Southampton vs Watford Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Southampton

Southampton

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 7 February
Watford

Watford

Away
SouthamptonTimelineWatford
1st Half
Charles S.Out: Downes F.
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38'
2nd Half
Harwood-Bellis T.
53'
Kjerrumgaard L.Out: Doumbia M.
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63'
Chakvetadze G.
66'
Larin C.Out: Stewart R.
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67'
Edozie S.Out: Scienza L.
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67'
Goglichidze S.Out: Mfuni S.
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70'
Larin C.Assist: Bree J.
sports_soccer
70'
Bree J.
75'
Petris J.Out: Ngakia J.
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85'
Mendy F.Out: Mendy N.
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85'
Baah K.Out: Maamma O.
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86'
Wood N.Out: Fellows T.
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90'
Charles S.
90+2'

Top stats

0.88Expected goals (xG)0.68
47%Ball possession53%
6Total shots11
4Shots on target2
2Big chances2
3Corner kicks9
81% (333/412)Passes82% (373/453)
3Yellow cards1

Shots

0.88Expected goals (xG)0.68
1.57xG on target (xGOT)0.24
6Total shots11
4Shots on target2
1Shots off target4
1Blocked shots5
5Shots inside the box6
1Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances2
3Corner kicks9
18Touches in opposition box27
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides0
10Free kicks10

Passes

81% (333/412)Passes82% (373/453)
37% (22/59)Long passes42% (20/48)
67% (74/111)Passes in final third75% (85/114)
19% (4/21)Crosses17% (5/30)
0.35Expected assists (xA)0.67
16Throw ins16

Defense

10Fouls10
36% (8/22)Tackles74% (14/19)
49Duels won51
27Clearances23
6Interceptions11
1Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3
0.24xGOT faced1.57
0.24Goals prevented0.57
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AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.89
X3.74
24.06

Recommended Bet

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Home Win
Stake: Low (4/10)
44
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #14 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.33 PPG vs Away 1.47 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.36 GPG vs Away 1.07 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

49%
34%
18%
Southampton
Draw
Watford

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Southampton

Starting 11
-Daniel Peretz
GK6.64
-Welington
DL6.53
-Jack Stephens
DC6.77
-Taylor Harwood-Bellis
DC7.16
-James Bree
DR7.10
-Caspar Jander
DMC6.76
-Flynn Downes
DMC6.56
-Léo Scienza
AML7.15
-Finn Azaz
AMC6.89
-Tom Fellows
AMR6.63
-Ross Stewart
FW6.58

Watford

Starting 11
-Egil Selvik
GK6.67
-Marc Bola
DL6.81
-James Abankwah
DC6.74
-Stephen Mfuni
DC6.48
-Jeremy Ngakia
DR6.99
-Nampalys Mendy
DMC6.30
-Imrân Louza
DMC7.20
-Othmane Maamma
AML6.90
-Giorgi Chakvetadze
AMC6.42
-Kwadwo Baah
AMR6.20
-Luca Kjerrumgaard
FW6.65
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

A clash between Southampton and Watford is set to take place at St Mary's Stadium on February 7th, 2026.

In the Championship, Southampton finds themselves in the 14th position, while Watford sits 8th in the standings with Southampton trailing behind in points.

Southampton has accrued 40 points, whereas Watford has 44 points.

In their recent performances, Southampton has secured 3 wins in their last 6 home matches in the league, contrasting with Watford who has suffered 3 losses in their previous 6 matches across various leagues.

Additionally, both teams have seen Under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 3 matches in the Championship.

With these statistics in mind, the match between Southampton and Watford is poised to be a closely contested one with a prediction for a draw.

Tonda Eckert was able to breathe a sigh of relief in gameweek 30 as goals from Finn Azaz and Flynn Downes sealed a 2-0 away win against Stoke. The Saints have responded to a challenging run with seven points from their last three league games.

Watford were rocked by news of Javi Gracia's resignation ahead of their trip to the MKM Stadium on Tuesday night to take on Hull. The managerless Hornets were unfortunate to take home only a point from Yorkshire after a strong midweek showing. Saturday's visitors are looking to end a five-match winless streak at St. Mary's Stadium.

Statistical Comparison

SouthamptonMetricWatford
44
Goals
39
29
Assists
25
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
25.9
Average Age
24.6
182.7
Average Height (cm)
181.7
0.9
Shots pg
1
46%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.8
1.4
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Southampton

PosTeamPWDLPts
13Birmingham City301191042
14Southampton3010101040
15Sheffield United301231539

For Watford

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Derby County30129945
8Watford301111844
9Preston North End301111844

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

46.6/ 95.0
Dangerous Attacks
40.2/ 87.5
35.0%
Shots on Target
32.0%
14.2
Total Shots
13.6
56.0%
Possession
51.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Southampton Wins
33%
3
Draws
50%
1
Watford Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketSouthamptonWatford
Over 1.5 Goals
85%29/34
74%25/34
Over 2.5 Goals
62%21/34
47%16/34
Both Teams to Score
71%24/34
62%21/34
* Based on last 34 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Southampton

CH
Stoke City
0 - 2
Southampton
CH
Portsmouth
1 - 1
Southampton
CH
Southampton
1 - 0
Sheffield United
CH
Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City
FA
Doncaster Rovers
2 - 3
Southampton
CH
Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Southampton

Home Games: Southampton

CH
Southampton
1 - 0
Sheffield United
CH
Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City
CH
Southampton
0 - 0
Millwall
CH
Southampton
1 - 1
Coventry City
CH
Southampton
3 - 2
West Bromwich
CH
Southampton
3 - 1
Birmingham City

Last 6: Watford

CH
Hull City
0 - 0
Watford
CH
Watford
0 - 2
Swansea City
CH
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 1
Watford
CH
Watford
1 - 1
Portsmouth
CH
Watford
0 - 2
Millwall
FA
Bristol City
5 - 1
Watford

Away Games: Watford

CH
Hull City
0 - 0
Watford
CH
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 1
Watford
FA
Bristol City
5 - 1
Watford
CH
Norwich City
0 - 1
Watford
CH
Leicester City
1 - 2
Watford
CH
Wrexham FC
2 - 2
Watford

history Recent Form

SouthamptonSouthampton
1.3 GPG
W
W
D
W
L
WatfordWatford
1.5 GPG
L
D
L
D
D

group Head to Head

PL30 Aug 2025
Watford
2-2
Southampton
PL13 Apr 2024
Southampton
3-2
Watford
PL6 Feb 2024
Southampton
3-0
Watford
PL28 Jan 2024
Watford
1-1
Southampton
PL9 Dec 2023
Watford
1-1
Southampton
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
19 / 23 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
12 / 23 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
7 / 23 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
13 / 23 matches
Southampton CS
35%
Clean Sheets
Watford CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

30 Aug 2025
Watford
2 - 2
Southampton
13 Apr 2024
Southampton
3 - 2
Watford
6 Feb 2024
Southampton
3 - 0
Watford
28 Jan 2024
Watford
1 - 1
Southampton
9 Dec 2023
Watford
1 - 1
Southampton
23 Jul 2022
Watford
0 - 0
Southampton
13 Mar 2022
Southampton
1 - 2
Watford
30 Oct 2021
Watford
0 - 1
Southampton
28 Jun 2020
Watford
1 - 3
Southampton
30 Nov 2019
Southampton
2 - 1
Watford
23 Apr 2019
Watford
1 - 1
Southampton
10 Nov 2018
Southampton
1 - 1
Watford

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Southampton
1.33
Form (Overall)
Watford
1.47

Watford is +11% better in terms of Points Per Game

Southampton
1 - 0
Watford
Stoke City
0 - 2
Southampton
Portsmouth
1 - 1
Southampton
Southampton
1 - 0
Sheffield United
Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City
Southampton
1 - 0
Watford
Hull City
0 - 0
Watford
Watford
0 - 2
Swansea City
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 1
Watford
Watford
1 - 1
Portsmouth

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