St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction & Tips | US Open Cup | FootballTips.app

St. Louis City

St. Louis City

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 1 - 2
Pens: 4 - 2
Wednesday 20 May
Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo

Away
St. Louis CityTimelineHouston Dynamo
1st Half
Hartel M.
sports_soccer
10'
Bogusz M.
sports_soccer
11'
Lundt B.Out: Burki R.
sync_alt
26'
Ennali L.
29'
Artur (McGlynn J.)
sports_soccer
42'
2nd Half
Hartel M.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
51'
Edelman D.
57'
Guilherme
59'
Becher S.Out: Cordova S.
sync_alt
63'
Lowen E.Out: Edelman D.
sync_alt
63'
Lingr O.Out: Ponce E.
sync_alt
76'
Herrera H.Out: McGlynn J.
sync_alt
87'
Bouzat A.
90+3'
Damet Y.
90+4'
Durkin C.
90+6'
McSorley B.Out: Jeong S.
sync_alt
90+8'
Extra Time
Joyner M.Out: Totland T.
sync_alt
106'
Ennali L.
109'
Artur
113'
Joyner M.
117'
Holmes D.Out: Felipe Andrade
sync_alt
120+1'
Fall F.Out: MacNaughton L.
sync_alt
120+3'
Penalties
Lowen E.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
1'
Guilherme (Penalty missed)
close
1'
Hartel M.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
2'
Lingr O.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
2'
Baumgartl T.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
3'
Holmes D.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
3'
Durkin C.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
4'
Herrera H. (Penalty missed)
close
4'

Top stats

1.82Expected goals (xG)2.39
54%Ball possession46%
14Total shots22
4Shots on target11
3Big chances2
3Corner kicks5
88% (538/612)Passes82% (439/534)
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards1

Shots

1.82Expected goals (xG)2.39
1.58xG on target (xGOT)2.89
14Total shots22
4Shots on target11
6Shots off target5
4Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box13
5Shots outside the box9
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

3Big chances2
3Corner kicks5
21Touches in opposition box38
0Accurate through passes3
1Offsides1
18Free kicks16

Passes

88% (538/612)Passes82% (439/534)
59% (43/73)Long passes43% (23/53)
76% (136/179)Passes in final third74% (118/159)
22% (4/18)Crosses30% (3/10)
0.72Expected assists (xA)1.07
13Throw ins17

Defense

16Fouls18
67% (10/15)Tackles69% (9/13)
44Duels won46
24Clearances16
14Interceptions15
0Errors leading to shot0
2Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

8Goalkeeper saves2
2.89xGOT faced1.58
0.89Goals prevented-0.42
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.23
X3.43
22.72

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
59
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 1.95 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.67 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.33 conc vs Away 2.40 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

45%
27%
28%
St. Louis City
Draw
Houston Dynamo

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

St. Louis City

Starting 11
11Simon Becher
CF6.29
36Cedric Teuchert
CF6.06
77Sang-Bin Jeong
CF7.47
6Conrad Wallem
RM3.29
8Chris Durkin
CDM7.01
21Dante Polvara
6.95
27Falu Fol
3.23
28Miguel Perez
3.44
-Rafael Santos
LB
32Timo Baumgartl
CB6.92
1Roman Bürki
GK7.09
Substitutes
16Sergio Córdova
CF6.87
10Eduard Löwen
CM7.44
24Daniel Edelman
CDM6.64
59Mykhi Joyner
7.45
80Brendan McSorley
6.97
4Mamadou Fall
6.70
14Tomas Totland
RB7.14
-Kyle Hiebert
-Ben Lundt
GK

Houston Dynamo

Starting 11
10Ezequiel Ponce
CF7.46
11Lawrence Ennali
LW6.94
20Guilherme
LW6.94
6Artur
CDM7.35
8Jack McGlynn (Injured)
CM6.48
18Diadie Samassekou
CDM6.79
19Mateusz Bogusz
CAM7.67
3Antônio Carlos
CB6.79
34Agustin Resch
7.18
31Jonathan Bond
GK3.28
Substitutes
17Nicholas Markanich
8.22
24Aliyu Ibrahim
7.14
9Ondřej Lingr
CAM7.26
14Duane Holmes
RM3.80
16Héctor Herrera
CM8.11
-Blake Gillingham
30Agustín Bouzat
CDM7.28
21Franco Negri
LB6.65
28Erik Sviatchenko
CB7.91
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

history Recent Form

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
1.5 GPG
D
W
W
L
L
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
2.1 GPG
W
L
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL31 Aug 2025
St. Louis City
2-3
Houston Dynamo
PL29 Jun 2025
Houston Dynamo
1-0
St. Louis City
PL6 Oct 2024
St. Louis City
3-0
Houston Dynamo
PL5 May 2024
Houston Dynamo
0-0
St. Louis City
PL28 Feb 2024
Houston Dynamo
1-0
St. Louis City
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
63%
5 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
1 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
38%
3 / 8 matches
St. Louis City CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo CS
38%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

31 Aug 2025
St. Louis City
2 - 3
Houston Dynamo
29 Jun 2025
Houston Dynamo
1 - 0
St. Louis City
6 Oct 2024
St. Louis City
3 - 0
Houston Dynamo
5 May 2024
Houston Dynamo
0 - 0
St. Louis City
28 Feb 2024
Houston Dynamo
1 - 0
St. Louis City
21 Feb 2024
St. Louis City
2 - 1
Houston Dynamo
17 Sept 2023
Houston Dynamo
1 - 1
St. Louis City
4 Jun 2023
St. Louis City
3 - 0
Houston Dynamo

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
St. Louis City
1.50
Form (Overall)
Houston Dynamo
2.10

Houston Dynamo is +40% better in terms of Points Per Game

DC United
1 - 1
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
2 - 1
Los Angeles FC
Colorado Rapids
0 - 1
St. Louis City
Austin
2 - 0
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
2 - 3
SJ Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo
1 - 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
3 - 0
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
1 - 4
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
1 - 0
Colorado Rapids
Austin
2 - 0
Houston Dynamo

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