baku
DR7.70
-Nicolas Seiwald
MC6.70
-Ezechiel Banzuzi
MC6.43
-Brajan Gruda
MC7.81
-Antonio Nusa
FWL7.80
-Christopher Nkunku
FW6.72
-Tidiam Gomis
FWR6.58

Hamburger SV

Starting 11
-Daniel Heuer Fernandes
GK6.08
-Jordan Torunarigha
DC5.82
-Shafiq Nandja
DC5.96
-Nicolás Capaldo
DC6.08
-David Møller Wolfe
DML5.68
-Albert Sambi Lokonga
MC6.42
-Nicolai Remberg
MC5.88
-Zakaria El Ouahdi
DMR5.37
-Albert Grønbæk
AMC6.14
-Fábio Vieira
AMC6.05
-Patson Daka
FW6.18
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 1 / 2 matches
RB LeipzigvsHamburger SV
1.00Goals / Match0.00
4.00Conceded / Match3.50
0Clean Sheets0
4.00Shots on Target / Match2.00
49.0%Possession %49.5%
89.2%Pass Accuracy %81.7%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

1Goals Scored0
4Goals Conceded7
3Big Chances2
3Big Chances Missed2

gps_fixedShooting

14Total Shots16
4Shots on Target4

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.0%Avg Possession49.5%
498Total Passes840
89.2%Pass Accuracy81.7%

shieldDefending

13Tackles27
7Interceptions21
2Saves8
41.8%Duels Won43.5%

gavelDiscipline

10Fouls33
3Yellow Cards2
1Offsides3

analyticsOther

5Corners5
9Successful Dribbles7
1Errors Leading to Goal1
6.29Avg Rating6.13

Statistical Comparison

RB LeipzigMetricHamburger SV
4
Goals
0
4
Assists
0
6.8
Average Ratings
6
24.8
Average Age
26
182.6
Average Height (cm)
181.1
1.8
Shots pg
1.4
57%
Aerial Duel Success
39%
1.9
Dribbles pg
1
1.2
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1.5 GPG
L
W
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1.4 GPG
L
L

group Head to Head

PL1 Mar 2026
Hamburger SV
1-2
RB Leipzig
PL18 Oct 2025
RB Leipzig
2-1
Hamburger SV
PL18 Oct 2022
RB Leipzig
4-0
Hamburger SV
PL23 Apr 2019
Hamburger SV
1-3
RB Leipzig
PL27 Jan 2018
RB Leipzig
1-1
Hamburger SV
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
8 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
6 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
3 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
4 / 8 matches
RB Leipzig CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV CS
13%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Mar 2026
Hamburger SV
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
18 Oct 2025
RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
18 Oct 2022
RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Hamburger SV
23 Apr 2019
Hamburger SV
1 - 3
RB Leipzig
27 Jan 2018
RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
8 Sept 2017
Hamburger SV
0 - 2
RB Leipzig
11 Feb 2017
RB Leipzig
0 - 3
Hamburger SV
17 Sept 2016
Hamburger SV
0 - 4
RB Leipzig

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
RB Leipzig
1.50
Form (Overall)
Hamburger SV
1.40

RB Leipzig is +7% better in terms of Points Per Game

Werder Bremen
3 - 1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
Hamburger SV
0 - 5
Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Hamburger SV

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