Scotland vs Slovenia Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League B | FootballTips.app

Scotland

Scotland

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 6 October
Slovenia

Slovenia

Away
ScotlandTimelineSlovenia
1st Half
Janza E.
30'
Christie R. (McBurnie O.)
sports_soccer
31'
McGinn J.
44'
2nd Half
Zec D.
54'
Matko A. (Sturm D.)
sports_soccer
57'
Hickey A.Out: Welsh S.
sync_alt
66'
Bowie K.Out: McBurnie O.
sync_alt
66'
Binks L.
68'
Sturm D.Assist: Matko A.
sports_soccer
71'
McPake J.Out: Christie R.
sync_alt
72'
Curtis F.Out: Gannon-Doak B.
sync_alt
73'
Celar Z.Out: Vipotnik Z.
sync_alt
79'
Zabukovnik M.
85'
Ure R.Out: McGinn J.
sync_alt
87'
Kuzmic S.Out: Matko A.
sync_alt
89'
Celar Z.
90+2'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.76
X3.38
24.94

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
70
Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.80 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.80 conc vs Away 1.60 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

52%
25%
23%
Scotland
Draw
Slovenia
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.292.05+11.8%
Under 2.5 Goals1.591.95-18.7%
Scotland Win1.771.93-8.1%
Draw3.553.94-10.0%
Slovenia Win4.804.40+9.1%
BTTS - Yes2.122.07+2.4%
BTTS - No1.651.93-14.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Scotland

Starting 11
-Angus Gunn
GK6.79
-Jack Hendry
DC6.20
-Luis Binks
DC6.54
-Stephen Welsh
DC6.70
-Andy Robertson
DML6.97
-Billy Gilmour
MC7.02
-Lewis Ferguson
MC7.16
-Nathan Patterson
DMR5.81
-John McGinn
AMC6.94
-Ryan Christie
AMC6.28
-Kieron Bowie
FW6.82

Slovenia

Starting 11
-Jan Oblak
GK7.33
-David Brekalo
DL6.98
-Vanja Drkusic
DC6.83
-Jaka Bijol
DC7.22
-Zan Karnicnik
DR6.75
-Mark Zabukovnik
DMC6.36
-Sandi Lovric
DMC6.65
-Danijel Sturm
AML6.79
-Tomi Horvat
AMC5.94
-Aljosa Matko
AMR6.53
-Zan Vipotnik
FW6.78
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Scotland meet Slovenia in UEFA Nations League League B Group 1 at Hampden Park on 6 October 2026 GMT.

Scotland lifted their group campaign with a 2-0 win over North Macedonia, while Slovenia were beaten 2-1 by Switzerland in their latest tournament match.

The earlier meeting between these sides finished 0-0, which fits the low-scoring pattern around both teams.

Scotland have lost 3 of their last 6 matches across all leagues and have been beaten in 4 of their last 7 home games.

Slovenia have drawn 7 of their last 11 matches, including 3 draws in their last 5 away fixtures.

Under 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of Scotland's last 6 matches and in 5 of Slovenia's last 6 games.

Our algorithm prediction is Under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Scott McKenna's late red card had no impact on the result last time out as Scotland cruised to a 2-0 away win against a struggling North Macedonia side. That result was Sebastien Pocognoli's first win in charge, and the home side's first of the Nations League campaign.

Slovenia travel to Hampden Park looking to avenge a 2-1 away defeat to Switzerland, during which the visitors took a second-minute lead before capitulating before the break. Bostjan Cesar's side have won just one of their last five international fixtures.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 6 matches
ScotlandvsSlovenia
0.50Goals / Match0.50
1.17Conceded / Match1.33
3Clean Sheets2
3.67Shots on Target / Match2.00
44.2%Possession %43.5%
84.2%Pass Accuracy %81.5%

radarTeam Profile

Scotland
Slovenia
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
24Attack2
shield
55Defense52
swap_horiz
48Possession34
gps_fixed
27Efficiency37
auto_fix_high
35Creativity2
gavel
27Discipline39

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

3Goals Scored3
7Goals Conceded8
3Clean Sheets2
16Big Chances2
15Big Chances Missed1
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

73Total Shots53
22Shots on Target12

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.2%Avg Possession43.5%
2,495Total Passes2,425
84.2%Pass Accuracy81.5%

shieldDefending

71Tackles76
40Interceptions63
15Saves14
50.6%Duels Won50.4%

gavelDiscipline

87Fouls78
8Yellow Cards10
2Red Cards1
6Offsides7

analyticsOther

27Corners21
38Successful Dribbles21
2Errors Leading to Goal1
7.27Avg Rating6.73

Statistical Comparison

ScotlandMetricSlovenia
2
Goals
3
1
Assists
3
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
27.8
Average Age
27.5
183.8
Average Height (cm)
184.9
1.3
Shots pg
1
53%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
1
Dribbles pg
0.5
0.7
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Scotland

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Slovenia31114
3Scotland31114
4North Macedonia30030

For Slovenia

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Switzerland33009
2Slovenia31114
3Scotland31114

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

33.4/ 70.6
Dangerous Attacks
24.6/ 55.4
32.0%
Shots on Target
28.0%
9.4
Total Shots
8.4
42.0%
Possession
44.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.2
Goals Scored / Match
0.6
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Scotland Wins
33%
2
Draws
67%
0
Slovenia Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 3

Recent Form Stats

MarketScotlandSlovenia
Over 1.5 Goals
64%9/14
43%6/14
Over 2.5 Goals
50%7/14
21%3/14
Both Teams to Score
29%4/14
21%3/14
* Based on last 14 matches

Past Matches

Home Games: Scotland

Scotland
0 - 3
Scotland
0 - 3

Away Games: Slovenia

Switzerland
2 - 1
Sweden
1 - 1

history Recent Form

ScotlandScotland
1.3 GPG
SloveniaSlovenia
1.0 GPG

group Head to Head

PL26 Sept 2026
Slovenia
0-0
Scotland
PL8 Oct 2017
Slovenia
2-2
Scotland
PL26 Mar 2017
Scotland
1-0
Slovenia
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
1 / 3 matches
Scotland CS
67%
Clean Sheets
Slovenia CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

26 Sept 2026
Slovenia
0 - 0
Scotland
8 Oct 2017
Slovenia
2 - 2
Scotland
26 Mar 2017
Scotland
1 - 0
Slovenia

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Scotland
1.30
Form (Overall)
Slovenia
1.00

Scotland is +30% better in terms of Points Per Game

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