Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom Prediction & Tips | Europa League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 15 October
Lillestrom

Lillestrom

Away
Sparta PragueTimelineLillestrom
1st Half
Suchomel M.
18'
Nyheim G.
28'
Singhateh E.
30'
2nd Half
Alcocer J.Out: Singhateh E.
sync_alt
46'
Alcocer J. (Brunes J.)
sports_soccer
56'
Macek R.Out: Mannsverk S.
sync_alt
61'
Mercado J.Out: Jurasek M.
sync_alt
61'
Hoever K.Out: Suchomel M.
sync_alt
61'
Olsen T.Out: Gulbrandsen F.
sync_alt
65'
Kitolano E.Out: Bassi D.
sync_alt
65'
Melland H.Out: Nyheim G.
sync_alt
70'
Elkaer F.Out: Paintsil Y.
sync_alt
73'
Nordh G.Out: Felix Va
sync_alt
73'
Macek R.
77'
Eneme S.Out: Irving A.
sync_alt
85'
Olsen T. (Nordh G.)
sports_soccer
90+1'
Melland H.
90+3'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.34
X5.38
27.69

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
57
Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

61%
22%
17%
Sparta Prague
Draw
Lillestrom
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.531.84-16.8%
Under 2.5 Goals2.502.19+14.0%
Sparta Praha Win1.331.63-18.6%
Draw5.504.55+21.0%
Lillestrøm Win8.006.75+18.5%
BTTS - Yes1.751.76-0.5%
BTTS - No1.932.32-16.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Sparta Prague

Starting 11
-Jakub Surovcík
GK6.23
-Martin Suchomel
DL7.26
-Jaroslav Zeleny
DC5.98
-Tobias Guddal
DC8.90
-Ki-Jana Hoever
DR
-Roman Macek
MC7.25
-Patrik Vydra
MC7.13
-Hugo Sochurek
MC7.14
-Ebrima Singhateh
FWL
-Jonatan Braut Brunes
FW6.88
-John Mercado
FWR8.28

Lillestrom

Starting 11
-Pontus Dahlberg
GK6.00
-Frederik Elkær
DL6.65
-Ruben Gabrielsen
DC6.41
-Sander Foss
DC6.13
-Lars Ranger
DR7.23
-Gustav Nyheim
MC6.46
-Filip Ottosson
MC6.40
-Ylldren Ibrahimaj
MC5.94
-Vá
FWL7.57
-Fredrik Gulbrandsen
FW5.87
-Yaw Paintsil
FWR6.10
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Sparta Prague welcome Lillestrøm to the epet ARENA looking to build on an excellent start to the Europa League league phase. Brian Priske’s side opened with a convincing 4-1 victory away to Ararat-Armenia, while Lillestrøm were beaten 2-1 at home by Torreense.

Sparta arrive in outstanding form, having won five consecutive matches in all competitions and five of their last six overall. Their latest outing brought a 2-0 home victory over Pardubice, with John Mercado scoring inside four minutes before Jaroslav Zelený added a second after the interval.

Their European opener was similarly authoritative. Tobias Guddal scored twice as Sparta controlled the contest against Ararat-Armenia, and they now have the chance to win their opening two matches of a major European campaign for the first time since 2002-03.

Lillestrøm’s first league-phase result was more frustrating. They generated 25 shots against Torreense, the second-highest total of any team on matchday one, but still suffered a 2-1 defeat despite Thomas Lehne Olsen finding the net.

The Norwegian side did show character at the weekend, recovering to draw 2-2 with Molde after falling behind in the first half. Sander Moen Foss scored a late equaliser, underlining their ability to remain dangerous even when they are not controlling possession.

Sparta’s form, home advantage and defensive organisation make them clear favourites, but Lillestrøm’s attacking volume suggests they are capable of creating chances. The visitors will need to be much more efficient than they were on matchday one if they are to trouble a Sparta side conceding very little at present.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 10 / 22 matches
Sparta PraguevsLillestrom
2.00Goals / Match1.36
1.20Conceded / Match1.41
4Clean Sheets6
6.30Shots on Target / Match4.23
63.2%Possession %51.2%
88.5%Pass Accuracy %81.4%

radarTeam Profile

Sparta Prague
Lillestrom
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
78Attack45
shield
48Defense54
swap_horiz
85Possession55
gps_fixed
67Efficiency62
auto_fix_high
87Creativity56
gavel
60Discipline54

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

20Goals Scored30
12Goals Conceded31
4Clean Sheets6
34Big Chances62
22Big Chances Missed38
2Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

175Total Shots279
63Shots on Target93

swap_horizPassing & Possession

63.2%Avg Possession51.2%
4,928Total Passes10,757
88.5%Pass Accuracy81.4%

shieldDefending

125Tackles387
62Interceptions172
26Saves88
52.1%Duels Won50.4%

gavelDiscipline

113Fouls243
16Yellow Cards34
0Red Cards2
17Offsides34

analyticsOther

74Corners117
115Successful Dribbles157
1Errors Leading to Goal4
7.56Avg Rating6.85

Statistical Comparison

Sparta PragueMetricLillestrom
4
Goals
1
3
Assists
1
7.1
Average Ratings
6.4
24.8
Average Age
28
186.8
Average Height (cm)
183.2
2.1
Shots pg
1.9
50%
Aerial Duel Success
29%
3.3
Dribbles pg
3
2.2
Tackles pg
1.8

history Recent Form

Sparta PragueSparta Prague
2.1 GPG
LillestromLillestrom
1.7 GPG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Sparta Prague
2.10
Form (Overall)
Lillestrom
1.70

Sparta Prague is +24% better in terms of Points Per Game

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