Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Tips | Conference League - Play Offs

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Samsunspor

Home

Full Time

1 - 3

HT: 1 - 2

Thursday 12 March

Rayo Vallecano

Away

SamsunsporTimelineRayo Vallecano

1st Half

Alemao (Palazon I.)

sports_soccer

15'

Holse C.

16'

Marius (Holse C.)

sports_soccer

21'

Yuksel C.

38'

Garcia A.Assist: Palazon I.

sports_soccer

40'

2nd Half

Ntcham O.

46'

Luiz Felipe

57'

Mendes J.

63'

Kilinc E.Out: Makoumbou A.

sync_alt

64'

Coulibaly T.Out: Cift Y. E.

sync_alt

64'

Yavru Z.Out: Mendes J.

sync_alt

64'

Valentin O.Out: Palazon I.

sync_alt

75'

Diaz P.Out: Lopez U.

sync_alt

75'

Akhomach I.

75'

de Frutos J.Out: Akhomach I.

sync_alt

75'

Alemao (Valentin O.)

sports_soccer

78'

Ndiaye C.Out: Marius

sync_alt

82'

PachaOut: Garcia A.

sync_alt

83'

Gumbau G.Out: Ciss P.

sync_alt

87'

Top stats

0.58Expected goals (xG)0.56

63%Ball possession37%

11Total shots8

5Shots on target5

1Big chances2

2Corner kicks2

80% (395/496)Passes73% (216/296)

4Yellow cards2

Shots

0.58Expected goals (xG)0.56

1.01xG on target (xGOT)1.01

11Total shots8

5Shots on target5

4Shots off target2

2Blocked shots1

7Shots inside the box4

4Shots outside the box4

0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances2

2Corner kicks2

16Touches in opposition box12

0Accurate through passes0

1Offsides3

10Free kicks13

Passes

80% (395/496)Passes73% (216/296)

36% (24/67)Long passes43% (36/83)

63% (64/102)Passes in final third53% (41/77)

23% (5/22)Crosses13% (2/15)

1.06Expected assists (xA)0.43

21Throw ins13

Defense

13Fouls10

56% (10/18)Tackles71% (10/14)

52Duels won41

14Clearances25

5Interceptions12

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4

1.01xGOT faced1.01

-1.99Goals prevented0.01

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

13.32

X3.26

22.18

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (9/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.45 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 0.60 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 1.80 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

60%

19%

22%

Samsunspor

Draw

Rayo Vallecano

Match Preview

Samsunspor will face Rayo Vallecano in a UEFA Europa Conference League match at Stadyum Samsun on March 12, 2026 GMT.

Samsunspor enters the game with 3 wins in their last 6 matches and an impressive 75 percent win rate in their last 4 Europa Conference League home matches.

Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano has secured 4 wins in their last 6 league matches and has a 50 percent away win record in the Europa Conference League.

The clash between these teams is set to be a competitive affair as they seek to advance in the tournament.

Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win with a probability of 42%.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Samsunspor

Starting 11

9Marius Mouandilmadji

ST7.41

21Carlo Holse

RW7.42

2Josafat Wooding Mendes

5.78

5Celil Yüksel

5.77

10Olivier Ntcham

CM7.46

17Logi Tómasson

LB6.76

29Antoine Makoumbou

CM6.82

55Yunus Cift (Injured)

4.93

4Rick van Drongelen (Injured)

CB7.10

37Ľubomír Šatka

CB6.98

1Okan Kocuk

GK6.71

Substitutes

-Elayis Tavsan

19Cherif Ndiaye

ST6.65

70Tanguy Coulibaly

RW6.97

-Yalçın Kayan

-Enes Albak (Injured)

-Ali Badra Diabaté

24Toni Borevković

CB3.32

28Soner Gönül

LB1.65

-Efe Berat Töruz

-İrfan Can Eğribayat

Rayo Vallecano

Starting 11

7Isi Palazón

RW6.81

-Carlos Martín

15Gerard Gumbau

CDM6.35

19Jorge De Frutos

RW7.13

21Fran Perez

7.00

23Óscar Valentín

CM4.88

-Nobel Mendy

2Andrei Ratiu

RB5.21

22Alfonso Espino

LB7.18

24Florian Lejeune

CB7.47

13Augusto Martín Batalla Barga

GK6.75

Substitutes

10Sergio Camello

CF6.83

-Ilias Akhomach

18Álvaro García

LW7.59

4Pedro Díaz Fanjul

CM5.82

8Óscar Trejo

CAM6.68

9Alemão

CF5.08

11Randy Ntekja

CAM6.87

17Unai López

CM5.51

3Pep Chavarría

LB1.07

5Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi

4.68

20Iván Balliu

RB6.76

-Daniel Cárdenas

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 / 6 matches

SamsunsporvsRayo Vallecano

radarTeam Profile

Samsunspor

Rayo Vallecano

sports_soccer

67Attack83

shield

82Defense62

swap_horiz

62Possession71

gps_fixed

82Efficiency68

auto_fix_high

61Creativity58

gavel

61Discipline12

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

15Goals Scored13

6Goals Conceded7

5Clean Sheets2

25Big Chances18

13Big Chances Missed9

1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

112Total Shots111

43Shots on Target35

swap_horizPassing & Possession

55.6%Avg Possession61.3%

3,939Total Passes3,117

83.2%Pass Accuracy86.4%

shieldDefending

161Tackles102

79Interceptions64

9Saves8

51.8%Duels Won48.3%

gavelDiscipline

96Fouls89

11Yellow Cards20

0Red Cards1

18Offsides12

analyticsOther

35Corners40

57Successful Dribbles41

0Errors Leading to Goal1

6.94Avg Rating6.90

League Standings Context

For Samsunspor

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	10

For Rayo Vallecano

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
4	Sparta Praha	6	4	1	1	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	4	1	1	13

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

45.4/ 96.0

Dangerous Attacks

49.6/ 99.6

34.0%

Shots on Target

33.0%

13.3

Total Shots

14.5

54.0%

Possession

57.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

1.1

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

Samsunspor Wins

Draws

Rayo Vallecano Wins

Total H2H Matches: 0

Recent Form Stats

Market	Samsunspor	Rayo Vallecano
Over 1.5 Goals	72%28/39	77%30/39
Over 2.5 Goals	46%18/39	49%19/39
Both Teams to Score	49%19/39	49%19/39

* Based on last 39 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Samsunspor

Home Games: Samsunspor

Last 6: Rayo Vallecano

Away Games: Rayo Vallecano

history Recent Form

Samsunspor

1.7 GPG

Rayo Vallecano

1.2 GPG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.70

Form (Overall)

1.20

Samsunspor is +42% better in terms of Points Per Game

Fenerbahçe

3 - 2

Samsunspor

0 - 0

Gaziantep FK

Fatih Karagümrük

0 - 0

Samsunspor

Antalyaspor

3 - 1

Samsunspor

0 - 3

Trabzonspor

Sevilla FC

1 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 0

Real Oviedo

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

Real Betis

1 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 0

Atlético Madrid

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

13.32

X3.26

22.18

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (9/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.45 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 0.60 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 1.80 conc

Match Preview

Samsunspor will face Rayo Vallecano in a UEFA Europa Conference League match at Stadyum Samsun on March 12, 2026 GMT.

Samsunspor enters the game with 3 wins in their last 6 matches and an impressive 75 percent win rate in their last 4 Europa Conference League home matches.

Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano has secured 4 wins in their last 6 league matches and has a 50 percent away win record in the Europa Conference League.

The clash between these teams is set to be a competitive affair as they seek to advance in the tournament.

Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win with a probability of 42%.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 / 6 matches

SamsunsporvsRayo Vallecano

radarTeam Profile

Samsunspor

Rayo Vallecano

sports_soccer

67Attack83

shield

82Defense62

swap_horiz

62Possession71

gps_fixed

82Efficiency68

auto_fix_high

61Creativity58

gavel

61Discipline12

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

15Goals Scored13

6Goals Conceded7

5Clean Sheets2

25Big Chances18

13Big Chances Missed9

1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

112Total Shots111

43Shots on Target35

swap_horizPassing & Possession

55.6%Avg Possession61.3%

3,939Total Passes3,117

83.2%Pass Accuracy86.4%

shieldDefending

161Tackles102

79Interceptions64

9Saves8

51.8%Duels Won48.3%

gavelDiscipline

96Fouls89

11Yellow Cards20

0Red Cards1

18Offsides12

analyticsOther

35Corners40

57Successful Dribbles41

0Errors Leading to Goal1

6.94Avg Rating6.90

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

45.4/ 96.0

Dangerous Attacks

49.6/ 99.6

34.0%

Shots on Target

33.0%

13.3

Total Shots

14.5

54.0%

Possession

57.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Samsunspor Wins

Draws

Rayo Vallecano Wins

Total H2H Matches: 0

Past Matches

Last 6: Samsunspor

Home Games: Samsunspor

Last 6: Rayo Vallecano

Away Games: Rayo Vallecano

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.70

Form (Overall)

1.20

Samsunspor is +42% better in terms of Points Per Game

Fenerbahçe

3 - 2

Samsunspor

0 - 0

Gaziantep FK

Fatih Karagümrük

0 - 0

Samsunspor

Antalyaspor

3 - 1

Samsunspor

0 - 3

Trabzonspor

Sevilla FC

1 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 0

Real Oviedo

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 1

Athletic Club Bilbao

Real Betis

1 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 0

Atlético Madrid

donut_small Win Probabilities

60%

19%

22%

Samsunspor

Draw

Rayo Vallecano

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Samsunspor

Starting 11

9Marius Mouandilmadji

ST7.41

21Carlo Holse

RW7.42

2Josafat Wooding Mendes

5.78

5Celil Yüksel

5.77

10Olivier Ntcham

CM7.46

17Logi Tómasson

LB6.76

29Antoine Makoumbou

CM6.82

55Yunus Cift (Injured)

4.93

4Rick van Drongelen (Injured)

CB7.10

37Ľubomír Šatka

CB6.98

1Okan Kocuk

GK6.71

Substitutes

-Elayis Tavsan

19Cherif Ndiaye

ST6.65

70Tanguy Coulibaly

RW6.97

-Yalçın Kayan

-Enes Albak (Injured)

-Ali Badra Diabaté

24Toni Borevković

CB3.32

28Soner Gönül

LB1.65

-Efe Berat Töruz

-İrfan Can Eğribayat

Rayo Vallecano

Starting 11

7Isi Palazón

RW6.81

-Carlos Martín

15Gerard Gumbau

CDM6.35

19Jorge De Frutos

RW7.13

21Fran Perez

7.00

23Óscar Valentín

CM4.88

-Nobel Mendy

2Andrei Ratiu

RB5.21

22Alfonso Espino

LB7.18

24Florian Lejeune

CB7.47

13Augusto Martín Batalla Barga

GK6.75

Substitutes

10Sergio Camello

CF6.83

-Ilias Akhomach

18Álvaro García

LW7.59

4Pedro Díaz Fanjul

CM5.82

8Óscar Trejo

CAM6.68

9Alemão

CF5.08

11Randy Ntekja

CAM6.87

17Unai López

CM5.51

3Pep Chavarría

LB1.07

5Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi

4.68

20Iván Balliu

RB6.76

-Daniel Cárdenas

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

League Standings Context

For Samsunspor

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	10

For Rayo Vallecano

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
4	Sparta Praha	6	4	1	1	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	4	1	1	13

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

1.1

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

Recent Form Stats

Market	Samsunspor	Rayo Vallecano
Over 1.5 Goals	72%28/39	77%30/39
Over 2.5 Goals	46%18/39	49%19/39
Both Teams to Score	49%19/39	49%19/39

* Based on last 39 matches

history Recent Form

Samsunspor

1.7 GPG

Rayo Vallecano

1.2 GPG

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Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Tips | Conference League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Samsunspor

Rayo Vallecano

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Match Preview

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Samsunspor

Starting 11

Substitutes

Rayo Vallecano

Starting 11

Substitutes

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

League Standings Context

For Samsunspor

For Rayo Vallecano

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: Samsunspor

Home Games: Samsunspor

Last 6: Rayo Vallecano

Away Games: Rayo Vallecano

history Recent Form

Current Form Comparison

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

Match Preview

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Head-to-Head Summary

Past Matches

Last 6: Samsunspor

Home Games: Samsunspor

Last 6: Rayo Vallecano

Away Games: Rayo Vallecano

Current Form Comparison

donut_small Win Probabilities

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Samsunspor

Starting 11

Substitutes

Rayo Vallecano

Starting 11

Substitutes

League Standings Context

For Samsunspor

For Rayo Vallecano

Team Performance (Avg)

Recent Form Stats

history Recent Form

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