Sporting CP vs Arsenal Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Tuesday 7 April
Arsenal

Arsenal

Away
Sporting CPTimelineArsenal
1st Half
Morita H.
31'
2nd Half
Braganca D.Out: Simoes J.
sync_alt
62'
Havertz K.Out: Odegaard M.
sync_alt
70'
Dowman M.Out: Madueke N.
sync_alt
76'
Martinelli G.Out: Trossard L.
sync_alt
76'
Nel R.Out: Goncalves P.
sync_alt
79'
Havertz K.Assist: Martinelli G.
sports_soccer
90+1'

Top stats

0.84Expected goals (xG)0.79
44%Ball possession56%
11Total shots7
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
3Corner kicks4
85% (346/405)Passes92% (467/510)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

0.84Expected goals (xG)0.79
1.63xG on target (xGOT)0.94
11Total shots7
5Shots on target4
4Shots off target2
2Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box3
3Shots outside the box4
1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

2Big chances1
3Corner kicks4
16Touches in opposition box13
1Accurate through passes1
2Offsides2
10Free kicks11

Passes

85% (346/405)Passes92% (467/510)
55% (22/40)Long passes52% (14/27)
74% (56/76)Passes in final third80% (110/137)
9% (1/11)Crosses6% (1/16)
0.44Expected assists (xA)0.92
15Throw ins7

Defense

11Fouls10
86% (12/14)Tackles57% (8/14)
32Duels won38
20Clearances14
8Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves5
0.94xGOT faced1.63
-0.06Goals prevented1.63
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.59
X3.79
21.83

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
62
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.60 PPG vs Away 2.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.80 GPG vs Away 1.83 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.40 conc vs Away 1.17 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

30%
20%
50%
Sporting CP
Draw
Arsenal

Match Preview

Sporting CP host Arsenal in the first leg of their quarter-final tie with both sides carrying strong form and genuine belief. The Portuguese champions are enjoying an excellent run, losing just once in their last 16 matches across all competitions, while Arsenal arrive as one of the favourites for the competition after winning nine of their ten matches in this campaign.

Sporting’s home form has been a major foundation of their progress. They have won all five of their Champions League matches at the Estádio José Alvalade this season and are on a long unbeaten run at home in all competitions. Their comeback victory over Bodø/Glimt in the previous round, overturning a three-goal deficit, underlined both their resilience and attacking threat.

Arsenal, however, have been one of the most complete sides in the competition. They have scored in every Champions League match this season and possess the best defensive record statistically, conceding fewer chances than any other team. Their away form has also been strong, remaining unbeaten on the road in Europe this season.

Recent meetings favour Arsenal, who are unbeaten in seven matches against Sporting in UEFA competition (W2 D5), including a 5-1 win in Lisbon last season. That said, Sporting did eliminate Arsenal on penalties in their only previous two-legged tie in 2022/23, and Portuguese sides have historically proven difficult opponents at this stage.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Sporting CP

Starting 11
-Rui Silva
GK6.65
-Iván Fresneda
DL6.81
-Gonçalo Inácio
DC6.65
-Ousmane Diomande
DC6.60
-Georgios Vagiannidis
DR6.18
-João Simões
DMC6.28
-Morten Hjulmand
DMC6.90
-Pote
AML6.79
-Trincão
AMC7.45
-Geny Catamo
AMR6.79
-Luis Suárez
FW7.12

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK7.09
-Riccardo Calafiori
DL6.85
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC7.13
-William Saliba
DC6.83
-Ben White
DR6.46
-Declan Rice
DMC7.16
-Martín Zubimendi
DMC7.15
-Leandro Trossard
AML7.26
-Kai Havertz
AMC7.09
-Bukayo Saka
AMR7.26
-Viktor Gyökeres
FW6.98
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 10 matches
Sporting CPvsArsenal

radarTeam Profile

Sporting CP
Arsenal
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
68Attack96
shield
47Defense64
swap_horiz
70Possession63
gps_fixed
88Efficiency91
auto_fix_high
63Creativity74
gavel
53Discipline48

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

22Goals Scored26
14Goals Conceded5
2Clean Sheets6
26Big Chances47
15Big Chances Missed31
2Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

136Total Shots162
55Shots on Target77

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.7%Avg Possession53.5%
5,030Total Passes4,480
86.6%Pass Accuracy84.8%

shieldDefending

161Tackles114
91Interceptions73
32Saves22
51.7%Duels Won50.6%

gavelDiscipline

107Fouls125
22Yellow Cards21
14Offsides15

analyticsOther

49Corners57
93Successful Dribbles78
2Errors Leading to Goal0
6.90Avg Rating7.05

Statistical Comparison

Sporting CPMetricArsenal
21
Goals
26
15
Assists
20
6.6
Average Ratings
6.8
24.9
Average Age
26.9
182.7
Average Height (cm)
185.5
0.9
Shots pg
1.2
54%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
1.1
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.1
Tackles pg
0.8

history Recent Form

Sporting CPSporting CP
2.3 GPG
W
W
D
W
W
ArsenalArsenal
2.0 GPG
W
W
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL26 Nov 2024
Sporting CP
1-5
Arsenal
PL16 Mar 2023
Arsenal
1-1
Sporting CP
PL9 Mar 2023
Sporting CP
2-2
Arsenal
PL8 Nov 2018
Arsenal
0-0
Sporting CP
PL25 Oct 2018
Sporting CP
0-1
Arsenal
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
60%
3 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
3 / 5 matches
Sporting CP CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Arsenal CS
40%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

26 Nov 2024
Sporting CP
1 - 5
Arsenal
16 Mar 2023
Arsenal
1 - 1
Sporting CP
9 Mar 2023
Sporting CP
2 - 2
Arsenal
8 Nov 2018
Arsenal
0 - 0
Sporting CP
25 Oct 2018
Sporting CP
0 - 1
Arsenal

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Sporting CP
2.30
Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.00

Sporting CP is +15% better in terms of Points Per Game

Sporting CP
4 - 2
Santa Clara
Alverca
1 - 4
Sporting CP
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
3 - 0
GD Estoril Praia
Moreirense FC
0 - 3
Sporting CP
Arsenal
2 - 0
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 4
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
Arsenal

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