RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 9 May
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Away
RB LeipzigTimelineSt. Pauli
1st Half
Lukeba C.
20'
Schlager X. (Baumgartner C.)
sports_soccer
45'
2nd Half
Baumgartner C.
51'
Orban W.Assist: Raum D.
sports_soccer
55'
Wahl H.Out: Ritzka L.
sync_alt
64'
Stevens F.Out: Oppie L.
sync_alt
64'
Seiwald N.Out: Ouedraogo A.
sync_alt
69'
Finkgrafe M.Out: Raum D.
sync_alt
69'
Ceesay A.Out: Hountondji A.
sync_alt
72'
Nusa A.Out: Gruda B.
sync_alt
80'
Ceesay A. (Irvine J.)
sports_soccer
86'
Rasmussen M.Out: Smith E.
sync_alt
89'
Sinani D.Out: Metcalfe C.
sync_alt
89'
Henrichs B.Out: Baku R.
sync_alt
90+2'

Top stats

1.41Expected goals (xG)0.70
70%Ball possession30%
13Total shots7
5Shots on target3
3Big chances2
3Corner kicks5
89% (649/731)Passes71% (213/299)
2Yellow cards0

Shots

1.41Expected goals (xG)0.70
1.68xG on target (xGOT)1.02
13Total shots7
5Shots on target3
6Shots off target2
2Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances2
3Corner kicks5
32Touches in opposition box15
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides0
9Free kicks5

Passes

89% (649/731)Passes71% (213/299)
49% (26/53)Long passes29% (14/49)
72% (132/183)Passes in final third65% (60/92)
13% (2/15)Crosses21% (3/14)
1.23Expected assists (xA)0.73
21Throw ins10

Defense

5Fouls9
77% (10/13)Tackles44% (11/25)
40Duels won45
15Clearances26
6Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3
1.02xGOT faced1.68
-0.28Goals prevented-0.32
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.31
X5.92
29.69

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
78
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #17
Season: Home 1.94 PPG vs Away 0.81 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 0.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.38 GPG vs Away 0.69 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

97%
1%
1%
RB Leipzig
Draw
St. Pauli

Match Preview

RB Leipzig's positive run of form came crashing to an end in gameweek 32 as Patrik Schick's hat-trick inspired Bayer Leverkusen to a 4-1 home win over Ole Werner's men. Die Roten Bullen had won five straight and seven of their last eight before that heavy away defeat.

St. Pauli travel to the Red Bull Arena in a critical position after a 2-1 home defeat to Mainz 05, combined with a draw for Wolfsburg against Freiburg, dropped Kiezkicker into the relegation zone. Saturday's visitors are winless in eight ahead of this challenging away match.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

RB Leipzig

Starting 11
-Maarten Vandevoordt
GK6.74
-David Raum
DL7.43
-Castello Lukeba
DC6.94
-Willi Orbán
DC7.22
-Ridle Baku
DR6.82
-Christoph Baumgartner
MC7.07
-Xaver Schlager
MC6.68
-Assan Ouédraogo
MC6.75
-Yan Diomande
FWL7.49
-Rômulo
FW6.93
-Brajan Gruda
FWR6.99

St. Pauli

Starting 11
-Nikola Vasilj
GK6.53
-Tomoya Ando
DC6.61
-Eric Smith
DC6.60
-Hauke Wahl
DC6.62
-Lars Ritzka
DML6.36
-Mathias Rasmussen
MC6.23
-Jackson Irvine
MC6.52
-Arkadiusz Pyrka
DMR6.47
-Danel Sinani
AMC6.54
-Joel Chima Fujita
AMC6.58
-Andréas Hountondji
FW6.21
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 32 matches
RB LeipzigvsSt. Pauli

radarTeam Profile

RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
77Attack18
shield
54Defense42
swap_horiz
71Possession36
gps_fixed
72Efficiency47
auto_fix_high
75Creativity17
gavel
68Discipline61

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

63Goals Scored27
42Goals Conceded55
11Clean Sheets5
117Big Chances51
78Big Chances Missed39
1Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

510Total Shots330
193Shots on Target109

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.2%Avg Possession44.8%
15,880Total Passes13,899
84.5%Pass Accuracy78.3%

shieldDefending

480Tackles535
285Interceptions292
81Saves114
50.4%Duels Won48.8%

gavelDiscipline

303Fouls312
49Yellow Cards51
0Red Cards2
45Offsides64

analyticsOther

175Corners148
348Successful Dribbles154
6Errors Leading to Goal10
6.96Avg Rating6.69

Statistical Comparison

RB LeipzigMetricSt. Pauli
61
Goals
27
45
Assists
19
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
24.9
Average Age
27.8
183.2
Average Height (cm)
185.7
1
Shots pg
0.7
49%
Aerial Duel Success
43%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1.9 GPG
L
W
W
W
W
St. PauliSt. Pauli
0.8 GPG
L
L
D
L
D

group Head to Head

PL27 Jan 2026
St. Pauli
1-1
RB Leipzig
PL9 Feb 2025
RB Leipzig
2-0
St. Pauli
PL29 Oct 2024
RB Leipzig
4-2
St. Pauli
PL22 Sept 2024
St. Pauli
0-0
RB Leipzig
PL12 Feb 2016
St. Pauli
1-0
RB Leipzig
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
4 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
2 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
38%
3 / 8 matches
RB Leipzig CS
25%
Clean Sheets
St. Pauli CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Jan 2026
St. Pauli
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
9 Feb 2025
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
St. Pauli
29 Oct 2024
RB Leipzig
4 - 2
St. Pauli
22 Sept 2024
St. Pauli
0 - 0
RB Leipzig
12 Feb 2016
St. Pauli
1 - 0
RB Leipzig
23 Aug 2015
RB Leipzig
0 - 1
St. Pauli
3 May 2015
St. Pauli
1 - 0
RB Leipzig
23 Nov 2014
RB Leipzig
4 - 1
St. Pauli

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
RB Leipzig
1.94
Form (Overall)
St. Pauli
0.81

RB Leipzig is +140% better in terms of Points Per Game

Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Heidenheim
2 - 0
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
1 - 1
Köln
St. Pauli
0 - 5
Bayern München
Union Berlin
1 - 1
St. Pauli

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