Sao Paulo
HomeFull Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Thursday 12 February
Gremio
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.94
X3.26
24.13
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: Low (3/10)
25
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #11
Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.91 PPG vs Away 1.64 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.80 GPG vs Away 2.60 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
37%
35%
28%
Sao Paulo
Draw
Gremio
Match Preview
São Paulo and Grêmio are set to clash at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo in a Brasileiro Serie A fixture on February 12, 2026 GMT.
São Paulo currently holds the 5th spot in the standings with 4 points, while Grêmio follows closely in 9th place with 3 points.
São Paulo has been impeccable at home, securing victories in all their Brasileiro Serie A matches played at their home ground.
On the other hand, Grêmio has amassed 4 wins in their 8 matches, showcasing a decent run of form.
In past encounters between the two sides, São Paulo has struggled, succumbing to 3 defeats in their last 6 head-to-head meetings against Grêmio.
Despite their historical record, our algorithm predicts São Paulo to emerge triumphant with a 2-0 victory.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Sao Paulo
Starting 11
9Jonathan Calleri
CF7.21
14Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais
6.60
16Damián Bobadilla
7.00
42Maik Gomes Viegas
6.66
94Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
7.19
5Robert Abel Arboleda Escobar
CB7.31
13Enzo Hernán Díaz
LB6.61
28Alan Javier Franco
CB6.42
35José Sabino Chagas Monteiro
CB7.02
23Rafael Pires Monteiro (Injured)
GK6.75
Substitutes
7Lucas Moura
RW3.58
10Luciano da Rocha Neves
CF7.08
-Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira (Injured)
LW
8Marcos Antonio
CM6.79
33Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos
CDM6.61
-Lucca Marques Alencar
-Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira
-Dória
-Wendell Nascimento Borges
LB
21Cedric Soares
RB3.35
32Nahuel Ferraresi Hernández
CB3.27
-Carlos Coronel
Gremio
Starting 11
7Cristian Pavón
LW6.83
21Tetê
RW7.04
95Carlos Vinícius
CF8.13
3Wagner Leonardo
CB6.40
11Miguel Monsalve (Injured)
6.17
19Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
3.62
29Arthur Melo
CM6.78
2Fabián Balbuena
CB6.21
18João Pedro Maturano dos Santos
CAM6.26
23Marlon Rodrigues Xavier
LB7.04
1Weverton Pereira da Silva
GK6.52
Substitutes
9Francis Amuzu
LW7.02
88Willian
LW6.70
8Edenilson
CM7.07
17Douglas Moreira Fagundes
CDM3.25
-Caio Fernando de Oliveira
RW
-Viery Fernandes Santos Lopes
77Andre Henrique da Silva Martins
3.08
99José David Enamorado Gómez
LW3.21
14Marcos Rocha
RB3.25
-Gabriel Hamester Grando
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
League Standings Context
For Sao Paulo
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | São Paulo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
For Gremio
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Botafogo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Atlético PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
25.1/ 93.2
Dangerous Attacks
44.9/ 99.8
33.0%
Shots on Target
39.0%
12.6
Total Shots
10.3
57.0%
Possession
59.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.3
Goals Scored / Match
2.3
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2
Head-to-Head Summary
3
Sao Paulo Wins
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
Gremio Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Sao Paulo | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 89%8/9 | 78%7/9 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56%5/9 | 56%5/9 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67%6/9 | 44%4/9 |
* Based on last 9 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Sao Paulo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 1
Primavera SP
Br1
Santos
1 - 1
São Paulo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 0
Santos
Br1
São Paulo
2 - 1
Flamengo
BrP
Palmeiras
3 - 1
São Paulo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 3
Portuguesa SP
Home Games: Sao Paulo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 1
Primavera SP
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 0
Santos
Br1
São Paulo
2 - 1
Flamengo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 3
Portuguesa SP
BrP
São Paulo
1 - 0
São Bernardo SP
Last 6: Gremio
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 0
Novo Hamburgo RS
Br1
Grêmio
5 - 3
Botafogo
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 1
Juventude
Br1
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
BrG
Internacional
4 - 2
Grêmio
BrG
Guarany RS
0 - 2
Grêmio
Away Games: Gremio
Br1
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
BrG
Internacional
4 - 2
Grêmio
BrG
Guarany RS
0 - 2
Grêmio
BrG
Avenida RS
0 - 4
Grêmio
history Recent Form
Sao PauloD
W
GremioW
L
group Head to Head
PL16 Oct 2025
2-0
PL18 May 2025
2-1
PL1 Dec 2024
2-1
PL18 Jul 2024
1-0
PL21 Oct 2023
3-0
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
16 / 26 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
10 / 26 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 26 matches
Both Teams to Score
42%
11 / 26 matches
Sao Paulo CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Gremio CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
16 Oct 2025
Grêmio
2 - 0
São Paulo
18 May 2025
São Paulo
2 - 1
Grêmio
1 Dec 2024
Grêmio
2 - 1
São Paulo
18 Jul 2024
São Paulo
1 - 0
Grêmio
21 Oct 2023
São Paulo
3 - 0
Grêmio
4 Jun 2023
Grêmio
2 - 1
São Paulo
2 Dec 2021
Grêmio
3 - 0
São Paulo
15 Aug 2021
São Paulo
2 - 1
Grêmio
14 Feb 2021
Grêmio
1 - 2
São Paulo
31 Dec 2020
São Paulo
0 - 0
Grêmio
24 Dec 2020
Grêmio
1 - 0
São Paulo
18 Oct 2020
São Paulo
0 - 0
Grêmio
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.40
Form (Overall)
1.90
Gremio is +36% better in terms of Points Per Game
Santos
1 - 1
São Paulo
São Paulo
2 - 1
Flamengo
Grêmio
5 - 3
Botafogo
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.94
X3.26
24.13
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: Low (3/10)
25
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #11
Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.91 PPG vs Away 1.64 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.80 GPG vs Away 2.60 GPG
Match Preview
São Paulo and Grêmio are set to clash at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo in a Brasileiro Serie A fixture on February 12, 2026 GMT.
São Paulo currently holds the 5th spot in the standings with 4 points, while Grêmio follows closely in 9th place with 3 points.
São Paulo has been impeccable at home, securing victories in all their Brasileiro Serie A matches played at their home ground.
On the other hand, Grêmio has amassed 4 wins in their 8 matches, showcasing a decent run of form.
In past encounters between the two sides, São Paulo has struggled, succumbing to 3 defeats in their last 6 head-to-head meetings against Grêmio.
Despite their historical record, our algorithm predicts São Paulo to emerge triumphant with a 2-0 victory.
League Standings Context
For Sao Paulo
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | São Paulo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
For Gremio
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Botafogo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Atlético PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Team Performance (Avg)
1.3
Goals Scored / Match
2.3
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Sao Paulo | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 89%8/9 | 78%7/9 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56%5/9 | 56%5/9 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67%6/9 | 44%4/9 |
* Based on last 9 matches
history Recent Form
Sao PauloD
W
GremioW
L
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
16 / 26 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
10 / 26 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 26 matches
Both Teams to Score
42%
11 / 26 matches
Sao Paulo CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Gremio CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
16 Oct 2025
Grêmio
2 - 0
São Paulo
18 May 2025
São Paulo
2 - 1
Grêmio
1 Dec 2024
Grêmio
2 - 1
São Paulo
18 Jul 2024
São Paulo
1 - 0
Grêmio
21 Oct 2023
São Paulo
3 - 0
Grêmio
4 Jun 2023
Grêmio
2 - 1
São Paulo
2 Dec 2021
Grêmio
3 - 0
São Paulo
15 Aug 2021
São Paulo
2 - 1
Grêmio
14 Feb 2021
Grêmio
1 - 2
São Paulo
31 Dec 2020
São Paulo
0 - 0
Grêmio
24 Dec 2020
Grêmio
1 - 0
São Paulo
18 Oct 2020
São Paulo
0 - 0
Grêmio
donut_small Win Probabilities
37%
35%
28%
Sao Paulo
Draw
Gremio
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Sao Paulo
Starting 11
9Jonathan Calleri
CF7.21
14Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais
6.60
16Damián Bobadilla
7.00
42Maik Gomes Viegas
6.66
94Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
7.19
5Robert Abel Arboleda Escobar
CB7.31
13Enzo Hernán Díaz
LB6.61
28Alan Javier Franco
CB6.42
35José Sabino Chagas Monteiro
CB7.02
23Rafael Pires Monteiro (Injured)
GK6.75
Substitutes
7Lucas Moura
RW3.58
10Luciano da Rocha Neves
CF7.08
-Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira (Injured)
LW
8Marcos Antonio
CM6.79
33Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos
CDM6.61
-Lucca Marques Alencar
-Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira
-Dória
-Wendell Nascimento Borges
LB
21Cedric Soares
RB3.35
32Nahuel Ferraresi Hernández
CB3.27
-Carlos Coronel
Gremio
Starting 11
7Cristian Pavón
LW6.83
21Tetê
RW7.04
95Carlos Vinícius
CF8.13
3Wagner Leonardo
CB6.40
11Miguel Monsalve (Injured)
6.17
19Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
3.62
29Arthur Melo
CM6.78
2Fabián Balbuena
CB6.21
18João Pedro Maturano dos Santos
CAM6.26
23Marlon Rodrigues Xavier
LB7.04
1Weverton Pereira da Silva
GK6.52
Substitutes
9Francis Amuzu
LW7.02
88Willian
LW6.70
8Edenilson
CM7.07
17Douglas Moreira Fagundes
CDM3.25
-Caio Fernando de Oliveira
RW
-Viery Fernandes Santos Lopes
77Andre Henrique da Silva Martins
3.08
99José David Enamorado Gómez
LW3.21
14Marcos Rocha
RB3.25
-Gabriel Hamester Grando
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
25.1/ 93.2
Dangerous Attacks
44.9/ 99.8
33.0%
Shots on Target
39.0%
12.6
Total Shots
10.3
57.0%
Possession
59.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
3
Sao Paulo Wins
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
Gremio Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Past Matches
Last 6: Sao Paulo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 1
Primavera SP
Br1
Santos
1 - 1
São Paulo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 0
Santos
Br1
São Paulo
2 - 1
Flamengo
BrP
Palmeiras
3 - 1
São Paulo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 3
Portuguesa SP
Home Games: Sao Paulo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 1
Primavera SP
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 0
Santos
Br1
São Paulo
2 - 1
Flamengo
BrP
São Paulo
2 - 3
Portuguesa SP
BrP
São Paulo
1 - 0
São Bernardo SP
Last 6: Gremio
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 0
Novo Hamburgo RS
Br1
Grêmio
5 - 3
Botafogo
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 1
Juventude
Br1
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
BrG
Internacional
4 - 2
Grêmio
BrG
Guarany RS
0 - 2
Grêmio
Away Games: Gremio
Br1
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
BrG
Internacional
4 - 2
Grêmio
BrG
Guarany RS
0 - 2
Grêmio
BrG
Avenida RS
0 - 4
Grêmio
group Head to Head
PL16 Oct 2025
2-0
PL18 May 2025
2-1
PL1 Dec 2024
2-1
PL18 Jul 2024
1-0
PL21 Oct 2023
3-0
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.40
Form (Overall)
1.90
Gremio is +36% better in terms of Points Per Game
Santos
1 - 1
São Paulo
São Paulo
2 - 1
Flamengo
Grêmio
5 - 3
Botafogo
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
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