Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction & Tips | FA Cup | FootballTips.app

Southampton

Southampton

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 4 April
Arsenal

Arsenal

Away
SouthamptonTimelineArsenal
1st Half
Manning R.
27'
Stewart R. (Bree J.)
sports_soccer
35'
2nd Half
Gyökeres V.Out: Gabriel Jesus
sync_alt
60'
Calafiori R.Out: Lewis-Skelly M.
sync_alt
60'
Madueke N.Out: Odegaard M.
sync_alt
61'
Gyökeres V. (Havertz K.)
sports_soccer
68'
Larin C.Out: Stewart R.
sync_alt
70'
Edozie S.Out: Scienza L.
sync_alt
71'
Saliba W.Out: Gabriel
sync_alt
73'
Charles S.Out: Bragg C.
sync_alt
76'
Zubimendi M.Out: Havertz K.
sync_alt
79'
Charles S.Assist: Fellows T.
sports_soccer
85'
Jander C.
90'
Martinelli G.
90+4'
Quarshie J.Out: Manning R.
sync_alt
90+7'

Top stats

1.21Expected goals (xG)1.77
36%Ball possession64%
8Total shots23
4Shots on target7
2Big chances1
4Corner kicks9
78% (238/304)Passes89% (465/524)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

1.21Expected goals (xG)1.77
1.57xG on target (xGOT)1.85
8Total shots23
4Shots on target7
3Shots off target6
1Blocked shots10
7Shots inside the box15
1Shots outside the box8
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1
4Corner kicks9
20Touches in opposition box60
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides0
11Free kicks9

Passes

78% (238/304)Passes89% (465/524)
35% (18/51)Long passes55% (12/22)
63% (47/75)Passes in final third81% (152/187)
14% (1/7)Crosses33% (7/21)
0.35Expected assists (xA)1.60
10Throw ins7

Defense

9Fouls11
62% (8/13)Tackles71% (5/7)
34Duels won34
24Clearances18
7Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

6Goalkeeper saves2
1.85xGOT faced1.57
0.85Goals prevented-0.43
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
18.03
X5.31
21.33

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
65
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.60 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.70 PPG vs Away 2.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.20 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.40 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

12%
9%
78%
Southampton
Draw
Arsenal

Match Preview

Southampton might be hoping to become just the fifth team to beat Arsenal in all competitions this season - after Liverpool, Aston Villa, Manchester United and Manchester City - but they come into this quarter-final tie in excellent form.

The Championship side are unbeaten in 14 games in league and cup and knocked out Premier League opposition in the shape of Fulham in the last round.

Arsenal must dust themselves down after their Quadruple hopes were crushed by Manchester City's win in the Carabao Cup final before the break.

Mikel Arteta, who is likely to make changes with more important games in the Premier League and Champions League ahead, will be hoping the number of trophies his team can win this season won't be cut in half in the space of just two games.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Southampton

Starting 11
-Daniel Peretz
GK
-Ryan Manning
DL
-Jack Stephens
DC
-Taylor Harwood-Bellis
DC
-James Bree
DR
-Shea Charles
DMC
-Flynn Downes
DMC
-Léo Scienza
AML
-Finn Azaz
AMC
-Tom Fellows
AMR
-Cyle Larin
FW

Arsenal

Starting 11
-Kepa Arrizabalaga
GK
-Myles Lewis-Skelly
DL
-Riccardo Calafiori
DC
-Cristhian Mosquera
DC
-Ben White
DR
-Christian Nørgaard
DMC
-Martín Zubimendi
DMC
-Leandro Trossard
AML
-Martin Ødegaard
AMC
-Max Dowman
AMR
-Gabriel Jesus
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 39 / 10 matches
SouthamptonvsArsenal

radarTeam Profile

Southampton
Arsenal
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
57Attack96
shield
45Defense64
swap_horiz
62Possession63
gps_fixed
67Efficiency91
auto_fix_high
43Creativity74
gavel
56Discipline48

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

63Goals Scored26
48Goals Conceded5
10Clean Sheets6
112Big Chances47
73Big Chances Missed31
1Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

558Total Shots162
205Shots on Target77

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.1%Avg Possession53.5%
18,791Total Passes4,480
84.2%Pass Accuracy84.8%

shieldDefending

587Tackles114
296Interceptions73
92Saves22
50.0%Duels Won50.6%

gavelDiscipline

421Fouls125
72Yellow Cards21
1Red Cards0
69Offsides15

analyticsOther

218Corners57
250Successful Dribbles78
9Errors Leading to Goal0
6.88Avg Rating7.05

Statistical Comparison

SouthamptonMetricArsenal
6
Goals
8
26.5
Average Age
25.8
182.9
Average Height (cm)
182.5

history Recent Form

SouthamptonSouthampton
2.6 GPG
W
W
W
D
W
ArsenalArsenal
2.3 GPG
W
W
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL25 May 2025
Southampton
1-2
Arsenal
PL5 Oct 2024
Arsenal
3-1
Southampton
PL21 Apr 2023
Arsenal
3-3
Southampton
PL23 Oct 2022
Southampton
1-1
Arsenal
PL16 Apr 2022
Southampton
1-0
Arsenal
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
24 / 28 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
14 / 28 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
10 / 28 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
15 / 28 matches
Southampton CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Arsenal CS
29%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 May 2025
Southampton
1 - 2
Arsenal
5 Oct 2024
Arsenal
3 - 1
Southampton
21 Apr 2023
Arsenal
3 - 3
Southampton
23 Oct 2022
Southampton
1 - 1
Arsenal
16 Apr 2022
Southampton
1 - 0
Arsenal
11 Dec 2021
Arsenal
3 - 0
Southampton
26 Jan 2021
Southampton
1 - 3
Arsenal
23 Jan 2021
Southampton
1 - 0
Arsenal
16 Dec 2020
Arsenal
1 - 1
Southampton
25 Jun 2020
Southampton
0 - 2
Arsenal
23 Nov 2019
Arsenal
2 - 2
Southampton
24 Feb 2019
Arsenal
2 - 0
Southampton

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Southampton
2.60
Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.30

Southampton is +13% better in terms of Points Per Game

Southampton
2 - 0
Oxford United
Southampton
1 - 0
Norwich City
Coventry City
1 - 2
Southampton
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 1
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 3
Southampton
Arsenal
2 - 0
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 4
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
Arsenal

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