Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Friday 4 September
Zwolle

Zwolle

Away
Sparta RotterdamTimelineZwolle
1st Half
Cissoko I. (Mbayo D.)
sports_soccer
21'
Zonneveld M. (Baas J.)
sports_soccer
24'
2nd Half
Velanas O.Out: Oosting T.
sync_alt
63'
Floranus S.
63'
Babadi I.Out: Terho C.
sync_alt
68'
Babadi I. (Zonneveld M.)
sports_soccer
69'
van der Haar D.Out: Floranus S.
sync_alt
75'
van Hooijdonk S.Out: Cissoko I.
sync_alt
75'
Toornstra J.Out: Hatenboer C.
sync_alt
79'
Roaldsoy A.Out: Baas J.
sync_alt
79'
Kostons K. (Sommer T.)
sports_soccer
80'
Sommer T.
86'
Verschuren N.Out: Martins Indi B.
sync_alt
86'
Kostic A.Out: Zonneveld M.
sync_alt
86'
Sorensen E.Out: Sommer T.
sync_alt
88'

Top stats

2.23Expected goals (xG)1.08
56%Ball possession44%
21Total shots15
8Shots on target6
6Big chances0
15Corner kicks4
84% (391/463)Passes80% (291/366)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

2.23Expected goals (xG)1.08
1.32xG on target (xGOT)1.25
21Total shots15
8Shots on target6
5Shots off target7
8Blocked shots2
15Shots inside the box10
6Shots outside the box5
1Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals1

Attack

6Big chances0
15Corner kicks4
26Touches in opposition box22
2Accurate through passes0
0Offsides1
11Free kicks12

Passes

84% (391/463)Passes80% (291/366)
47% (28/59)Long passes33% (13/40)
74% (69/93)Passes in final third73% (73/100)
14% (4/28)Crosses35% (8/23)
2.68Expected assists (xA)0.53
21Throw ins17

Defense

12Fouls11
57% (8/14)Tackles67% (8/12)
40Duels won46
27Clearances36
3Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves6
1.25xGOT faced1.32
-0.75Goals prevented-0.68
6Goal kicks9
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.84
X4.06
23.66

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Odds: 1.95Stake: Medium (6/10)
60
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #13
Season: Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 0.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.94 PPG vs Away 0.83 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

48%
25%
27%
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
Zwolle
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.421.82-21.8%
Sparta Rotterdam Win1.952.10-7.0%
Draw3.903.98-1.9%
PEC Zwolle Win3.403.69-7.8%
BTTS - Yes1.451.80-19.4%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle open matchday five at Het Kasteel with both sides looking to recover from defeats and move away from the lower reaches of the table. Sparta sit 12th with four points from four matches, while Zwolle are one place below them on three points after losing three of their opening four.

Rogier Meijer’s side were beaten 2-1 away to Excelsior in the Rotterdam derby last weekend, conceding the decisive goal in the second minute of stoppage time. Aymen Sliti had given Excelsior the lead before Milan Zonneveld equalised shortly after half-time, but substitute Nesto Groen headed home from a late corner to settle the contest.

The defeat exposed a recurring issue for Sparta. They controlled 56.4% possession and circulated the ball comfortably but managed only two shots on target, struggling to convert territorial control into genuine attacking threat. Set-pieces also proved costly, with both Excelsior goals developing from corner situations.

Zwolle endured a similarly frustrating afternoon in a 3-1 home loss to NEC. Tjaronn Chery converted two first-half penalties before Koen Kostons replied from the spot, but the hosts were unable to complete the comeback. Kostons then missed another penalty that would have made it 2-2 before Perr Schuurs sealed NEC’s victory late on.

Henry van der Vegt’s side could also feel unfortunate after seeing two potential goals ruled out following VAR reviews, but their broader numbers remain concerning. Zwolle have conceded eight goals in four matches and have now given away the most penalties in the division with two, while their four league goals underline an attack that has not consistently matched their possession.

Recent history offers the visitors encouragement, with Zwolle unbeaten in the last five meetings against Sparta, winning three and drawing two. Both teams have nevertheless struggled for consistency so far, and with only one point separating them, Friday’s contest represents an early opportunity to establish some distance from the bottom end of the standings.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Sparta Rotterdam

Starting 11
-Filip Bednarek
GK6.28
-Nick Verschuren
DL6.35
-Bruno Martins Indi
DC6.48
-Marvin Young
DC6.93
-Lushendry Martes
DR6.76
-Julian Baas
DMC6.50
-Jens Toornstra
DMC6.63
-Mitchell van Bergen
AML6.40
-Shunsuke Mito
AMC6.60
-Robin van Cruijsen
AMR6.32
-Milan Zonneveld
FW7.02

Zwolle

Starting 11
-Jasper Schendelaar
GK6.87
-Damian van der Haar
DL6.70
-Nick Viergever
DC6.38
-Simon Graves
DC6.48
-Olivier Aertssen
DR6.67
-Tobias Sommer
MC6.64
-Ryan Thomas
MC7.17
-Thijs Oosting
MC6.47
-Elias Sørensen
FWL6.43
-Koen Kostons
FW6.62
-Dylan Mbayo
FWR6.80
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
Sparta RotterdamvsZwolle
1.18Goals / Match1.29
1.82Conceded / Match2.09
11Clean Sheets6
4.38Shots on Target / Match3.53
47.1%Possession %45.0%
79.7%Pass Accuracy %78.2%

radarTeam Profile

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
37Attack33
shield
52Defense44
swap_horiz
44Possession36
gps_fixed
57Efficiency75
auto_fix_high
34Creativity38
gavel
56Discipline47

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

40Goals Scored44
62Goals Conceded71
11Clean Sheets6
71Big Chances72
42Big Chances Missed46
3Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

442Total Shots328
149Shots on Target120

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.1%Avg Possession45.0%
13,490Total Passes12,906
79.7%Pass Accuracy78.2%

shieldDefending

579Tackles593
285Interceptions340
139Saves139
53.1%Duels Won48.7%

gavelDiscipline

335Fouls392
64Yellow Cards53
2Red Cards5
36Offsides54

analyticsOther

155Corners122
223Successful Dribbles194
5Errors Leading to Goal6
6.88Avg Rating6.72

Statistical Comparison

Sparta RotterdamMetricZwolle
7
Goals
4
7
Assists
3
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
25.4
Average Age
26.5
179
Average Height (cm)
183.1
0.9
Shots pg
0.9
56%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.3
Tackles pg
1.6

history Recent Form

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
0.6 GPG
L
D
W
L
ZwolleZwolle
0.7 GPG
L
W
L
L

group Head to Head

PL8 Mar 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
PEC Zwolle
PL8 Nov 2025
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Sparta Rotterdam
PL15 Mar 2025
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
PEC Zwolle
PL30 Nov 2024
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Sparta Rotterdam
PL4 Feb 2024
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
PEC Zwolle
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
89%
17 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
8 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
10 / 19 matches
Sparta Rotterdam CS
16%
Clean Sheets
Zwolle CS
32%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Mar 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
8 Nov 2025
PEC Zwolle
1 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
15 Mar 2025
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
30 Nov 2024
PEC Zwolle
1 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
4 Feb 2024
Sparta Rotterdam
0 - 2
PEC Zwolle
12 Aug 2023
PEC Zwolle
1 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
11 May 2022
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle
22 Sept 2021
PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
3 Apr 2021
Sparta Rotterdam
3 - 2
PEC Zwolle
26 Sept 2020
PEC Zwolle
4 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
25 Aug 2019
PEC Zwolle
2 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
31 Mar 2018
PEC Zwolle
2 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Sparta Rotterdam
0.60
Form (Overall)
Zwolle
0.70

Zwolle is +17% better in terms of Points Per Game

Excelsior
2 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
3 - 3
Utrecht
Telstar
1 - 3
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
0 - 1
Feyenoord
PEC Zwolle
1 - 3
NEC
Heerenveen
0 - 2
PEC Zwolle
Twente
3 - 1
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
0 - 2
Ajax

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