Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Tuesday 7 April
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

Away
Real MadridTimelineBayern Munich
1st Half
Tchouameni A.
36'
Diaz L. (Gnabry S.)
sports_soccer
41'
2nd Half
Kane H.Assist: Olise M.
sports_soccer
46'
Eder MilitaoOut: Huijsen D.
sync_alt
62'
Bellingham J.Out: Pitarch T.
sync_alt
62'
Musiala J.Out: Gnabry S.
sync_alt
69'
Davies A.Out: Laimer K.
sync_alt
69'
Tah J.
71'
Diaz B.Out: Guler A.
sync_alt
71'
Mbappe K. (Alexander-Arnold T.)
sports_soccer
74'
Diaz L.
77'
Neuer M.
82'
Musiala J.
86'
Bischof T.Out: Diaz L.
sync_alt
90+3'
Goretzka L.Out: Pavlovic A.
sync_alt
90+3'

Top stats

1.98Expected goals (xG)2.99
48%Ball possession52%
20Total shots20
9Shots on target8
4Big chances3
8Corner kicks11
85% (385/452)Passes89% (437/493)
1Yellow cards4

Shots

1.98Expected goals (xG)2.99
2.05xG on target (xGOT)2.43
20Total shots20
9Shots on target8
8Shots off target6
3Blocked shots6
12Shots inside the box13
8Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances3
8Corner kicks11
37Touches in opposition box45
2Accurate through passes1
1Offsides2
12Free kicks12

Passes

85% (385/452)Passes89% (437/493)
39% (18/46)Long passes48% (20/42)
75% (80/107)Passes in final third83% (160/192)
39% (7/18)Crosses11% (2/18)
1.44Expected assists (xA)2.92
10Throw ins9

Defense

12Fouls12
85% (11/13)Tackles75% (9/12)
49Duels won40
24Clearances20
6Interceptions5
5Errors leading to shot3
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves9
2.43xGOT faced2.05
0.43Goals prevented1.05
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.72
X4.19
22.38

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
77
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 2.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 3.20 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

43%
27%
30%
Real Madrid
Draw
Bayern Munich

Match Preview

Real Madrid and Bayern Munich meet once again on Europe’s biggest stage, with this quarter-final first leg adding another chapter to the most-played fixture in UEFA competition history. The two sides have faced each other 28 times previously, and while Bayern remain one of the continent’s elite, recent history strongly favours Madrid.

Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last nine European meetings with Bayern (W7 D2) and have progressed from each of the last four knockout ties between the sides. At this stage of the competition, the pattern is even more striking, with Madrid winning all three previous Champions League quarter-final ties between the clubs.

Arbeloa’s side arrive having swept aside Manchester City 5-1 on aggregate in the last round, underlining their pedigree in knockout football. At home, they remain formidable, winning five of their six Champions League matches this season, and they have not failed to score in a home game in the competition since 2018. Their recent form across all competitions has also been strong, with five wins from their last six matches.

Bayern, however, bring serious firepower of their own. Kompany’s side have been one of the most prolific teams in this season’s competition, scoring 32 goals in just 10 matches, including a 10-2 aggregate win over Atalanta in the previous round. They arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 12 matches across all competitions, and have lost just one of their last eight Champions League away games.

There is a stylistic contrast here. Madrid’s efficiency in big moments and control at home meets Bayern’s relentless attacking output and high-tempo approach. Both sides have been consistent in front of goal, with Madrid scoring in each of their last eight Champions League matches and Bayern finding the net in every game in this season’s competition.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Real Madrid

Starting 11
-Andrii Lunin
GK6.97
-Fran García
DL6.37
-Dean Huijsen
DC7.13
-Antonio Rüdiger
DC6.48
-Trent Alexander-Arnold
DR6.72
-Arda Güler
ML7.08
-Aurélien Tchouaméni
MC7.20
-Thiago Pitarch
MC6.12
-Federico Valverde
MR7.29
-Kylian Mbappé
FW8.22
-Vinícius Júnior
FW7.22

Bayern Munich

Starting 11
-Jonas Urbig
GK7.38
-Tom Bischof
DL6.40
-Jonathan Tah
DC6.86
-Kim Min-Jae
DC6.17
-Josip Stanisic
DR7.15
-Aleksandar Pavlovic
DMC6.84
-Leon Goretzka
DMC6.21
-Luis Díaz
AML7.80
-Raphaël Guerreiro
AMC6.79
-Lennart Karl
AMR7.43
-Serge Gnabry
FW6.95
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 12 / 10 matches
Real MadridvsBayern Munich

radarTeam Profile

Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
96Attack100
shield
64Defense49
swap_horiz
80Possession90
gps_fixed
81Efficiency91
auto_fix_high
79Creativity80
gavel
34Discipline43

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

29Goals Scored32
14Goals Conceded10
4Clean Sheets2
48Big Chances56
28Big Chances Missed34
4Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

212Total Shots189
83Shots on Target82

swap_horizPassing & Possession

55.9%Avg Possession60.7%
6,404Total Passes6,521
88.5%Pass Accuracy90.2%

shieldDefending

183Tackles146
110Interceptions84
61Saves35
50.0%Duels Won49.6%

gavelDiscipline

127Fouls106
25Yellow Cards18
3Red Cards2
13Offsides14

analyticsOther

70Corners50
123Successful Dribbles104
4Errors Leading to Goal4
7.00Avg Rating7.10

Statistical Comparison

Real MadridMetricBayern Munich
28
Goals
31
22
Assists
23
6.7
Average Ratings
6.8
25.2
Average Age
26.2
181.3
Average Height (cm)
182.3
1.4
Shots pg
1.3
50%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.1
Tackles pg
1

history Recent Form

Real MadridReal Madrid
2.1 GPG
L
W
W
W
L
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
2.8 GPG
W
W
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL8 May 2024
Real Madrid
2-1
Bayern München
PL30 Apr 2024
Bayern München
2-2
Real Madrid
PL21 Jul 2019
Bayern München
3-1
Real Madrid
PL1 May 2018
Real Madrid
2-2
Bayern München
PL25 Apr 2018
Bayern München
1-2
Real Madrid
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
10 / 12 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
10 / 12 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
5 / 12 matches
Both Teams to Score
75%
9 / 12 matches
Real Madrid CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Bayern Munich CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 May 2024
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Bayern München
30 Apr 2024
Bayern München
2 - 2
Real Madrid
21 Jul 2019
Bayern München
3 - 1
Real Madrid
1 May 2018
Real Madrid
2 - 2
Bayern München
25 Apr 2018
Bayern München
1 - 2
Real Madrid
18 Apr 2017
Real Madrid
4 - 2
Bayern München
12 Apr 2017
Bayern München
1 - 2
Real Madrid
4 Aug 2016
Bayern München
0 - 1
Real Madrid
29 Apr 2014
Bayern München
0 - 4
Real Madrid
23 Apr 2014
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Bayern München
25 Apr 2012
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Bayern München
17 Apr 2012
Bayern München
2 - 1
Real Madrid

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Real Madrid
2.10
Form (Overall)
Bayern Munich
2.80

Bayern Munich is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game

RCD Mallorca
2 - 1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
3 - 2
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Elche CF
Celta de Vigo
1 - 2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
0 - 1
Getafe CF
Freiburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
Bayern München
4 - 0
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Bayern München
Bayern München
4 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern München

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