Southampton vs Swansea Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
Southampton
HomeFull Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Tuesday 8 September
Swansea
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
11.87
X3.72
23.84
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.90Stake: Medium (7/10)
68
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #1
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.00 GPG vs Away 2.50 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
37%
25%
38%
Southampton
Draw
Swansea
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.90 | 1.73 | — | +9.5% |
| Southampton Win | 1.90 | 2.72 | 2.00 | -30.1% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.96 | 3.83 | -7.9% |
| Swansea City Win | 4.00 | 2.63 | 4.20 | +52.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.65 | 1.87 | — | -11.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 5 matchesSouthamptonvsSwansea
2.20Goals / Match1.40
1.20Conceded / Match0.20
0Clean Sheets4
4.60Shots on Target / Match5.40
60.2%Possession %60.6%
86.0%Pass Accuracy %81.6%
radarTeam Profile
Southampton
Swansea
sports_soccer
79Attack51
shield
27Defense77
swap_horiz
68Possession59
gps_fixed
70Efficiency73
auto_fix_high
78Creativity63
gavel
64Discipline62
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
11Goals Scored7
6Goals Conceded1
0Clean Sheets4
14Big Chances15
6Big Chances Missed10
2Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
85Total Shots63
23Shots on Target27
swap_horizPassing & Possession
60.2%Avg Possession60.6%
2,432Total Passes2,676
86.0%Pass Accuracy81.6%
shieldDefending
61Tackles93
31Interceptions38
14Saves7
49.7%Duels Won52.7%
gavelDiscipline
43Fouls46
10Yellow Cards10
12Offsides10
analyticsOther
31Corners27
33Successful Dribbles27
1Errors Leading to Goal0
7.28Avg Rating7.71
history Recent Form
SouthamptonD
D
W
W
L
SwanseaD
W
W
D
W
group Head to Head
PL18 Apr 2026
1-2
PL18 Oct 2025
0-0
PL12 Jan 2025
3-0
PL20 Jan 2024
1-3
PL26 Dec 2023
5-0
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
55%
11 / 20 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
9 / 20 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
5 / 20 matches
Both Teams to Score
35%
7 / 20 matches
Southampton CS
55%
Clean Sheets
Swansea CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
18 Apr 2026
Swansea City
1 - 2
Southampton
18 Oct 2025
Southampton
0 - 0
Swansea City
12 Jan 2025
Southampton
3 - 0
Swansea City
20 Jan 2024
Swansea City
1 - 3
Southampton
26 Dec 2023
Southampton
5 - 0
Swansea City
8 Jan 2022
Swansea City
2 - 3
Southampton
8 May 2018
Swansea City
0 - 1
Southampton
12 Aug 2017
Southampton
0 - 0
Swansea City
31 Jan 2017
Swansea City
2 - 1
Southampton
18 Sept 2016
Southampton
1 - 0
Swansea City
13 Feb 2016
Swansea City
0 - 1
Southampton
26 Sept 2015
Southampton
3 - 1
Swansea City
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
1.80
Southampton is +11% better in terms of Points Per Game
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