Sporting CP vs Nacional Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app
Sporting CP
HomeFull Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Nacional
AwaySporting CPTimelineNacional
1st Half
Araujo M.
5'
Altimira S.
20'
Suarez L.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
32'
2nd Half
DeivisonOut: Leo Santos
sync_alt
46'
Jensen M.
48'
Goncalves F. (Suarez L.)
sports_soccer
49'
Obando A.Out: Pablo Ruan
sync_alt
62'
Labidi C.Out: Jensen M.
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62'
Luis GuilhermeOut: Catamo G.
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67'
Irankunda N.Out: Zalazar R.
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67'
Ioannidis F.Out: Suarez L.
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67'
Djalo M.Out: Gavriel S.
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73'
Vagiannidis G.Out: Araujo M.
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78'
Daniel JuniorOut: Baeza M.
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80'
Andersen S.Out: Altimira S.
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87'
Top stats
3.00Expected goals (xG)0.08
67%Ball possession33%
19Total shots3
8Shots on target2
6Big chances0
12Corner kicks0
89% (586/660)Passes80% (255/318)
2Yellow cards1
Shots
3.00Expected goals (xG)0.08
2.34xG on target (xGOT)0.45
19Total shots3
8Shots on target2
10Shots off target0
1Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box0
9Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0
Attack
6Big chances0
12Corner kicks0
31Touches in opposition box3
2Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
7Free kicks10
Passes
89% (586/660)Passes80% (255/318)
62% (28/45)Long passes37% (19/52)
76% (119/156)Passes in final third44% (17/39)
0% (0/13)Crosses20% (1/5)
1.20Expected assists (xA)0.10
17Throw ins16
Defense
10Fouls7
81% (13/16)Tackles56% (10/18)
43Duels won43
7Clearances25
2Interceptions12
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves6
0.45xGOT faced2.34
0.45Goals prevented0.34
3Goal kicks10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.18
X7.14
213.00
Recommended Bet
cancel
Away Win
Odds: 13.00Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.9 vs Away 6.7
Model Consensus: 3-0 (Home)
More Goals: Home 11 vs 6
donut_small Win Probabilities
62%
Sporting CP Win
21%
Draw
16%
Nacional Win
Sporting CP
Draw
Nacional
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 1.18 | 1.61 | 1.26 | -26.5% |
| Draw | 7.14 | 4.65 | 7.60 | +53.4% |
| Away Win | 13.00 | 6.15 | 13.84 | +111.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Sporting CP were dominant at Estádio do Rio Ave FC in gameweek four as Luis Suarez's brace inspired a 4-0 away win for Rui Borges' side. The hosts have followed up an opening weekend draw with three consecutive victories.
Nacional failed to make goals from Wesley Gasolina and Pablo Ruan count last weekend as the Madeira-based side were beaten 3-2 on home turf by Estrela Amadora. After a strong start to the campaign, Joao Giao's men have suffered back-to-back Liga Portugal defeats.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Sporting CP
Starting 11
-Rui Silva
GK5.95
-Maxi Araújo
DL7.17
-Gonçalo Inácio
DC6.65
-Ibrahima Ba
DC6.90
-Iván Fresneda
DR6.63
-Sergi Altimira
DMC7.55
-Silas Andersen
DMC6.08
-Rodrigo Zalazar
AML7.15
-Flávio Gonçalves
AMC7.38
-Geny Catamo
AMR7.48
-Luis Suárez
FW6.79
Nacional
Starting 11
-Renato Marin
GK6.82
-Matheus Dias
DC6.58
-Zé Vítor
DC6.96
-Léo Santos
DC7.35
-William Kokolo
DML6.60
-Liziero
MC6.96
-Matchoi Djaló
MC5.60
-Wesley Andrade
DMR6.97
-Daniel Júnior
FWL6.92
-Pablo Ruan
FW6.78
-Miguel Baeza
FWR6.47
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 4 / 26 matchesSporting CPvsNacional
3.00Goals / Match1.42
1.25Conceded / Match1.27
1Clean Sheets8
58.0%Possession %54.6%
88.7%Pass Accuracy %77.3%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
12Goals Scored37
5Goals Conceded33
1Clean Sheets8
0Penalty Goals6
gps_fixedShooting
49Total Shots349
swap_horizPassing & Possession
58.0%Avg Possession54.6%
2,186Total Passes10,169
88.7%Pass Accuracy77.3%
shieldDefending
37Interceptions1,004
5Saves53
51.1%Duels Won49.9%
gavelDiscipline
53Fouls340
8Yellow Cards66
0Red Cards6
6Offsides46
analyticsOther
15Corners172
44Successful Dribbles344
Statistical Comparison
Sporting CPMetricNacional
11
Goals
6
9
Assists
4
6.7
Average Ratings
6.5
24.6
Average Age
24.7
182.9
Average Height (cm)
181.9
1.2
Shots pg
1
47%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
1
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.8
Tackles pg
1.2
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