Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Rennes

Rennes

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 28 February
Toulouse

Toulouse

Away
RennesTimelineToulouse
1st Half
Lepaul E.
24'
Nordin A. ()
sports_soccer
27'
Demba P.
42'
Cresswell C.
45+1'
2nd Half
EmersonnOut: Vignolo J.
sync_alt
46'
Vossah A.
62'
Cisse D.Out: Szymanski S.
sync_alt
73'
Blas L.Out: Tamari M.
sync_alt
73'
Sauer M.Out: Vossah A.
sync_alt
74'
Russell-Rowe J.Out: Kamanzi W.
sync_alt
81'
Embolo B.Out: Lepaul E.
sync_alt
81'
Mukiele N.Out: Nordin A.
sync_alt
90'

Top stats

0.92Expected goals (xG)0.49
65%Ball possession35%
10Total shots9
2Shots on target2
1Big chances2
6Corner kicks1
86% (580/673)Passes75% (272/361)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

0.92Expected goals (xG)0.49
0.98xG on target (xGOT)0.42
10Total shots9
2Shots on target2
6Shots off target6
2Blocked shots1
4Shots inside the box4
6Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

1Big chances2
6Corner kicks1
14Touches in opposition box18
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
13Free kicks9

Passes

86% (580/673)Passes75% (272/361)
49% (27/55)Long passes27% (14/51)
72% (106/147)Passes in final third58% (65/112)
27% (4/15)Crosses22% (2/9)
0.49Expected assists (xA)0.40
23Throw ins9

Defense

9Fouls13
43% (9/21)Tackles59% (16/27)
51Duels won51
21Clearances23
10Interceptions15
2Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves1
0.42xGOT faced0.98
0.42Goals prevented-0.02
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.03
X3.65
23.80

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #10
Season: Home 1.61 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 0.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.18 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

67%
17%
16%
Rennes
Draw
Toulouse

Match Preview

Rennes will clash with Toulouse in a Ligue 1 encounter at Roazhon Park on February 28, 2026.

Positioned 6th in the standings, Rennes will look to secure a victory against 10th-placed Toulouse, who trails behind with 6 points.

Rennes has accumulated 37 points in the league and holds a strong home record with a 67% win rate in their last 6 Ligue 1 matches at Roazhon Park.

On the other hand, Toulouse has managed to win 3 out of their last 6 away matches.

In their previous encounters, Rennes has struggled against Toulouse, having lost 4 out of the last 6 head-to-head matches in Ligue 1.

With the prediction pointing towards over 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture, both teams will be aiming to clinch a valuable win.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Rennes have now won two games on the bounce in Ligue 1, including securing three points against PSG. At home, they've lost just once in their previous six matches.

Toulouse have failed to win in their last four games, drawing two and losing two. They've also lost two on the bounce away from home, but they rank seventh for games on the road in Ligue 1.

When these two sides met earlier in the season back in October, they couldn't be separated with a 2-2 draw. Toulouse have won both of their last two trips to Rennes.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Rennes

Starting 11
-Brice Samba
GK6.64
-Quentin Merlin
DL6.62
-Lilian Brassier
DC6.60
-Anthony Rouault
DC6.73
-Aboubakar Nagida
DR6.31
-Mahdi Camara
DMC6.78
-Valentin Rongier
DMC6.93
-Arnaud Nordin
AML6.60
-Sebastian Szymanski
AMC6.50
-Mousa Tamari
AMR6.66
-Estéban Lepaul
FW6.92

Toulouse

Starting 11
-Guillaume Restes
GK6.47
-Djibril Sidibé
DC6.53
-Charlie Cresswell
DC7.23
-Mark McKenzie
DC6.65
-Dayann Methalie
DML6.53
-Mário Sauer
MC6.17
-Pape Diop
MC7.44
-Aron Dønnum
DMR7.15
-Yann Gboho
AMC7.08
-Jacen Russell-Rowe
AMC6.01
-Santiago Hidalgo
FW6.52
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 matches
RennesvsToulouse

radarTeam Profile

Rennes
Toulouse
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
50Attack41
shield
46Defense57
swap_horiz
57Possession47
gps_fixed
76Efficiency68
auto_fix_high
44Creativity30
gavel
38Discipline30

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

37Goals Scored33
35Goals Conceded27
6Clean Sheets8
50Big Chances42
21Big Chances Missed22
2Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

304Total Shots305
105Shots on Target107

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.4%Avg Possession43.3%
10,521Total Passes8,526
84.5%Pass Accuracy81.5%

shieldDefending

373Tackles372
186Interceptions205
64Saves49
50.3%Duels Won49.7%

gavelDiscipline

291Fouls331
41Yellow Cards53
4Red Cards2
54Offsides25

analyticsOther

127Corners116
148Successful Dribbles184
6Errors Leading to Goal4
6.80Avg Rating6.81

Statistical Comparison

RennesMetricToulouse
36
Goals
32
28
Assists
20
6.4
Average Ratings
6.6
26.2
Average Age
23.8
177.7
Average Height (cm)
182.3
0.9
Shots pg
1
54%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Rennes

PosTeamPWDLPts
5Lille23114837
6Rennes23107637
7Strasbourg24105935

For Toulouse

PosTeamPWDLPts
9Lorient2388732
10Toulouse2387831
11Brest2386930

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

48.6/ 88.8
Dangerous Attacks
40.1/ 82.3
34.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
12.5
Total Shots
12.0
53.0%
Possession
43.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.5
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Rennes Wins
0%
2
Draws
33%
4
Toulouse Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketRennesToulouse
Over 1.5 Goals
85%22/26
65%17/26
Over 2.5 Goals
69%18/26
46%12/26
Both Teams to Score
54%14/26
46%12/26
* Based on last 26 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Rennes

Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
Fr1
Rennes
0 - 2
Lorient
Fr1
Rennes
1 - 1
Le Havre
CdF
Rennes
3 - 0
Les Sables
Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Rennes
4 - 1
Monaco

Home Games: Rennes

Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
Fr1
Rennes
0 - 2
Lorient
Fr1
Rennes
1 - 1
Le Havre
CdF
Rennes
3 - 0
Les Sables
Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Rennes
4 - 1
Monaco

Last 6: Toulouse

Fr1
Le Havre
2 - 1
Toulouse
Fr1
Angers
1 - 0
Toulouse
Fr1
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
CdF
Angers
1 - 1
Toulouse
CdF
Lyon Duchère
1 - 2
Toulouse
Fr1
Paris FC
0 - 3
Toulouse

Away Games: Toulouse

Fr1
Le Havre
2 - 1
Toulouse
Fr1
Angers
1 - 0
Toulouse
Fr1
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
CdF
Angers
1 - 1
Toulouse
CdF
Lyon Duchère
1 - 2
Toulouse
Fr1
Paris FC
0 - 3
Toulouse

history Recent Form

RennesRennes
1.6 GPG
W
W
L
L
L
ToulouseToulouse
1.4 GPG
D
L
L
D
W

group Head to Head

PL29 Oct 2025
Toulouse
2-2
Rennes
PL3 May 2025
Toulouse
2-1
Rennes
PL10 Nov 2024
Rennes
0-2
Toulouse
PL13 Apr 2024
Rennes
1-2
Toulouse
PL17 Dec 2023
Toulouse
0-0
Rennes
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
24 / 29 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
20 / 29 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
12 / 29 matches
Both Teams to Score
66%
19 / 29 matches
Rennes CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse CS
21%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Oct 2025
Toulouse
2 - 2
Rennes
3 May 2025
Toulouse
2 - 1
Rennes
10 Nov 2024
Rennes
0 - 2
Toulouse
13 Apr 2024
Rennes
1 - 2
Toulouse
17 Dec 2023
Toulouse
0 - 0
Rennes
12 Feb 2023
Toulouse
3 - 1
Rennes
12 Nov 2022
Rennes
2 - 1
Toulouse
29 Feb 2020
Toulouse
0 - 2
Rennes
27 Oct 2019
Rennes
3 - 2
Toulouse
5 May 2019
Toulouse
2 - 2
Rennes
30 Sept 2018
Rennes
1 - 1
Toulouse
29 Apr 2018
Rennes
2 - 1
Toulouse

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Rennes
1.61
Form (Overall)
Toulouse
1.35

Rennes is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game

Auxerre
0 - 3
Rennes
Rennes
3 - 1
PSG
Lens
3 - 1
Rennes
Monaco
4 - 0
Rennes
Rennes
0 - 2
Lorient
Toulouse
1 - 1
Paris
Le Havre
2 - 1
Toulouse
Angers SCO
1 - 0
Toulouse
Toulouse
0 - 0
Auxerre
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse

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