Southampton vs Norwich Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Southampton

Southampton

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Wednesday 18 March
Norwich

Norwich

Away
SouthamptonTimelineNorwich
1st Half
Azaz F.Assist: Larin C.
sports_soccer
25'
Cordoba J.
27'
Stacey J.
37'
Fisher K.
41'
2nd Half
Mattsson P.Out: Field S.
sync_alt
46'
Downes F.
48'
Mundle Smith E.Out: Kvistgaarden M.
sync_alt
60'
Bragg C.Out: Downes F.
sync_alt
65'
Mattsson P.
69'
Gibbs L.Out: Stacey J.
sync_alt
73'
Charles S.Out: Jander C.
sync_alt
74'
Fellows T.Out: Edozie S.
sync_alt
74'
Harwood-Bellis T.
82'
Azaz F.
84'
Wright J.Out: Ahmed A.
sync_alt
86'
Forson A.Out: Slimane A.
sync_alt
87'
Wood N.Out: Matsuki K.
sync_alt
89'

Top stats

0.57Expected goals (xG)1.12
43%Ball possession57%
9Total shots14
4Shots on target7
2Big chances2
5Corner kicks6
80% (278/346)Passes84% (389/461)
4Yellow cards4

Shots

0.57Expected goals (xG)1.12
1.68xG on target (xGOT)1.86
9Total shots14
4Shots on target7
2Shots off target3
3Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box6
3Shots outside the box8
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances2
5Corner kicks6
21Touches in opposition box18
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides0
13Free kicks13

Passes

80% (278/346)Passes84% (389/461)
36% (16/44)Long passes34% (15/44)
63% (51/81)Passes in final third71% (90/127)
17% (2/12)Crosses15% (3/20)
0.34Expected assists (xA)0.66
24Throw ins14

Defense

13Fouls13
67% (12/18)Tackles81% (13/16)
52Duels won53
28Clearances18
12Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

7Goalkeeper saves3
1.86xGOT faced1.68
1.86Goals prevented0.68
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.94
X3.74
23.86

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (3/10)
26
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #12
Season: Home 1.54 PPG vs Away 1.38 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.53 GPG vs Away 1.56 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

39%
39%
22%
Southampton
Draw
Norwich

Match Preview

Southampton will host Norwich City at St Mary's Stadium in the Championship on March 18, 2026.

The home side, Southampton, currently occupies the 7th position in the league standings, while Norwich City trails behind in 12th place.

Southampton has amassed 57 points, whereas Norwich City has accumulated 51 points.

Southampton has secured victories in 3 of their last 6 home matches, while Norwich City has recorded 4 wins in their recent 6 matches.

In light of their recent form and standings, Southampton will look to capitalize on their home advantage against Norwich City, who will aim to secure a crucial victory on the road.

Considering the form and statistics, our model predicts a 36% probability for Norwich City to come out on top in this encounter.

Second-half goals from Flynn Downes and Kuryu Matsuki helped Southampton seal an impressive 2-1 away win over league leaders Coventry on Saturday, ending the Sky Blues' five-match winning streak. The Saints are now unbeaten in 10 league games and are hunting down sixth-placed Wrexham.

Norwich continued their rapid ascent up the Championship standings with a routine 2-0 home win over a free-falling Preston side at the weekend. The Canaries are now in the top half after winning nine of their last 11 league matches, including each of their last four.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Southampton

Starting 11
-Daniel Peretz
GK6.69
-Ryan Manning
DL7.00
-Jack Stephens
DC6.76
-Taylor Harwood-Bellis
DC7.17
-James Bree
DR7.02
-Shea Charles
DMC6.77
-Flynn Downes
DMC6.63
-Tom Fellows
AML6.51
-Finn Azaz
AMC6.91
-Kuryu Matsuki
AMR6.68
-Cameron Archer
FW6.16

Norwich

Starting 11
-Vladan Kovacevic
GK6.65
-Kellen Fisher
DL6.64
-Harry Darling
DC6.62
-José Córdoba
DC6.85
-Jack Stacey
DR6.57
-Sam Field
DMC6.61
-Kenny McLean
DMC6.88
-Ali Ahmed
AML7.04
-Anis Ben Slimane
AMC6.97
-Liam Gibbs
AMR6.47
-Mathias Kvistgaarden
FW6.43
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 37 matches
SouthamptonvsNorwich

radarTeam Profile

Southampton
Norwich
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
57Attack41
shield
41Defense50
swap_horiz
62Possession54
gps_fixed
67Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
43Creativity37
gavel
56Discipline61

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

60Goals Scored51
48Goals Conceded45
8Clean Sheets8
107Big Chances87
70Big Chances Missed56
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

529Total Shots455
194Shots on Target158

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.1%Avg Possession52.7%
17,795Total Passes16,185
83.9%Pass Accuracy80.0%

shieldDefending

561Tackles665
271Interceptions308
84Saves96
50.0%Duels Won50.9%

gavelDiscipline

399Fouls361
68Yellow Cards64
1Red Cards1
66Offsides81

analyticsOther

207Corners185
241Successful Dribbles289
9Errors Leading to Goal5
6.86Avg Rating6.82

Statistical Comparison

SouthamptonMetricNorwich
60
Goals
49
39
Assists
31
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
25.5
Average Age
25.8
182.7
Average Height (cm)
183.9
0.9
Shots pg
0.9
46%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Southampton

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Wrexham FC3816121060
7Southampton3715121057
8Derby County381691357

For Norwich

PosTeamPWDLPts
11Swansea City381571652
12Norwich City371561651
13Stoke City381491551

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.5/ 96.1
Dangerous Attacks
42.5/ 95.7
37.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
13.7
Total Shots
12.5
56.0%
Possession
53.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Southampton Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Norwich Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketSouthamptonNorwich
Over 1.5 Goals
84%36/43
84%36/43
Over 2.5 Goals
58%25/43
53%23/43
Both Teams to Score
70%30/43
58%25/43
* Based on last 43 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Southampton

CH
Southampton
5 - 0
QPR
CH
Southampton
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
FA
Southampton
1 - 1
Leicester City
CH
Southampton
1 - 0
Watford
CH
Southampton
1 - 0
Sheffield United
CH
Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City

Home Games: Southampton

CH
Southampton
5 - 0
QPR
CH
Southampton
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
FA
Southampton
1 - 1
Leicester City
CH
Southampton
1 - 0
Watford
CH
Southampton
1 - 0
Sheffield United
CH
Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City

Last 6: Norwich

FA
Leeds United
3 - 0
Norwich City
CH
Leicester City
0 - 2
Norwich City
CH
Oxford United
0 - 3
Norwich City
CH
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Norwich City
CH
West Bromwich
0 - 5
Norwich City
CH
Wrexham FC
1 - 2
Norwich City

Away Games: Norwich

FA
Leeds United
3 - 0
Norwich City
CH
Leicester City
0 - 2
Norwich City
CH
Oxford United
0 - 3
Norwich City
CH
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Norwich City
CH
West Bromwich
0 - 5
Norwich City
CH
Wrexham FC
1 - 2
Norwich City

history Recent Form

SouthamptonSouthampton
1.5 GPG
W
D
W
W
D
NorwichNorwich
1.4 GPG
W
W
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL13 Dec 2025
Norwich City
2-1
Southampton
PL26 Aug 2025
Norwich City
0-3
Southampton
PL1 Jan 2024
Norwich City
1-1
Southampton
PL12 Aug 2023
Southampton
4-4
Norwich City
PL25 Feb 2022
Southampton
2-0
Norwich City
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
81%
17 / 21 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
12 / 21 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
6 / 21 matches
Both Teams to Score
52%
11 / 21 matches
Southampton CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Norwich CS
14%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

13 Dec 2025
Norwich City
2 - 1
Southampton
26 Aug 2025
Norwich City
0 - 3
Southampton
1 Jan 2024
Norwich City
1 - 1
Southampton
12 Aug 2023
Southampton
4 - 4
Norwich City
25 Feb 2022
Southampton
2 - 0
Norwich City
20 Nov 2021
Norwich City
2 - 1
Southampton
19 Jun 2020
Norwich City
0 - 3
Southampton
4 Dec 2019
Southampton
2 - 1
Norwich City
18 Jan 2017
Southampton
1 - 0
Norwich City
7 Jan 2017
Norwich City
2 - 2
Southampton
2 Jan 2016
Norwich City
1 - 0
Southampton
30 Aug 2015
Southampton
3 - 0
Norwich City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Southampton
1.54
Form (Overall)
Norwich
1.38

Southampton is +12% better in terms of Points Per Game

Coventry City
1 - 2
Southampton
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 1
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 3
Southampton
Southampton
5 - 0
Queens Park Rangers
Southampton
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
Norwich City
2 - 0
Preston North End
Norwich City
2 - 1
Sheffield United
Leicester City
0 - 2
Norwich City
Norwich City
2 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
Norwich City
1 - 2
Birmingham City

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