Serra vs Real Noroeste Prediction & Tips | Capixaba - Play Offs

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Serra

Home

Full Time

1 - 0

HT: 0 - 0

Thursday 26 February

Real Noroeste

Away

SerraTimelineReal Noroeste

1st Half

Rossales

31'

Erlon

33'

Marcelinho

38'

David Lima

41'

Conrado

45+2'

2nd Half

HygorOut: Chico

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57'

Hygor

59'

Jaquison

68'

Bruno PaixaoOut: Fabio Magrao

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68'

Gabriel LisboaOut: Guilherme Brito

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72'

ItaloOut: Marcelinho

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72'

Diego

76'

Giovani

78'

Francisco ArthurOut: Jaquison

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78'

Edson MikaOut: Patrick

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82'

WendelOut: Conrado

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82'

Felipe AffonsoOut: David Lima

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83'

Ribeiro S.Out: Erlon

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83'

Walney

84'

Francisco Arthur

89'

Italo

90+3'

Marcudinho ()

sports_soccer

90+4'

Marcudinho

90+6'

Gabriel Lisboa

90+11'

Top stats

47%Ball possession53%

12Total shots9

5Shots on target5

6Corner kicks1

8Yellow cards8

0Red cards1

Shots

12Total shots9

5Shots on target5

7Shots off target4

Attack

6Corner kicks1

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AI Prediction

verified Low Confidence

11.80

X3.50

23.67

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: Medium (5/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.50 conc vs Away 0.75 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%

31%

38%

Serra

Draw

Real Noroeste

League Standings Context

For Serra

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
1	Vitória ES	9	6	2	1	20
2	Serra ES	9	4	2	3	14
3	Rio Branco ES	9	3	4	2	13

For Real Noroeste

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
7	Desp. Ferroviária ES	9	3	2	4	11
8	Real Noroeste ES	9	3	2	4	11
9	SC Capixaba	9	3	1	5	10

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

41.4/ 86.4

Dangerous Attacks

36.9/ 56.9

47.0%

Shots on Target

52.0%

7.3

Total Shots

7.7

53.0%

Possession

50.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.1

Goals Scored / Match

1.1

0.8

Goals Conceded / Match

1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

Serra Wins

Draws

50%

Real Noroeste Wins

50%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Serra	Real Noroeste
Over 1.5 Goals	60%6/10	70%7/10
Over 2.5 Goals	40%4/10	40%4/10
Both Teams to Score	30%3/10	40%4/10

* Based on last 10 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Serra

Home Games: Serra

Last 6: Real Noroeste

Away Games: Real Noroeste

history Recent Form

Serra

1.4 GPG

Real Noroeste

1.4 GPG

group Head to Head

PL20 Feb 2026

2-1

PL22 Jan 2026

1-1

PL25 Jun 2025

3-4

PL6 Jul 2024

2-2

PL11 May 2024

0-0

42%

Over 2.5 Goals

47%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

79%

15 / 19 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

42%

8 / 19 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

21%

4 / 19 matches

Both Teams to Score

47%

9 / 19 matches

Serra CS

21%

Clean Sheets

Real Noroeste CS

42%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

20 Feb 2026

Noroeste

2 - 1

Serra

22 Jan 2026

Noroeste

1 - 1

Serra

25 Jun 2025

Noroeste

3 - 4

Serra

6 Jul 2024

Serra

2 - 2

Noroeste

11 May 2024

Noroeste

0 - 0

Serra

7 Feb 2024

Noroeste

5 - 1

Serra

17 May 2023

Noroeste

0 - 2

Serra

24 Mar 2023

Noroeste

1 - 0

Serra

17 Mar 2023

Serra

2 - 1

Noroeste

27 Jan 2023

Serra

1 - 2

Noroeste

1 Jun 2022

Noroeste

1 - 0

Serra

21 Apr 2022

Serra

0 - 2

Noroeste

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.40

Form (Overall)

1.40

Both teams have equal form.

Noroeste

2 - 1

Serra

1 - 2

Vitória Futebol Clube (ES)

Vilavelhense

1 - 0

Serra

Porto Vitória

0 - 1

Serra

1 - 0

Rio Branco-VN

Noroeste

2 - 1

Serra

Brasil Capixaba

0 - 2

Noroeste

0 - 1

Porto Vitória

Noroeste

3 - 2

Desportiva ES

Rio Branco ES

0 - 1

Noroeste

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AI Prediction

verified Low Confidence

11.80

X3.50

23.67