Rochdale vs Gillingham Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app
Rochdale
HomeFull Time
1 - 4
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Gillingham
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.08
X3.12
23.50
Recommended Bet
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Home Win
Odds: 2.10Stake: Low (4/10)
41
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #20
Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 0.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 0.83 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 0.80 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
43%
31%
26%
Rochdale
Draw
Gillingham
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.08 | 1.91 | — | +9.0% |
| Rochdale Win | 2.10 | 2.31 | 2.24 | -9.0% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.27 | 3.62 | +4.1% |
| Gillingham Win | 3.40 | 3.84 | 3.62 | -11.5% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.83 | 1.85 | — | -0.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Rochdale finally gave their fans something to cheer about when they hammered Shrewsbury Town 3-0 on home turf on Tuesday night. Before that game, Ian Watson's side had suffered three straight league defeats, scoring no goals in the process.
Gillingham travel to the Crown Oil Arena off the back of their third successive draw in League Two. Gareth Ainsworth's men are winless in five attempts in all competitions this season after their latest stalemate against Chesterfield.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Rochdale
Starting 11
-Nils Ramming
GK6.50
-Dan Moss
DL7.05
-Kaiden Wilson
DC6.34
-Ed Francis
DC6.10
-Tobi Adebayo-Rowling
DR6.38
-Harvey Gilmour
DMC6.23
-Baba Adeeko
DMC6.39
-Kane Taylor
AML6.52
-Dajaune Brown
AMC6.73
-Luke Hannant
AMR6.49
-Emmanuel Dieseruvwe
FW6.58
Gillingham
Starting 11
-Ollie Wright
GK6.72
-Logan Dobbs
DC7.00
-Omar Beckles
DC7.06
-Andy Smith
DC6.54
-Conor McManus
DML6.79
-Cameron Antwi
MC6.36
-Harry Waldock
MC6.43
-Nick Freeman
DMR7.08
-James Brophy
AMC6.95
-Ronan Hale
AMC6.62
-Will Goodwin
FW6.59
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 4 matchesRochdalevsGillingham
1.00Goals / Match0.50
1.50Conceded / Match1.25
1Clean Sheets1
2.50Shots on Target / Match3.50
59.0%Possession %43.3%
83.1%Pass Accuracy %66.2%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
4Goals Scored2
6Goals Conceded5
1Clean Sheets1
4Big Chances5
1Big Chances Missed4
gps_fixedShooting
29Total Shots45
10Shots on Target14
swap_horizPassing & Possession
59.0%Avg Possession43.3%
1,783Total Passes1,299
83.1%Pass Accuracy66.2%
shieldDefending
44Tackles75
20Interceptions51
12Saves10
43.1%Duels Won53.2%
gavelDiscipline
50Fouls49
10Yellow Cards10
1Red Cards0
8Offsides5
analyticsOther
15Corners14
12Successful Dribbles18
2Errors Leading to Goal0
6.70Avg Rating7.21
Statistical Comparison
RochdaleMetricGillingham
4
Goals
2
3
Assists
1
6.3
Average Ratings
6.6
24.9
Average Age
25.3
185.5
Average Height (cm)
183.1
0.7
Shots pg
1.1
42%
Aerial Duel Success
56%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.8
0.9
Tackles pg
1.4
history Recent Form
RochdaleW
L
L
L
GillinghamD
D
D
L
group Head to Head
PL18 Feb 2023
0-2
PL6 Aug 2022
1-0
PL23 Jan 2021
2-2
PL19 Dec 2020
1-4
PL25 Jan 2020
2-2
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
13 / 16 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
8 / 16 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4 / 16 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
8 / 16 matches
Rochdale CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Gillingham CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
18 Feb 2023
Rochdale
0 - 2
Gillingham
6 Aug 2022
Gillingham
1 - 0
Rochdale
23 Jan 2021
Gillingham
2 - 2
Rochdale
19 Dec 2020
Rochdale
1 - 4
Gillingham
25 Jan 2020
Rochdale
2 - 2
Gillingham
29 Dec 2019
Gillingham
1 - 0
Rochdale
30 Mar 2019
Gillingham
1 - 1
Rochdale
15 Sept 2018
Rochdale
3 - 0
Gillingham
13 Jan 2018
Gillingham
2 - 1
Rochdale
23 Sept 2017
Rochdale
3 - 0
Gillingham
18 Mar 2017
Rochdale
4 - 1
Gillingham
26 Nov 2016
Gillingham
3 - 0
Rochdale
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.20
Form (Overall)
0.70
Rochdale is +71% better in terms of Points Per Game
Rochdale
3 - 0
Shrewsbury Town
Colchester United
1 - 0
Rochdale
Rochdale
1 - 2
Crawley Town
Newport County
3 - 0
Rochdale
Chesterfield
1 - 1
Gillingham
Gillingham
1 - 1
Northampton Town
Fleetwood Town
0 - 0
Gillingham
Gillingham
0 - 3
Walsall
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