Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Tips | Serie A Betano | FootballTips.app
Sao Paulo
HomeFull Time
2 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Atletico-MG
AwaySao PauloTimelineAtletico-MG
2nd Half
Cassierra M.Out: Reinier
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46'
FredOut: Bernard
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46'
Vitor HugoOut: Castano K.
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46'
Pablo MaiaOut: Danielzinho
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63'
Jonathan CalleriOut: Santana G.
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63'
Iago BorduchiOut: Wendell
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64'
LucianoAssist: Artur
sports_soccer
67'
Iago Borduchi (Lucas Ramon)
sports_soccer
69'
Minda A.Out: Alexsander
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70'
DjhordneyOut: Artur
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81'
Gustavo ScarpaOut: Victor Hugo
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81'
FerreiraOut: Luciano
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85'
Djhordney
90+1'
Cuello
90+4'
Top stats
1.77Expected goals (xG)0.65
52%Ball possession48%
23Total shots4
5Shots on target0
1Big chances1
16Corner kicks2
86% (450/526)Passes82% (429/521)
1Yellow cards1
Shots
1.77Expected goals (xG)0.65
2.18xG on target (xGOT)0.00
23Total shots4
5Shots on target0
10Shots off target3
8Blocked shots1
17Shots inside the box2
6Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0
Attack
1Big chances1
16Corner kicks2
32Touches in opposition box7
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
12Free kicks19
Passes
86% (450/526)Passes82% (429/521)
60% (32/53)Long passes37% (22/59)
67% (93/139)Passes in final third58% (35/60)
29% (11/38)Crosses14% (1/7)
1.04Expected assists (xA)0.11
19Throw ins21
Defense
19Fouls12
50% (9/18)Tackles70% (7/10)
50Duels won48
10Clearances27
7Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
0Goalkeeper saves3
0.00xGOT faced2.18
0.00Goals prevented0.18
7Goal kicks13
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.04
X3.15
23.86
Recommended Bet
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Away Win
Odds: 3.86Stake: Medium (7/10)
72
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Creativity (+20), Attack (+7)
👍 GOOD OPPORTUNITY (72)
🔥 Excellent Odds: 3.86 (High value)
donut_small Win Probabilities
27%
Sao Paulo Win
23%
Draw
50%
Atletico-MG Win
Sao Paulo
Draw
Atletico-MG
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 2.04 | 3.71 | 2.18 | -45.1% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 4.29 | 3.36 | -26.6% |
| Away Win | 3.86 | 2.01 | 4.12 | +92.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 24 matchesSao PaulovsAtletico-MG
1.21Goals / Match1.33
1.17Conceded / Match1.17
4Clean Sheets6
4.21Shots on Target / Match4.46
54.6%Possession %48.6%
84.6%Pass Accuracy %83.9%
radarTeam Profile
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
sports_soccer
37Attack44
shield
41Defense45
swap_horiz
57Possession56
gps_fixed
57Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
38Creativity58
gavel
35Discipline46
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
29Goals Scored32
28Goals Conceded28
4Clean Sheets6
50Big Chances59
29Big Chances Missed37
4Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
312Total Shots322
101Shots on Target107
swap_horizPassing & Possession
54.6%Avg Possession48.6%
11,011Total Passes9,955
84.6%Pass Accuracy83.9%
shieldDefending
360Tackles296
185Interceptions210
62Saves72
49.1%Duels Won50.0%
gavelDiscipline
346Fouls281
54Yellow Cards42
1Red Cards3
28Offsides40
analyticsOther
153Corners118
135Successful Dribbles183
2Errors Leading to Goal3
6.77Avg Rating6.82
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