Real Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app

Real Madrid
HomeFull Time
4 - 2
HT: 2 - 1
Saturday 23 May

Ath Bilbao
AwayReal MadridTimelineAth Bilbao
1st Half
Pitarch T.
3'
Garcia G. (Carvajal D.)
sports_soccer
12'
Bellingham J.
20'
Bellingham J. (Pitarch T.)
sports_soccer
41'
Guruzeta G. (Williams I.)
sports_soccer
45+1'
2nd Half
Gorosabel A.Out: Alvarez Y.
sync_alt
46'
Mbappe K.Assist: Carreras A.
sports_soccer
51'
Lekue I.Out: Ruiz de Galarreta I.
sync_alt
60'
Rego A.Out: Gomez U.
sync_alt
60'
Huijsen D.Out: Alaba D.
sync_alt
70'
Ceballos D.Out: Bellingham J.
sync_alt
74'
Guler A.Out: Garcia G.
sync_alt
74'
Diaz B.Out: Mastantuono F.
sync_alt
74'
IzetaOut: Guruzeta G.
sync_alt
74'
Serrano M.Out: Carvajal D.
sync_alt
84'
Vesga M.Out: Jauregizar M.
sync_alt
86'
Diaz B. (Pitarch T.)
sports_soccer
90'
Izeta (Williams I.)
sports_soccer
90+1'
Top stats
1.85Expected goals (xG)0.86
74%Ball possession26%
13Total shots8
8Shots on target2
3Big chances3
2Corner kicks1
91% (675/745)Passes69% (176/254)
2Yellow cards0
Shots
1.85Expected goals (xG)0.86
2.33xG on target (xGOT)1.65
13Total shots8
8Shots on target2
5Shots off target5
0Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box6
4Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1
Attack
3Big chances3
2Corner kicks1
21Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes0
7Offsides2
20Free kicks6
Passes
91% (675/745)Passes69% (176/254)
66% (27/41)Long passes26% (12/47)
74% (81/110)Passes in final third40% (29/73)
0% (0/5)Crosses50% (6/12)
0.47Expected assists (xA)0.77
10Throw ins9
Defense
6Fouls20
0% (0/2)Tackles71% (5/7)
36Duels won27
6Clearances17
7Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
0Goalkeeper saves4
1.65xGOT faced2.33
-0.35Goals prevented-1.67
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.48
X5.09
26.24
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #12
Season: Home 2.24 PPG vs Away 1.22 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 0.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.28 GPG vs Away 1.06 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
96%
Real Madrid Win
2%
Draw
2%
Ath Bilbao Win
Real Madrid
Draw
Ath Bilbao
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Real Madrid
Starting 11
7Vinicius Junior
LW7.34
10Kylian Mbappé
CF7.40
21Brahim Diaz
RW5.45
5Jude Bellingham
CAM7.05
14Aurélien Tchouaméni
CDM7.18
45Thiago Pitarch Pinar
3.07
2Daniel Carvajal
RB4.30
20Fran García
LB2.52
22Antonio Rüdiger
CB5.56
24Dean Donny Huijsen
CB6.81
1Thibaut Courtois
GK6.83
Substitutes
16Gonzalo García Torres
CF4.72
46Alvaro Leiva Alemany
SS
6Eduardo Camavinga
CM6.52
30Franco Mastantuono
4.44
-Daniel Mesonero Miguel
4David Alaba
CB1.96
12Trent Alexander-Arnold
RB5.77
17Raúl Asencio del Rosario
CB4.84
18Álvaro Fernández
LB5.51
-Javier Navarro Jiménez
-Sergio Mestre Sánchez
GK
Ath Bilbao
Starting 11
7Álex Berenguer
LW6.61
9Iñaki Williams
RW6.65
11Gorka Guruzeta
CF6.54
16Íñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (Injured)
CM6.68
18Mikel Jauregizar Alboniga
CM6.77
20Unai Gómez
CAM4.30
2Andoni Gorosabel
RB4.24
5Yeray Álvarez (Injured)
CB5.01
14Aymeric Laporte
CB6.56
17Yuri Berchiche
LB6.57
1Unai Simón
GK6.76
Substitutes
19Adama Boiro Boiro
LB2.36
21Maroan Sannadi Harrouch
CF5.02
22Nicolás Serrano Galdeano
LW2.75
23Robert Navarro
RW5.92
25Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi
CF2.04
6Mikel Vesga
CDM3.75
30Alejandro Rego Mora
CM5.32
44Selton Sued Sánchez Camilo
1.99
4Aitor Paredes
CB3.71
12Jesús Areso
RB4.86
15Íñigo Lekue
RB2.48
-Álex Padilla Pérez
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 37 matchesReal MadridvsAth Bilbao
radarTeam Profile
Real Madrid
Ath Bilbao
sports_soccer
77Attack37
shield
57Defense41
swap_horiz
87Possession50
gps_fixed
68Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
67Creativity32
gavel
45Discipline29
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
73Goals Scored41
33Goals Conceded54
14Clean Sheets6
115Big Chances77
72Big Chances Missed50
12Penalty Goals5
gps_fixedShooting
652Total Shots514
245Shots on Target170
swap_horizPassing & Possession
59.0%Avg Possession49.2%
21,562Total Passes15,308
89.6%Pass Accuracy80.5%
shieldDefending
589Tackles563
245Interceptions336
86Saves100
54.7%Duels Won46.8%
gavelDiscipline
374Fouls500
67Yellow Cards75
7Red Cards7
71Offsides50
analyticsOther
237Corners218
381Successful Dribbles278
5Errors Leading to Goal6
7.04Avg Rating6.71
history Recent Form
W
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
L
group Head to Head
PL3 Dec 2025
0-3
PL20 Apr 2025
1-0
PL4 Dec 2024
2-1
PL31 Mar 2024
2-0
PL12 Aug 2023
0-2
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
29 / 38 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
21 / 38 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
10 / 38 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
19 / 38 matches
Real Madrid CS
42%
Clean Sheets
Ath Bilbao CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
3 Dec 2025
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 3
Real Madrid
20 Apr 2025
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
4 Dec 2024
Athletic Club Bilbao
2 - 1
Real Madrid
31 Mar 2024
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
12 Aug 2023
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 2
Real Madrid
4 Jun 2023
Real Madrid
1 - 1
Athletic Club Bilbao
22 Jan 2023
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 2
Real Madrid
3 Feb 2022
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 0
Real Madrid
16 Jan 2022
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 2
Real Madrid
22 Dec 2021
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 2
Real Madrid
1 Dec 2021
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
16 May 2021
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 1
Real Madrid
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.24
Form (Overall)
1.22
Real Madrid is +84% better in terms of Points Per Game
Sevilla FC
0 - 1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Real Oviedo
FC Barcelona
2 - 0
Real Madrid
RCD Espanyol
0 - 2
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1 - 1
Real Madrid
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 1
Celta de Vigo
RCD Espanyol
2 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 1
Valencia CF
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 4
Athletic Club Bilbao
Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
Athletic Club Bilbao
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.48
X5.09
26.24
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #12
Season: Home 2.24 PPG vs Away 1.22 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 0.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.28 GPG vs Away 1.06 GPG
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Real Madrid
Starting 11
7Vinicius Junior
LW7.34
10Kylian Mbappé
CF7.40
21Brahim Diaz
RW5.45
5Jude Bellingham
CAM7.05
14Aurélien Tchouaméni
CDM7.18
45Thiago Pitarch Pinar
3.07
2Daniel Carvajal
RB4.30
20Fran García
LB2.52
22Antonio Rüdiger
CB5.56
24Dean Donny Huijsen
CB6.81
1Thibaut Courtois
GK6.83
Substitutes
16Gonzalo García Torres
CF4.72
46Alvaro Leiva Alemany
SS
6Eduardo Camavinga
CM6.52
30Franco Mastantuono
4.44
-Daniel Mesonero Miguel
4David Alaba
CB1.96
12Trent Alexander-Arnold
RB5.77
17Raúl Asencio del Rosario
CB4.84
18Álvaro Fernández
LB5.51
-Javier Navarro Jiménez
-Sergio Mestre Sánchez
GK
Ath Bilbao
Starting 11
7Álex Berenguer
LW6.61
9Iñaki Williams
RW6.65
11Gorka Guruzeta
CF6.54
16Íñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (Injured)
CM6.68
18Mikel Jauregizar Alboniga
CM6.77
20Unai Gómez
CAM4.30
2Andoni Gorosabel
RB4.24
5Yeray Álvarez (Injured)
CB5.01
14Aymeric Laporte
CB6.56
17Yuri Berchiche
LB6.57
1Unai Simón
GK6.76
Substitutes
19Adama Boiro Boiro
LB2.36
21Maroan Sannadi Harrouch
CF5.02
22Nicolás Serrano Galdeano
LW2.75
23Robert Navarro
RW5.92
25Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi
CF2.04
6Mikel Vesga
CDM3.75
30Alejandro Rego Mora
CM5.32
44Selton Sued Sánchez Camilo
1.99
4Aitor Paredes
CB3.71
12Jesús Areso
RB4.86
15Íñigo Lekue
RB2.48
-Álex Padilla Pérez
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
history Recent Form
W
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
L
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
29 / 38 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
21 / 38 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
10 / 38 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
19 / 38 matches
Real Madrid CS
42%
Clean Sheets
Ath Bilbao CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
3 Dec 2025
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 3
Real Madrid
20 Apr 2025
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
4 Dec 2024
Athletic Club Bilbao
2 - 1
Real Madrid
31 Mar 2024
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
12 Aug 2023
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 2
Real Madrid
4 Jun 2023
Real Madrid
1 - 1
Athletic Club Bilbao
22 Jan 2023
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 2
Real Madrid
3 Feb 2022
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 0
Real Madrid
16 Jan 2022
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 2
Real Madrid
22 Dec 2021
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 2
Real Madrid
1 Dec 2021
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
16 May 2021
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 1
Real Madrid
donut_small Win Probabilities
96%
Real Madrid Win
2%
Draw
2%
Ath Bilbao Win
Real Madrid
Draw
Ath Bilbao
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 37 matchesReal MadridvsAth Bilbao
radarTeam Profile
Real Madrid
Ath Bilbao
sports_soccer
77Attack37
shield
57Defense41
swap_horiz
87Possession50
gps_fixed
68Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
67Creativity32
gavel
45Discipline29
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
73Goals Scored41
33Goals Conceded54
14Clean Sheets6
115Big Chances77
72Big Chances Missed50
12Penalty Goals5
gps_fixedShooting
652Total Shots514
245Shots on Target170
swap_horizPassing & Possession
59.0%Avg Possession49.2%
21,562Total Passes15,308
89.6%Pass Accuracy80.5%
shieldDefending
589Tackles563
245Interceptions336
86Saves100
54.7%Duels Won46.8%
gavelDiscipline
374Fouls500
67Yellow Cards75
7Red Cards7
71Offsides50
analyticsOther
237Corners218
381Successful Dribbles278
5Errors Leading to Goal6
7.04Avg Rating6.71
group Head to Head
PL3 Dec 2025
0-3
PL20 Apr 2025
1-0
PL4 Dec 2024
2-1
PL31 Mar 2024
2-0
PL12 Aug 2023
0-2
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.24
Form (Overall)
1.22
Real Madrid is +84% better in terms of Points Per Game
Sevilla FC
0 - 1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Real Oviedo
FC Barcelona
2 - 0
Real Madrid
RCD Espanyol
0 - 2
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1 - 1
Real Madrid
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 1
Celta de Vigo
RCD Espanyol
2 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 1
Valencia CF
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 4
Athletic Club Bilbao
Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
Athletic Club Bilbao
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