Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Tips | Championship - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Southampton

Southampton

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Tuesday 12 May
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Away
SouthamptonTimelineMiddlesbrough
1st Half
McGree R. (Brittain C.)
sports_soccer
5'
McGree R.
13'
Wood N.
37'
Ayling L.
38'
Stewart R.
sports_soccer
45+1'
2nd Half
Azaz F.
56'
Downes F.Out: Matsuki K.
sync_alt
66'
Browne A.Out: Conway T.
sync_alt
73'
Malanda A.
78'
Castledine L.Out: Strelec D.
sync_alt
83'
Larin C.Out: Stewart R.
sync_alt
84'
Edozie S.Out: Scienza L.
sync_alt
85'
Extra Time
Brittain C.
92'
Sarmiento J.Out: McGree R.
sync_alt
106'
Charles S.Assist: Harwood-Bellis T.
sports_soccer
116'
Bragg C.Out: Jander C.
sync_alt
119'
WelingtonOut: Edozie S.
sync_alt
119'
Hansen S.Out: Ayling L.
sync_alt
119'
Peretz D.
120+3'
Larin C.
120+6'

Top stats

1.99Expected goals (xG)0.98
59%Ball possession41%
20Total shots19
7Shots on target3
3Big chances0
11Corner kicks5
83% (489/588)Passes78% (317/406)
4Yellow cards4

Shots

1.99Expected goals (xG)0.98
1.94xG on target (xGOT)1.32
20Total shots19
7Shots on target3
6Shots off target7
7Blocked shots9
13Shots inside the box11
7Shots outside the box8
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances0
11Corner kicks5
35Touches in opposition box31
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides1
19Free kicks15

Passes

83% (489/588)Passes78% (317/406)
41% (24/59)Long passes36% (22/61)
74% (127/171)Passes in final third68% (81/119)
23% (9/40)Crosses25% (6/24)
1.52Expected assists (xA)0.51
27Throw ins28

Defense

15Fouls19
83% (19/23)Tackles70% (14/20)
64Duels won66
34Clearances53
9Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4
1.32xGOT faced1.94
0.32Goals prevented-0.06
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.43
X3.54
22.84

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.72 PPG vs Away 1.72 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.65 GPG vs Away 1.65 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

81%
9%
10%
Southampton
Draw
Middlesbrough

Match Preview

Southampton faced a Middlesbrough onslaught at the Riverside Stadium in the first leg, but Daniel Peretz's heroics ensured that the scoreline ended level, despite Boro's 21 attempts.

Tonda Eckert's side will fancy their chances when they return home in midweek. The Saints have won seven and drawn three of their last 10 at St. Mary's Stadium.

Middlesbrough's away record was the third-best in the Championship during the regular season, and they are unbeaten in six on their travels, although each of their last four away games have ended in stalemates.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Southampton

Starting 11
-Daniel Peretz
GK7.20
-Ryan Manning
DL7.36
-Nathan Wood
DC7.21
-Taylor Harwood-Bellis
DC7.71
-James Bree
DR7.22
-Caspar Jander
DMC6.73
-Flynn Downes
DMC6.25
-LÊo Scienza
AML6.54
-Finn Azaz
AMC6.26
-Kuryu Matsuki
AMR6.13
-Ross Stewart
FW6.40

Middlesbrough

Starting 11
-Sol Brynn
GK6.41
-Adilson Malanda
DC6.73
-Dael Fry
DC7.61
-Luke Ayling
DC7.27
-Matt Targett
DML7.05
-Hayden Hackney
MC
-Aidan Morris
MC7.18
-Callum Brittain
DMR7.38
-Riley McGree
AMC6.89
-Morgan Whittaker
AMC6.89
-Tommy Conway
FW7.02
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 47 / 21 matches
SouthamptonvsMiddlesbrough

radarTeam Profile

Southampton
Middlesbrough
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
61Attack31
shield
46Defense18
swap_horiz
61Possession24
gps_fixed
71Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
48Creativity26
gavel
58Discipline49

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

82Goals Scored37
56Goals Conceded29
12Clean Sheets3
1Penalty Goals0

gavelDiscipline

85Yellow Cards50
1Red Cards1

Statistical Comparison

SouthamptonMetricMiddlesbrough
0
Goals
0
0
Assists
0
6.6
Average Ratings
6.8
25.7
Average Age
26.5
182.4
Average Height (cm)
182.3
1.2
Shots pg
2.6
40%
Aerial Duel Success
60%
1
Dribbles pg
1.6
1.3
Tackles pg
1.7

history Recent Form

SouthamptonSouthampton
1.7 GPG
D
W
D
D
W
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1.7 GPG
D
D
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL9 May 2026
Middlesbrough
0-0
Southampton
PL4 Jan 2026
Middlesbrough
4-0
Southampton
PL27 Sept 2025
Southampton
1-1
Middlesbrough
PL29 Mar 2024
Southampton
1-1
Middlesbrough
PL23 Sept 2023
Middlesbrough
2-1
Southampton
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
7 / 9 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
5 / 9 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
1 / 9 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
5 / 9 matches
Southampton CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough CS
22%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 May 2026
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Southampton
4 Jan 2026
Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Southampton
27 Sept 2025
Southampton
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
29 Mar 2024
Southampton
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
23 Sept 2023
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Southampton
13 May 2017
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Southampton
11 Dec 2016
Southampton
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
21 Apr 2012
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Southampton
29 Oct 2011
Southampton
3 - 0
Middlesbrough

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Southampton
1.72
Form (Overall)
Middlesbrough
1.72

Both teams have equal form.

Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Southampton
Preston North End
1 - 3
Southampton
Southampton
2 - 2
Ipswich Town
Southampton
2 - 2
Bristol City
Swansea City
1 - 2
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Southampton
Wrexham
2 - 2
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
5 - 1
Watford
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich Town
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

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Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Tips | Championship - Play Offs | FootballTips.app