Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno Prediction & Tips | Copa de Primera - Clausura | FootballTips.app

Recoleta
HomeFull Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 3
Thursday 3 September

Cerro Porteno
AwayRecoletaTimelineCerro Porteno
1st Half
Vegetti P. (Aliseda I.)
sports_soccer
14'
Vegetti P.Assist: Gamarra A.
sports_soccer
34'
Ramirez I. (Chena C.)
sports_soccer
44'
2nd Half
Rios P.Out: Falcon J.
sync_alt
46'
Baez W.Out: Silva A.
sync_alt
46'
Gimenez G.Out: Velazquez G.
sync_alt
46'
Pereira M. (Baez W.)
sports_soccer
52'
Baez W.
57'
Franco A.Out: Galeano F.
sync_alt
60'
Paredes C.Out: Gamarra A.
sync_alt
63'
Medina B.Out: Echeguren Zarza F. A.
sync_alt
64'
Rodriguez D.Out: Aliseda I.
sync_alt
64'
Ortiz R.Out: Cardozo L.
sync_alt
67'
Espinola J.
71'
Riveros B.Out: Benitez A. G.
sync_alt
75'
Torres J.Out: Vegetti P.
sync_alt
88'
Top stats
1.04Expected goals (xG)1.25
51%Ball possession49%
12Total shots12
2Shots on target6
3Big chances2
6Corner kicks3
80% (358/449)Passes83% (377/452)
2Yellow cards0
Shots
1.04Expected goals (xG)1.25
0.63xG on target (xGOT)1.56
12Total shots12
2Shots on target6
7Shots off target6
3Blocked shots0
7Shots inside the box5
5Shots outside the box7
1Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0
Attack
3Big chances2
6Corner kicks3
17Touches in opposition box31
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides2
9Free kicks12
Passes
80% (358/449)Passes83% (377/452)
39% (22/57)Long passes67% (46/69)
71% (72/102)Passes in final third70% (102/146)
30% (7/23)Crosses8% (1/13)
0.61Expected assists (xA)1.74
22Throw ins17
Defense
12Fouls9
63% (12/19)Tackles85% (11/13)
50Duels won48
20Clearances19
14Interceptions8
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves1
1.56xGOT faced0.63
-1.44Goals prevented-0.37
10Goal kicks8
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
13.92
X3.28
21.81
Recommended Bet
cancel
Home Win
Odds: 3.85Stake: Medium (6/10)
61
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.21 PPG vs Away 1.61 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.95 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.80 GPG vs Away 1.31 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.27 conc vs Away 1.38 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
41%
Recoleta Win
27%
Draw
32%
Cerro Porteno Win
Recoleta
Draw
Cerro Porteno
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.98 | 1.75 | — | +13.2% |
| Deportivo Recoleta Win | 3.85 | 2.43 | 4.28 | +58.5% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.77 | 3.56 | -15.1% |
| Cerro Porteño Win | 1.85 | 3.09 | 2.06 | -40.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.85 | 1.78 | — | +4.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Recoleta
Starting 11
11Kevin Parzajuk
CF6.70
19Héctor López Gayoso
RW6.00
33Aldo Walmor González Román
SS7.02
6José Antonio Espínola Núñez
CDM6.30
7Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán
CM6.66
3Alejandro Silva
CM6.24
4Marcos Antonio Pereira Esteche
CB6.82
5Nicolás Marotta
CB6.93
18Pedro Ríos
LB6.59
32Lucas David Monzón
CB6.69
1Andrés Valentín Marsegno
GK6.15
Substitutes
9Richart Ortiz
CF6.06
30Paul Charpentier
CF5.54
31Manuel Shupp Astigarraga
LW5.92
8Fernando Carlos Galeano Silva
CM5.97
20Marcelo Cañete
CAM4.74
21Claudio Darío Garay Ortega
CM5.18
38Juan Alexander Franco Núñez
CM6.35
3Luis Carlos Cardozo Espillaga
CB6.58
15Blas Marcelo Medina Rojas
RB6.44
23Juan Isidro Núñez Benítez
CB6.17
25Dairon Mosquera Chaverra
LB6.63
13Oscar Toledo
GK6.96
Cerro Porteno
Starting 11
11Juan Manuel Iturbe Arévalo
SS7.02
19Pablo Ezequiel Vegetti Pfaffen
CF6.88
31Ignacio Aliseda
LW6.98
5Jorge Emanuel Morel Barrios
CDM6.65
18Ariel Gamarra
CDM5.65
20Agustín Ezequiel Almendra
CM6.76
13Ángel Guillermo Benítez
LB6.58
14Lucas Ariel Quintana Rodríguez
CB7.03
2Iván Ramírez
RB6.60
23Víctor Gustavo Velázquez Ramos
CB6.79
25Roberto Júnior Fernández Torres
GK6.50
Substitutes
10Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel
LW6.04
27Jonathan Torres
CF6.25
36Freddy Ariel Noguera Rolon
CF6.57
28Carlos Daniel Franco Santacruz
CAM5.44
34Carlos Chena
7.54
38Amín Cristaldo
CM4.35
6Lucas Gabriel Merolla
6.88
35Marcelo Chaparro
LB6.69
39Josué Servín Leon
RB6.45
1Manuel Roffo
GK6.66
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 matchesRecoletavsCerro Porteno
1.57Goals / Match1.14
2.14Conceded / Match1.14
0Clean Sheets2
5.00Shots on Target / Match5.29
52.7%Possession %53.1%
79.7%Pass Accuracy %79.1%
radarTeam Profile
Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
sports_soccer
55Attack42
shield
33Defense63
swap_horiz
58Possession50
gps_fixed
68Efficiency56
auto_fix_high
58Creativity37
gavel
37Discipline73
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
11Goals Scored8
15Goals Conceded8
0Clean Sheets2
21Big Chances18
14Big Chances Missed12
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
95Total Shots98
35Shots on Target37
swap_horizPassing & Possession
52.7%Avg Possession53.1%
3,205Total Passes2,989
79.7%Pass Accuracy79.1%
shieldDefending
116Tackles129
68Interceptions77
24Saves17
50.9%Duels Won53.2%
gavelDiscipline
72Fouls60
18Yellow Cards10
1Red Cards0
8Offsides13
analyticsOther
41Corners28
61Successful Dribbles48
1Errors Leading to Goal1
6.72Avg Rating6.77
history Recent Form
W
L
W
W
L
D
L
W
L
W
group Head to Head
PL3 May 2026
2-1
PL1 Mar 2026
2-0
PL4 Oct 2025
2-0
PL26 Jul 2025
1-3
PL29 Apr 2025
1-3
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
7 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
5 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
71%
5 / 7 matches
Recoleta CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerro Porteno CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
3 May 2026
Deportivo Recoleta
2 - 1
Cerro Porteño
1 Mar 2026
Cerro Porteño
2 - 0
Deportivo Recoleta
4 Oct 2025
Cerro Porteño
2 - 0
Deportivo Recoleta
26 Jul 2025
Deportivo Recoleta
1 - 3
Cerro Porteño
29 Apr 2025
Deportivo Recoleta
1 - 3
Cerro Porteño
15 Feb 2025
Cerro Porteño
2 - 1
Deportivo Recoleta
19 Sept 2024
Deportivo Recoleta
2 - 2
Cerro Porteño
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.21
Form (Overall)
1.61
Cerro Porteno is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game
Deportivo Recoleta
1 - 2
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
3 - 1
Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta
1 - 2
2 de Mayo
Rubio Ñú
1 - 3
Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta
3 - 2
Nacional Asunción
Cerro Porteño
1 - 1
Libertad
Olimpia
2 - 1
Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño
1 - 0
Sportivo San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
1 - 0
Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño
3 - 0
Sportivo Luqueño
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities