Real Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Tips | Copa del Rey

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Real Sociedad

Home

Full Time

1 - 0

HT: 0 - 0

Wednesday 4 March

Ath Bilbao

Away

Real SociedadTimelineAth Bilbao

1st Half

Paredes A.

23'

2nd Half

Jauregizar M.

56'

Ruiz de Galarreta I.Out: Rego A.

sync_alt

56'

Marin P.Out: Barrenetxea A.

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59'

Herrera Y.Out: Turrientes B.

sync_alt

59'

Areso J.Out: Paredes A.

sync_alt

67'

Navarro R.Out: Sancet O.

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67'

Guruzeta G.

70'

Areso J.

81'

Serrano N.Out: Guruzeta G.

sync_alt

82'

Vesga M.Out: Jauregizar M.

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82'

Oskarsson O.Out: Soler C.

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83'

Oyarzabal M.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

87'

Laporte A.

90+2'

Munoz A.Out: Guedes G.

sync_alt

90+3'

Sucic L.Out: Oyarzabal M.

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90+3'

Herrera Y.

90+6'

Munoz A.

90+9'

Top stats

1.54Expected goals (xG)0.47

49%Ball possession51%

14Total shots11

4Shots on target2

2Big chances0

11Corner kicks8

78% (296/379)Passes79% (309/391)

2Yellow cards5

Shots

1.54Expected goals (xG)0.47

1.23xG on target (xGOT)0.11

14Total shots11

4Shots on target2

4Shots off target5

6Blocked shots4

9Shots inside the box7

5Shots outside the box4

1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances0

11Corner kicks8

30Touches in opposition box13

2Accurate through passes0

1Offsides3

16Free kicks14

Passes

78% (296/379)Passes79% (309/391)

32% (18/56)Long passes51% (33/65)

63% (67/107)Passes in final third62% (59/95)

40% (6/15)Crosses24% (5/21)

1.34Expected assists (xA)0.37

14Throw ins21

Defense

14Fouls16

65% (13/20)Tackles78% (14/18)

58Duels won58

17Clearances24

10Interceptions2

2Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3

0.11xGOT faced1.23

0.11Goals prevented0.23

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

12.18

X3.20

23.19

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Low (2/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG

Recent Form: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.60 GPG vs Away 1.80 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.60 conc vs Away 1.40 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%

36%

26%

Real Sociedad

Draw

Ath Bilbao

Match Preview

Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao will clash at Anoeta Stadium in a Copa del Rey fixture on March 4, 2026 GMT.

Real Sociedad boasts an impressive 83% win rate in the Copa del Rey and has won 50% of their last 6 home matches.

On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao has secured 4 wins in their last 6 matches and 3 wins in their last 6 away matches across all competitions.

In their head-to-head history in the Copa del Rey, Real Sociedad has a perfect record with 100% wins against Athletic Bilbao.

With both teams showing strong performances in their respective matches and Real Sociedad's dominance in the head-to-head encounters, the stage is set for a competitive battle at Anoeta Stadium.

Our algorithm predicts a draw between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao in the Basque derby.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Real Sociedad

Starting 11

10Mikel Oyarzabal

LW5.31

11Gonçalo Guedes (Injured)

SS6.04

8Beñat Turrientes

CM6.24

17Sergio Gómez

LB7.04

18Carlos Soler

CM4.56

21Arsen Zakharyan (Injured)

6.51

2Jon Aramburu

6.90

4Jon Gorrotxategi Etxaniz

5.67

5Igor Zubeldia

CB2.88

16Duje Ćaleta-Car

CB5.34

1Álex Remiro

GK2.36

Substitutes

7Ander Barrenetxea

LW4.37

12Yangel Herrera

CM3.19

28Pablo Marín

CAM4.55

19Jon Karrika

6.73

-Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira

24Luka Sučić

CAM6.97

38Luken Beitia Aguirregomezcorta

6.43

-Theo Michael Kev Folgado

3Aihen Muñoz

LB4.47

6Aritz Elustondo

CB3.25

31Jon Martín Vicente

5.86

13Unai Marrero (Injured)

GK7.43

Ath Bilbao

Starting 11

9Iñaki Williams

CF6.63

11Gorka Guruzeta

CF6.96

8Oihan Sancet

CAM7.00

16Íñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (Injured)

CM5.09

18Mikel Jauregizar Alboniga

7.25

20Unai Gómez

5.13

3Dani Vivian

CB7.40

12Jesús Areso

RB4.67

14Aymeric Laporte

CB6.62

17Yuri Berchiche

LB7.06

-Unai Simón

Substitutes

7Álex Berenguer

LW6.80

19Adama Boiro Boiro

5.17

22Nicolás Serrano Galdeano

LW3.46

25Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi

4.94

6Mikel Vesga

CDM6.58

23Robert Navarro

CAM6.99

30Alejandro Rego Mora

3.60

44Selton Sued Sánchez Camilo

3.24

2Andoni Gorosabel

RB5.11

4Aitor Paredes

CB5.95

15Íñigo Lekue

RB6.96

27Álex Padilla Pérez

6.58

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

46.9/ 98.3

Dangerous Attacks

50.5/ 112.1

39.0%

Shots on Target

31.0%

13.4

Total Shots

13.7

51.0%

Possession

47.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6

Goals Scored / Match

1.1

1.3

Goals Conceded / Match

1.5

Head-to-Head Summary

Real Sociedad Wins

33%

Draws

33%

Ath Bilbao Wins

33%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Real Sociedad	Ath Bilbao
Over 1.5 Goals	81%26/32	88%28/32
Over 2.5 Goals	59%19/32	59%19/32
Both Teams to Score	75%24/32	63%20/32

* Based on last 32 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Real Sociedad

Home Games: Real Sociedad

Last 6: Ath Bilbao

Away Games: Ath Bilbao

history Recent Form

Real Sociedad

2.1 GPG

Ath Bilbao

1.7 GPG

group Head to Head

PL11 Feb 2026

0-1

PL1 Feb 2026

1-1

PL1 Nov 2025

3-2

PL4 May 2025

0-0

PL24 Nov 2024

1-0

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

76%

26 / 34 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

38%

13 / 34 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

21%

7 / 34 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

17 / 34 matches

Real Sociedad CS

29%

Clean Sheets

Ath Bilbao CS

29%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

11 Feb 2026

Athletic Club Bilbao

0 - 1

Real Sociedad

1 Feb 2026

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 1

Real Sociedad

1 Nov 2025

Real Sociedad

3 - 2

Athletic Club Bilbao

4 May 2025

Real Sociedad

0 - 0

Athletic Club Bilbao

24 Nov 2024

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 0

Real Sociedad

13 Jan 2024

Athletic Club Bilbao

2 - 1

Real Sociedad

30 Sept 2023

Real Sociedad

3 - 0

Athletic Club Bilbao

15 Apr 2023

Athletic Club Bilbao

2 - 0

Real Sociedad

14 Jan 2023

Real Sociedad

3 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

5 Aug 2022

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 0

Real Sociedad

20 Feb 2022

Athletic Club Bilbao

4 - 0

Real Sociedad

31 Oct 2021

Real Sociedad

1 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.10

Form (Overall)

1.70

Real Sociedad is +24% better in terms of Points Per Game

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

12.18

X3.20

23.19

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Low (2/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG

Recent Form: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.60 GPG vs Away 1.80 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.60 conc vs Away 1.40 conc

Match Preview

Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao will clash at Anoeta Stadium in a Copa del Rey fixture on March 4, 2026 GMT.

Real Sociedad boasts an impressive 83% win rate in the Copa del Rey and has won 50% of their last 6 home matches.

On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao has secured 4 wins in their last 6 matches and 3 wins in their last 6 away matches across all competitions.

In their head-to-head history in the Copa del Rey, Real Sociedad has a perfect record with 100% wins against Athletic Bilbao.

With both teams showing strong performances in their respective matches and Real Sociedad's dominance in the head-to-head encounters, the stage is set for a competitive battle at Anoeta Stadium.

Our algorithm predicts a draw between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao in the Basque derby.

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

46.9/ 98.3

Dangerous Attacks

50.5/ 112.1

39.0%

Shots on Target

31.0%

13.4

Total Shots

13.7

51.0%

Possession

47.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Real Sociedad Wins

33%

Draws

33%

Ath Bilbao Wins

33%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Past Matches

Last 6: Real Sociedad

Home Games: Real Sociedad

Last 6: Ath Bilbao

Away Games: Ath Bilbao

group Head to Head

PL11 Feb 2026

0-1

PL1 Feb 2026

1-1

PL1 Nov 2025

3-2

PL4 May 2025

0-0

PL24 Nov 2024

1-0

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.10

Form (Overall)

1.70

Real Sociedad is +24% better in terms of Points Per Game

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%

36%

26%

Real Sociedad

Draw

Ath Bilbao

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Real Sociedad

Starting 11

10Mikel Oyarzabal

LW5.31

11Gonçalo Guedes (Injured)

SS6.04

8Beñat Turrientes

CM6.24

17Sergio Gómez

LB7.04

18Carlos Soler

CM4.56

21Arsen Zakharyan (Injured)

6.51

2Jon Aramburu

6.90

4Jon Gorrotxategi Etxaniz

5.67

5Igor Zubeldia

CB2.88

16Duje Ćaleta-Car

CB5.34

1Álex Remiro

GK2.36

Substitutes

7Ander Barrenetxea

LW4.37

12Yangel Herrera

CM3.19

28Pablo Marín

CAM4.55

19Jon Karrika

6.73

-Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira

24Luka Sučić

CAM6.97

38Luken Beitia Aguirregomezcorta

6.43

-Theo Michael Kev Folgado

3Aihen Muñoz

LB4.47

6Aritz Elustondo

CB3.25

31Jon Martín Vicente

5.86

13Unai Marrero (Injured)

GK7.43

Ath Bilbao

Starting 11

9Iñaki Williams

CF6.63

11Gorka Guruzeta

CF6.96

8Oihan Sancet

CAM7.00

16Íñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (Injured)

CM5.09

18Mikel Jauregizar Alboniga

7.25

20Unai Gómez

5.13

3Dani Vivian

CB7.40

12Jesús Areso

RB4.67

14Aymeric Laporte

CB6.62

17Yuri Berchiche

LB7.06

-Unai Simón

Substitutes

7Álex Berenguer

LW6.80

19Adama Boiro Boiro

5.17

22Nicolás Serrano Galdeano

LW3.46

25Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi

4.94

6Mikel Vesga

CDM6.58

23Robert Navarro

CAM6.99

30Alejandro Rego Mora

3.60

44Selton Sued Sánchez Camilo

3.24

2Andoni Gorosabel

RB5.11

4Aitor Paredes

CB5.95

15Íñigo Lekue

RB6.96

27Álex Padilla Pérez

6.58

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6

Goals Scored / Match

1.1

1.3

Goals Conceded / Match

1.5

Recent Form Stats

Market	Real Sociedad	Ath Bilbao
Over 1.5 Goals	81%26/32	88%28/32
Over 2.5 Goals	59%19/32	59%19/32
Both Teams to Score	75%24/32	63%20/32

* Based on last 32 matches

history Recent Form

Real Sociedad

2.1 GPG

Ath Bilbao

1.7 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

76%

26 / 34 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

38%

13 / 34 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

21%

7 / 34 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

17 / 34 matches

Real Sociedad CS

29%

Clean Sheets

Ath Bilbao CS

29%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

11 Feb 2026

Athletic Club Bilbao

0 - 1

Real Sociedad

1 Feb 2026

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 1

Real Sociedad

1 Nov 2025

Real Sociedad

3 - 2

Athletic Club Bilbao

4 May 2025

Real Sociedad

0 - 0

Athletic Club Bilbao

24 Nov 2024

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 0

Real Sociedad

13 Jan 2024

Athletic Club Bilbao

2 - 1

Real Sociedad

30 Sept 2023

Real Sociedad

3 - 0

Athletic Club Bilbao

15 Apr 2023

Athletic Club Bilbao

2 - 0

Real Sociedad

14 Jan 2023

Real Sociedad

3 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

5 Aug 2022

Athletic Club Bilbao

1 - 0

Real Sociedad

20 Feb 2022

Athletic Club Bilbao

4 - 0

Real Sociedad

31 Oct 2021

Real Sociedad

1 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

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Real Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Tips | Copa del Rey | FootballTips.app

Real Sociedad

Ath Bilbao

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Match Preview

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Real Sociedad

Starting 11

Substitutes

Ath Bilbao

Starting 11

Substitutes

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: Real Sociedad

Home Games: Real Sociedad

Last 6: Ath Bilbao

Away Games: Ath Bilbao

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

Match Preview

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Head-to-Head Summary

Past Matches

Last 6: Real Sociedad

Home Games: Real Sociedad

Last 6: Ath Bilbao

Away Games: Ath Bilbao

group Head to Head

Current Form Comparison

donut_small Win Probabilities

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Real Sociedad

Starting 11

Substitutes

Ath Bilbao

Starting 11

Substitutes

Team Performance (Avg)

Recent Form Stats

history Recent Form

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Subscribe for Betting Tips