Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase

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Shakhtar Donetsk

Home

Full Time

3 - 1

HT: 1 - 1

Wednesday 14 October

AEK Athens

Away

Shakhtar DonetskTimelineAEK Athens

1st Half

Majer L.

18'

Majer L. (Pilo S.)

sports_soccer

28'

Pedrinho(Penalty)

sports_soccer

34'

Moukoudi H.

42'

2nd Half

Marlon Gomes

54'

Marin R.

61'

Isaque SilvaOut: Pedrinho

sync_alt

63'

Mendoza G.Out: Newerton

sync_alt

63'

Joao MarioOut: Majer L.

sync_alt

71'

Gacinovic M.Out: Zini

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71'

Kairinen K.Out: Vitalis M.

sync_alt

78'

Varga B.Out: Jovic L.

sync_alt

79'

Tobias V.Assist: Alisson

sports_soccer

80'

Nazaryna Y.Out: Marlon Gomes

sync_alt

81'

Zubkov O.Out: Marin R.

sync_alt

83'

Mendoza G. (Isaque Silva)

sports_soccer

86'

Lucas FerreiraOut: Alisson

sync_alt

87'

Luca MeirellesOut: Kaua Elias

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87'

Varga B.

90'

No statistics available for this match

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AI Prediction

verified Low Model Confidence

12.69

X3.41

22.62

Recommended Bet

No tip

No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG

Recent Form: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 0.75 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

36%

25%

39%

Shakhtar Donetsk

Draw

AEK Athens

payments

Value Comparison

Outcome	Market Odds	True Odds (AI)	Fair Odds	Value
Over 2.5 Goals	1.83	1.94	1.92	-5.6%
Under 2.5 Goals	1.99	2.07	2.09	-3.7%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win	2.60	2.77	2.76	-6.3%
Draw	3.50	4.06	3.72	-13.8%
AEK Athens Win	2.55	2.54	2.71	+0.2%
BTTS - Yes	1.67	1.76	1.78	-5.3%
BTTS - No	2.15	2.31	2.29	-6.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Shakhtar Donetsk

Starting 11

-Dmytro Riznyk

GK6.37

-Pedro Henrique

DL6.58

-Mykola Matviienko

DC6.06

-Valerii Bondar

DC6.18

-Vinícius Tobias

DR6.49

-Oleh Ocheretko

DMC6.23

-Marlon Gomes

DMC6.62

-Gleiker Mendoza

AML7.30

-Isaque

AMC7.46

-Alisson Santana

AMR6.49

-Kauã Elias

FW6.29

AEK Athens

Starting 11

-Alberto Brignoli

GK7.07

-Stavros Pilios

DL7.11

-Filipe Relvas

DC7.57

-Harold Moukoudi

DC7.33

-Lazaros Rota

DR8.14

-Aboubakary Koïta

ML7.93

-Milán Vitális

MC7.30

-Razvan Marin

MC8.81

-Lovro Majer

MR7.55

-Luka Jovic

FW6.22

-Zine

FW6.15

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Since drawing 1-1 with PSV Eindhoven in their Champions League opener, Shakhtar Donetsk have developed some impressive domestic momentum. The Ukrainian side have won four straight league games heading into Wednesday's contest, keeping a clean sheet in all of them.

AEK Athens are looking to make it two wins from two in the Champions League after beating Austrian side LASK 1-0 last time out, courtesy of Razvan Marin's goal. Since then, the visitors have won three and drawn one of their four competitive fixtures.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 / 6 matches

Shakhtar DonetskvsAEK Athens

2.25Goals / Match2.67

0.50Conceded / Match0.50

5Clean Sheets3

68.5%Possession %60.3%

89.2%Pass Accuracy %87.2%

radarTeam Profile

Shakhtar Donetsk

AEK Athens

sports_soccer

60Attack93

shield

74Defense71

swap_horiz

95Possession70

gps_fixed

55Efficiency88

auto_fix_high

50Creativity80

gavel

79Discipline43

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

18Goals Scored16

4Goals Conceded3

5Clean Sheets3

1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

123Total Shots104

swap_horizPassing & Possession

68.5%Avg Possession60.3%

4,851Total Passes3,060

89.2%Pass Accuracy87.2%

shieldDefending

224Interceptions46

20Saves12

53.4%Duels Won55.0%

gavelDiscipline

57Fouls93

11Yellow Cards11

9Offsides20

analyticsOther

37Corners28

106Successful Dribbles39

Statistical Comparison

Shakhtar DonetskMetricAEK Athens

Goals

Assists

6.4

Average Ratings

7.2

23.5

Average Age

27.8

181.4

Average Height (cm)

182.3

1.6

Shots pg

1.8

32%

Aerial Duel Success

64%

1.1

Dribbles pg

2.4

2.9

Tackles pg

2.3

history Recent Form

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.5 GPG

AEK Athens

2.6 GPG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.50

Form (Overall)

2.60

AEK Athens is +4% better in terms of Points Per Game

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Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app