Sheffield Utd vs Derby Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
Sheffield Utd
HomeFull Time
1:1
Saturday 24 October
Derby
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.81
X3.71
24.13
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
61
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #23
Season: Home 1.36 PPG vs Away 0.55 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 0.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
56%
23%
21%
Sheffield Utd
Draw
Derby
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.86 | -12.7% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.04 | 2.00 | 2.17 | +2.2% |
| Sheffield United Win | 1.79 | 1.78 | 1.94 | +0.3% |
| Draw | 3.63 | 4.39 | 3.94 | -17.3% |
| Derby County Win | 4.00 | 4.73 | 4.34 | -15.4% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.73 | 1.81 | 1.82 | -4.7% |
| BTTS - No | 2.10 | 2.23 | 2.21 | -5.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Sheffield Utd
Starting 11
-Michael Cooper
GK6.78
-Harrison Burrows
DL6.61
-Japhet Tanganga
DC7.05
-Liam Kitching
DC6.84
-Hamza Choudhury
DR6.73
-Oliver Arblaster
DMC6.48
-Kalvin Phillips
DMC7.00
-Ben Brereton
AML6.52
-Patrick Bamford
AMC6.64
-Tahith Chong
AMR6.44
-Thomas Cannon
FW6.72
Derby
Starting 11
-Josh Vickers
GK6.22
-Ryan Hedges
DL6.51
-Dion Sanderson
DC6.58
-Ryan Nyambe
DC6.32
-Joe Ward
DR6.68
-David Ozoh
DMC6.34
-Oscar Fraulo
DMC6.29
-Bobby Clark
AML6.75
-Sam Szmodics
AMC6.62
-Mohammed Fuseini
AMR6.51
-Carlton Morris
FW7.06
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Oliver Arblaster's goal was all that separated the two sides at full time last weekend as Sheffield United beat Bristol City at Ashton Gate. After a three-game losing streak, the Blades have responded with two wins from their last three matches.
Derby are in turmoil ahead of their trip to Bramall Lane. The Rams were beaten 1-0 at home by Stoke in gameweek 11, making it seven games without a win in the Championship. The visitors are 23rd in the standings, three points adrift from safety.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 11 matchesSheffield UtdvsDerby
1.36Goals / Match0.82
1.27Conceded / Match1.82
4Clean Sheets1
3.27Shots on Target / Match3.82
41.5%Possession %49.5%
70.7%Pass Accuracy %78.9%
radarTeam Profile
Sheffield Utd
Derby
sports_soccer
29Attack23
shield
62Defense36
swap_horiz
16Possession43
gps_fixed
75Efficiency39
auto_fix_high
35Creativity30
gavel
47Discipline43
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
15Goals Scored9
14Goals Conceded20
4Clean Sheets1
17Big Chances16
12Big Chances Missed11
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
103Total Shots140
36Shots on Target42
swap_horizPassing & Possession
41.5%Avg Possession49.5%
3,680Total Passes4,376
70.7%Pass Accuracy78.9%
shieldDefending
168Tackles177
118Interceptions105
34Saves37
49.9%Duels Won48.2%
gavelDiscipline
127Fouls139
21Yellow Cards26
1Red Cards0
28Offsides32
analyticsOther
36Corners61
47Successful Dribbles68
2Errors Leading to Goal0
7.20Avg Rating7.08
Statistical Comparison
Sheffield UtdMetricDerby
15
Goals
9
12
Assists
7
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26.8
Average Age
26.8
182.5
Average Height (cm)
180.6
0.6
Shots pg
0.9
49%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.1
Tackles pg
1.3
history Recent Form
Sheffield UtdW
L
L
W
D
DerbyL
D
L
W
L
group Head to Head
PL2 May 2026
1-2
PL1 Nov 2025
1-3
PL1 Feb 2025
0-1
PL21 Sept 2024
1-0
PL29 Jul 2023
1-3
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
12 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
9 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
61%
11 / 18 matches
Sheffield Utd CS
28%
Clean Sheets
Derby CS
11%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
2 May 2026
Derby County
1 - 2
Sheffield United
1 Nov 2025
Sheffield United
1 - 3
Derby County
1 Feb 2025
Derby County
0 - 1
Sheffield United
21 Sept 2024
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Derby County
29 Jul 2023
Derby County
1 - 3
Sheffield United
15 Jan 2022
Derby County
2 - 0
Sheffield United
25 Sept 2021
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Derby County
24 Aug 2021
Sheffield United
2 - 1
Derby County
26 Dec 2018
Sheffield United
3 - 1
Derby County
20 Oct 2018
Derby County
2 - 1
Sheffield United
1 Jan 2018
Derby County
1 - 1
Sheffield United
26 Aug 2017
Sheffield United
3 - 1
Derby County
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.40
Form (Overall)
0.80
Sheffield Utd is +75% better in terms of Points Per Game
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3 - 0
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0 - 1
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1 - 3
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3 - 2
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0 - 0
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4 - 1
Derby County
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1 - 1
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West Ham United
3 - 0
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0 - 2
Derby County
Charlton Athletic
2 - 1
Derby County
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