San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Tips | MLS | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.77
X4.26
23.80
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.52 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 1.75 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.33 conc vs Away 1.25 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
52%
24%
23%
San Diego FC
Draw
San Jose Earthquakes
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.40 | 1.69 | 1.42 | -17.2% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 3.30 | 2.45 | 3.36 | +34.7% |
| San Diego Win | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.92 | -6.0% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 4.09 | 4.05 | -7.0% |
| SJ Earthquakes Win | 4.05 | 4.29 | 4.32 | -5.6% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.40 | 2.06 | 1.48 | -32.0% |
| BTTS - No | 2.90 | 1.94 | 3.07 | +49.2% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
San Diego FC couldn't respond to Antoine Griezmann's 28th-minute opener at the weekend as Orlando City took all three points at Inter&Co Stadium. Mikey Varas' side can fall back on their impressive home form of late - the hosts have won three straight on home turf heading into gameweek 24.
San Jose Earthquakes couldn't stop their winless streak on Sunday as Guilherme Biro's 96th-minute equaliser sent them back home with just a point to show for their efforts. The draw with Austin FC made it eight winless for Thursday's visitors.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
San Diego FC
Starting 11
-CJ dos Santos
GK6.80
-Kieran Sargeant
DL6.59
-Christopher McVey
DC6.43
-Manu Duah
DC6.88
-Oscar Verhoeven
DR6.30
-Gabriel Pirani
MC6.96
-Aníbal Godoy
MC6.46
-Jeppe Tverskov
MC6.90
-Elias Achouri
FWL6.70
-Onni Valakari
FW6.71
-Anders Dreyer
FWR7.27
San Jose Earthquakes
Starting 11
-Angus Gunn
GK6.31
-Reid Roberts
DC6.75
-Max Floriani
DC6.64
-Daniel Munie
DC6.66
-Jamar Ricketts
DML6.63
-Ronaldo Vieira
MC6.57
-Beau Leroux
MC7.01
-Benji Kikanovic
DMR6.71
-Niko Tsakiris
AMC7.10
-Eduard Löwen
AMC6.78
-Ousseni Bouda
FW6.98
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 23 matchesSan Diego FCvsSan Jose Earthquakes
1.74Goals / Match1.74
1.48Conceded / Match1.48
7Clean Sheets6
4.48Shots on Target / Match5.09
60.4%Possession %49.1%
89.1%Pass Accuracy %81.9%
radarTeam Profile
San Diego FC
San Jose Earthquakes
sports_soccer
52Attack62
shield
50Defense45
swap_horiz
72Possession47
gps_fixed
81Efficiency74
auto_fix_high
57Creativity71
gavel
34Discipline47
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
40Goals Scored40
34Goals Conceded34
7Clean Sheets6
56Big Chances74
33Big Chances Missed46
6Penalty Goals4
gps_fixedShooting
277Total Shots313
103Shots on Target117
swap_horizPassing & Possession
60.4%Avg Possession49.1%
15,084Total Passes9,579
89.1%Pass Accuracy81.9%
shieldDefending
349Tackles337
189Interceptions189
79Saves72
50.3%Duels Won47.9%
gavelDiscipline
247Fouls284
41Yellow Cards51
7Red Cards0
53Offsides27
analyticsOther
113Corners148
118Successful Dribbles133
7Errors Leading to Goal3
6.89Avg Rating6.85
Statistical Comparison
San Diego FCMetricSan Jose Earthquakes
40
Goals
39
30
Assists
28
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.7
Average Age
25.3
184.3
Average Height (cm)
182.9
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
42%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.3
Tackles pg
1.3
history Recent Form
San Diego FCW
W
W
W
W
San Jose EarthquakesD
D
L
L
W
group Head to Head
PL5 Apr 2026
3-0
PL28 Sept 2025
0-1
PL18 Aug 2025
1-2
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
1 / 3 matches
San Diego FC CS
0%
Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes CS
67%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
5 Apr 2026
SJ Earthquakes
3 - 0
San Diego
28 Sept 2025
San Diego
0 - 1
SJ Earthquakes
18 Aug 2025
SJ Earthquakes
1 - 2
San Diego
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.75
Form (Overall)
1.75
Both teams have equal form.
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1 - 0
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San Diego
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1 - 1
SJ Earthquakes
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0 - 0
SJ Earthquakes
LA Galaxy
1 - 0
SJ Earthquakes
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4 - 2
SJ Earthquakes
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1 - 3
SJ Earthquakes
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