Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.83
X3.09
22.56
Recommended Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 2.00Stake: Medium (7/10)
72
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #6
Season: Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 1.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.60 GPG vs Away 1.80 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
26%
22%
52%
Rio Ave
Draw
Estrela
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.00 | 1.78 | 2.11 | +12.3% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.80 | 2.28 | 1.90 | -21.1% |
| Rio Ave FC Win | 2.70 | 3.79 | 2.84 | -28.8% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 4.53 | 3.47 | -27.1% |
| Estrela Amadora Win | 2.65 | 2.57 | 2.78 | +3.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.72 | 1.76 | 1.86 | -2.5% |
| BTTS - No | 2.00 | 2.31 | 2.16 | -13.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 5 matchesRio AvevsEstrela
0.40Goals / Match2.20
2.20Conceded / Match1.80
1Clean Sheets0
1.80Shots on Target / Match4.60
42.0%Possession %44.8%
81.9%Pass Accuracy %81.5%
radarTeam Profile
Rio Ave
Estrela
sports_soccer
0Attack62
shield
36Defense39
swap_horiz
43Possession42
gps_fixed
44Efficiency90
auto_fix_high
18Creativity68
gavel
62Discipline48
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
2Goals Scored11
11Goals Conceded9
1Clean Sheets0
3Big Chances13
1Big Chances Missed7
0Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
33Total Shots56
9Shots on Target23
swap_horizPassing & Possession
42.0%Avg Possession44.8%
1,792Total Passes1,786
81.9%Pass Accuracy81.5%
shieldDefending
77Tackles93
44Interceptions44
19Saves16
51.4%Duels Won49.4%
gavelDiscipline
40Fouls57
6Yellow Cards12
1Red Cards0
4Offsides3
analyticsOther
15Corners18
35Successful Dribbles31
2Errors Leading to Goal0
6.75Avg Rating7.23
history Recent Form
Rio AveL
L
W
L
L
EstrelaW
D
W
D
D
group Head to Head
PL15 Mar 2026
2-1
PL25 Oct 2025
1-2
PL5 May 2025
2-0
PL23 Dec 2024
1-0
PL14 Apr 2024
2-2
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
6 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
63%
5 / 8 matches
Rio Ave CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Estrela CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
15 Mar 2026
Rio Ave FC
2 - 1
Estrela Amadora
25 Oct 2025
Estrela Amadora
1 - 2
Rio Ave FC
5 May 2025
Rio Ave FC
2 - 0
Estrela Amadora
23 Dec 2024
Estrela Amadora
1 - 0
Rio Ave FC
14 Apr 2024
Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Rio Ave FC
2 Dec 2023
Rio Ave FC
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora
14 Feb 2022
Rio Ave FC
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora
10 Sept 2021
Estrela Amadora
2 - 5
Rio Ave FC
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.60
Form (Overall)
1.10
Estrela is +83% better in terms of Points Per Game
Santa Clara
4 - 0
Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave FC
0 - 4
Sporting CP
GD Estoril Praia
0 - 2
Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave FC
0 - 2
Porto
Gil Vicente
1 - 0
Rio Ave FC
Estrela Amadora
2 - 1
Sporting Braga
Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Famalicão
CD Nacional
2 - 3
Estrela Amadora
Alverca
2 - 2
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Sporting CP
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