Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Home
Full Time
4:1
Wednesday 21 October
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.25
X7.06
29.42

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
47
Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.17 GPG vs Away 1.67 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.67 conc vs Away 3.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

69%
17%
14%
Real Madrid
Draw
RB Leipzig
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.201.61-25.6%
Under 2.5 Goals4.502.63+71.0%
Real Madrid Win1.251.45-13.6%
Draw6.806.06+12.2%
RB Leipzig Win8.927.36+21.2%
BTTS - Yes1.501.71-12.4%
BTTS - No2.552.40+6.1%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Real Madrid

Starting 11
-Thibaut Courtois
GK7.19
-Marc Cucurella
DL6.42
-Ibrahima Konaté
DC6.38
-Antonio Rüdiger
DC7.10
-Denzel Dumfries
DR6.02
-Aurélien Tchouaméni
DMC6.08
-Federico Valverde
DMC7.14
-Vinícius Júnior
AML5.85
-Jude Bellingham
AMC6.91
-Yan Diomande
AMR6.80
-Kylian Mbappé
FW7.92

RB Leipzig

Starting 11
-Maarten Vandevoordt
GK7.46
-David Raum
DL6.65
-Castello Lukeba
DC6.92
-Willi Orbán
DC6.42
-Ridle Baku
DR6.14
-Ezechiel Banzuzi
DMC6.24
-Neil El Aynaoui
DMC6.10
-Antonio Nusa
AML6.70
-Christopher Nkunku
AMC6.39
-Brajan Gruda
AMR7.28
-Rômulo
FW6.30
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Real Madrid are looking to make it three wins from three in the Champions League after beating Italian sides Inter and then Roma in a seven-goal thriller last time out. The hosts have won nine of 11 games in all competitions this season.

RB Leipzig failed to contain Luis Diaz on Saturday as his hat-trick condemned Die Roten Bullen to a humbling 6-1 away defeat against Bayern Munich. Before that game, the German side had won three out of four games, including a 1-0 triumph over PSV Eindhoven in this competition.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 / 6 matches
Real MadridvsRB Leipzig
2.56Goals / Match2.67
1.00Conceded / Match1.83
2Clean Sheets3
7.22Shots on Target / Match6.50
53.1%Possession %52.7%
90.0%Pass Accuracy %86.5%

radarTeam Profile

Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
97Attack94
shield
49Defense63
swap_horiz
80Possession74
gps_fixed
85Efficiency88
auto_fix_high
98Creativity90
gavel
46Discipline74

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

23Goals Scored16
9Goals Conceded11
2Clean Sheets3
35Big Chances20
22Big Chances Missed9
2Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

158Total Shots107
65Shots on Target39

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.1%Avg Possession52.7%
4,757Total Passes3,061
90.0%Pass Accuracy86.5%

shieldDefending

142Tackles90
66Interceptions49
29Saves36
57.8%Duels Won52.8%

gavelDiscipline

77Fouls59
18Yellow Cards6
2Red Cards0
17Offsides5

analyticsOther

58Corners33
122Successful Dribbles65
3Errors Leading to Goal2
7.88Avg Rating7.64

Statistical Comparison

Real MadridMetricRB Leipzig
6
Goals
2
4
Assists
1
6.8
Average Ratings
6.4
27.4
Average Age
25.2
185.1
Average Height (cm)
184.1
1.5
Shots pg
1.5
45%
Aerial Duel Success
34%
1.6
Dribbles pg
1.6
1.4
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

Real MadridReal Madrid
2.4 GPG
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1.5 GPG

group Head to Head

PL6 Mar 2024
Real Madrid
1-1
RB Leipzig
PL13 Feb 2024
RB Leipzig
0-1
Real Madrid
PL25 Oct 2022
RB Leipzig
3-2
Real Madrid
PL14 Sept 2022
Real Madrid
2-0
RB Leipzig
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3 / 4 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
2 / 4 matches
Real Madrid CS
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

6 Mar 2024
Real Madrid
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
13 Feb 2024
RB Leipzig
0 - 1
Real Madrid
25 Oct 2022
RB Leipzig
3 - 2
Real Madrid
14 Sept 2022
Real Madrid
2 - 0
RB Leipzig

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Real Madrid
2.40
Form (Overall)
RB Leipzig
1.50

Real Madrid is +60% better in terms of Points Per Game

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