Spain vs Croatia Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Spain

Spain

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 2 - 1
Tuesday 29 September
Croatia

Croatia

Away
SpainTimelineCroatia
1st Half
Lamine Yamal (Baena A.)
sports_soccer
2'
Pongracic M.
18'
Beljo D. (Perisic I.)
sports_soccer
28'
Pubill M.Assist: Lamine Yamal
sports_soccer
31'
Sucic P.
37'
2nd Half
Vuskovic L.Out: Pongracic M.
sync_alt
46'
Baena A.
49'
Pasalic M.
54'
PedriOut: Ruiz F.
sync_alt
57'
Merino M.Out: Fermin
sync_alt
57'
Misic J.
58'
Budimir A.Out: Beljo D.
sync_alt
60'
Pasalic M.Out: Kovacic M.
sync_alt
60'
Lamine Yamal (Pedri)
sports_soccer
63'
Williams N.Out: Baena A.
sync_alt
68'
Munoz V.Out: Lamine Yamal
sync_alt
68'
RodriOut: Zubimendi M.
sync_alt
72'
Ivanovic F.Out: Perisic I.
sync_alt
72'
Modric L.Out: Sucic P.
sync_alt
81'
Williams N. (Merino M.)
sports_soccer
89'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.19
X6.74
213.30

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.80 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.80 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.71 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.20 conc vs Away 1.86 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

60%
23%
17%
Spain
Draw
Croatia
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.461.73-15.5%
Under 2.5 Goals2.552.37+7.4%
Spain Win1.121.67-32.8%
Draw6.504.43+46.7%
Croatia Win9.007.94+13.4%
BTTS - Yes2.171.83+18.7%
BTTS - No1.622.21-26.6%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Spain scored twice in the final half-hour of their game against England at Wembley on Saturday night as the newly crowned world champions won 3-2 on their travels. Luis De La Fuente's side are now chasing a ninth consecutive international victory in midweek.

Croatia responded well to Adam Karabec's 54th-minute equaliser on Saturday as Marco Pasalic's late strike proved enough for three points in their Nations League opener. The visitors have won three of their last four, but face an extremely tough test here.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Spain

Starting 11
-Unai Simón
GK6.17
-Marc Cucurella
DL6.47
-Dean Huijsen
DC
-Pau Cubarsí
DC6.39
-Marc Pubill
DR6.37
-Fabián Ruiz
DMC6.16
-Rodri
DMC7.18
-Álex Baena
AML8.09
-Dani Olmo
AMC7.93
-Lamine Yamal
AMR7.94
-Mikel Oyarzabal
FW6.87

Croatia

Starting 11
-Dominik Livakovic
GK6.23
-Ivan Perisic
DL7.46
-Josko Gvardiol
DC6.60
-Luka Vuskovic
DC5.89
-Josip Stanisic
DR6.49
-Luka Modric
DMC7.42
-Mateo Kovacic
DMC6.97
-Marco Pasalic
AML6.92
-Petar Sucic
AMC6.50
-Luka Sucic
AMR6.45
-Ante Budimir
FW6.34
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 / 1 matches
SpainvsCroatia
0.91Goals / Match2.00
1.78Conceded / Match1.00
6Clean Sheets0
45.5%Possession %56.0%
78.5%Pass Accuracy %86.7%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

21Goals Scored2
41Goals Conceded1
6Clean Sheets0

gps_fixedShooting

252Total Shots16

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.5%Avg Possession56.0%
9,013Total Passes564
78.5%Pass Accuracy86.7%

shieldDefending

1,078Interceptions11
92Saves1
45.6%Duels Won46.0%

gavelDiscipline

255Fouls9
45Yellow Cards1
36Offsides0

analyticsOther

107Corners6
205Successful Dribbles5

Statistical Comparison

SpainMetricCroatia
3
Goals
2
2
Assists
2
6.7
Average Ratings
6.6
25.5
Average Age
28.8
184.3
Average Height (cm)
183.8
2.5
Shots pg
1.6
64%
Aerial Duel Success
39%
1.3
Dribbles pg
1
3.3
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

SpainSpain
2.8 GPG
CroatiaCroatia
1.8 GPG
W
L
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL15 Jun 2024
Spain
3-0
Croatia
PL18 Jun 2023
Croatia
0-0
Spain
PL28 Jun 2021
Croatia
3-5
Spain
PL15 Nov 2018
Croatia
3-2
Spain
PL11 Sept 2018
Spain
6-0
Croatia
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
3 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
3 / 6 matches
Spain CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Croatia CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

15 Jun 2024
Spain
3 - 0
Croatia
18 Jun 2023
Croatia
0 - 0
Spain
28 Jun 2021
Croatia
3 - 5
Spain
15 Nov 2018
Croatia
3 - 2
Spain
11 Sept 2018
Spain
6 - 0
Croatia
21 Jun 2016
Croatia
2 - 1
Spain

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Spain
2.80
Form (Overall)
Croatia
1.80

Spain is +56% better in terms of Points Per Game

Czech Republic
1 - 2
Croatia
Portugal
2 - 1
Croatia
Croatia
2 - 1
Ghana
Panama
0 - 1
Croatia
England
4 - 2
Croatia

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