Real Aviles vs Lugo Prediction & Tips | Primera RFEF - Group 1 | FootballTips.app
Real Aviles
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Friday 2 October
Lugo
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
12.34
X3.04
22.84
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 0.80 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.15 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 2.00 conc vs Away 0.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
32%
24%
44%
Real Aviles
Draw
Lugo
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 2.11 | +3.7% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.80 | 2.08 | 1.90 | -13.4% |
| Real Avilés Win | 2.30 | 3.16 | 2.57 | -27.1% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 4.10 | 3.58 | -22.0% |
| CD Lugo Win | 2.70 | 2.77 | 3.02 | -2.5% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.73 | 1.81 | 1.88 | -4.3% |
| BTTS - No | 1.97 | 2.24 | 2.14 | -11.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Real Aviles
Starting 11
7Cristian Montes López
RW6.70
9Álvaro Santamaría Arenas
CF6.80
14Alberto Cayarga Fernández
RW6.73
5Samuel Mayo Ceínos
CM6.37
8Brais Abelenda Negreira
CAM6.54
17Miguel Ángel Prendes Pérez
CM6.50
4Markel Artetxe Artetxe
CB6.54
15Iker Alday Igartua
RB6.47
20Óscar Menéndez Carracedo
LB6.39
21Jon Sillero Monreal
CB6.46
1Álvaro López Ratón
GK6.10
Substitutes
-Juan Julián Mahicas Pérez
CF
11Íñigo Muñoz Cuevas
RW6.51
19Natalio Lorenzo Poquet
CF6.46
24Santiago Franco de la Torre
CF6.66
27Daniel Lidueña Alonso
LW6.51
6Roberto Doncel García
CAM4.04
10Alejando Domingo Gómez
CAM6.62
-Yago Rodríguez Pérez
23Andrés López Carmona
CB3.25
-Marco Suárez Coronas Lastra
GK
Lugo
Starting 11
11Dauda Mohammed
LW6.88
14Alejandro Gallar Falguera
LW6.84
17Oscar Castellano Zamora
LW6.77
15Pablo Parrilla González
6.69
16Arturo Adolfo Palma Cisneros
6.75
20Alberto Terence Ulloa Gálvez
CM6.63
3Pere Haro Crespo
LB6.47
4Ibaider Garriz Mendaza
6.65
5Pol Moreno Sánchez
CB7.01
19Rufino Lucero
RB6.73
1Marc Martínez Aranda
GK6.76
Substitutes
7Tornike Morchiladze
LW4.15
26Alejandro Costa Quijano
CF6.58
10Alan Godoy Domínguez
CF3.22
33Mateo Muñoz Gavino
6.49
-Achore Nilo Sanchez Martinez
6Kevin Presa Duarte
CM6.67
12Antonio Perera Calderón
CM4.84
36Guillermo Berzal Rueda
6.85
18Enrique Gómez Hermoso
CB
23Hugo Pascual Pérez-Griffo
6.38
24Simón Luca Pérez González
LB6.22
-Jorge Candal Marqués
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
history Recent Form
Real AvilesD
D
W
L
L
LugoW
W
W
D
W
group Head to Head
PL25 Jan 2026
1-2
PL6 Sept 2025
0-0
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
1 / 2 matches
Real Aviles CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Lugo CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
25 Jan 2026
Real Avilés
1 - 2
CD Lugo
6 Sept 2025
CD Lugo
0 - 0
Real Avilés
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.80
Form (Overall)
2.00
Lugo is +150% better in terms of Points Per Game
Barakaldo CF
3 - 3
Real Avilés
CD Coria
1 - 1
Real Avilés
Real Avilés
3 - 1
Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Athletic Club II
2 - 1
Real Avilés
Real Avilés
0 - 1
Pontevedra CF
CD Lugo
1 - 0
Racing Club de Ferrol
Zamora CF
1 - 2
CD Lugo
CD Lugo
1 - 0
CD Coria
SD Ponferradina
0 - 0
CD Lugo
Unionistas de Salamanca CF
1 - 3
CD Lugo
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