Scotland vs Slovenia Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League B | FootballTips.app

Scotland
Home
Slovenia
AwayRecommended Bet
Key Factors
donut_small Win Probabilities
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.29 | 2.05 | 2.44 | +11.8% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.59 | 1.95 | 1.69 | -18.7% |
| Scotland Win | 1.77 | 1.93 | 1.87 | -8.1% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.94 | 3.75 | -10.0% |
| Slovenia Win | 4.80 | 4.40 | 5.06 | +9.1% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.12 | 2.07 | 2.28 | +2.4% |
| BTTS - No | 1.65 | 1.93 | 1.78 | -14.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Scotland
Starting 11
Slovenia
Starting 11
Match Preview
Scotland meet Slovenia in UEFA Nations League League B Group 1 at Hampden Park on 6 October 2026 GMT.
Scotland lifted their group campaign with a 2-0 win over North Macedonia, while Slovenia were beaten 2-1 by Switzerland in their latest tournament match.
The earlier meeting between these sides finished 0-0, which fits the low-scoring pattern around both teams.
Scotland have lost 3 of their last 6 matches across all leagues and have been beaten in 4 of their last 7 home games.
Slovenia have drawn 7 of their last 11 matches, including 3 draws in their last 5 away fixtures.
Under 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of Scotland's last 6 matches and in 5 of Slovenia's last 6 games.
Our algorithm prediction is Under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Scott McKenna's late red card had no impact on the result last time out as Scotland cruised to a 2-0 away win against a struggling North Macedonia side. That result was Sebastien Pocognoli's first win in charge, and the home side's first of the Nations League campaign.
Slovenia travel to Hampden Park looking to avenge a 2-1 away defeat to Switzerland, during which the visitors took a second-minute lead before capitulating before the break. Bostjan Cesar's side have won just one of their last five international fixtures.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 6 matchesradarTeam Profile
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
gps_fixedShooting
swap_horizPassing & Possession
shieldDefending
gavelDiscipline
analyticsOther
Statistical Comparison
League Standings Context
For Scotland
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
For Slovenia
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
Team Performance (Avg)
Head-to-Head Summary
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Scotland | Slovenia |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64%9/14 | 43%6/14 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50%7/14 | 21%3/14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 29%4/14 | 21%3/14 |
Past Matches
Home Games: Scotland
Away Games: Slovenia
history Recent Form
group Head to Head
Head-to-Head Detailed
Recent Matches
Current Form Comparison
Scotland is +30% better in terms of Points Per Game
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.