St. Mirren vs Celtic Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

St. Mirren

St. Mirren

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Celtic

Celtic

Away
St. MirrenTimelineCeltic
1st Half
Donovan C.
8'
Agrafiotis N.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
22'
Ramsay C.
37'
2nd Half
Scales L. (Nygren B.)
sports_soccer
51'
Ramos S.Out: Taylor F.
sync_alt
62'
Yang Hyun-JunAssist: Duran C.
sports_soccer
68'
Sule E.Out: Agrafiotis N.
sync_alt
68'
Thomas L.Out: Mochrie C. R.
sync_alt
69'
Forrest J.Out: Hassan H.
sync_alt
72'
Sorensen O.Out: Baur M.
sync_alt
73'
Tounekti S.Out: Yang Hyun-Jun
sync_alt
73'
Mheuka S.Out: Duran C.
sync_alt
83'
Young J.Out: Carr R.
sync_alt
83'
Murray D.Out: Donovan C.
sync_alt
87'
Sule E.
90+6'
Nsio P.
90+7'
Ramos S.
90+7'

Top stats

1.73Expected goals (xG)2.93
40%Ball possession60%
19Total shots23
6Shots on target8
2Big chances4
6Corner kicks10
76% (269/354)Passes85% (447/528)
4Yellow cards1

Shots

1.73Expected goals (xG)2.93
1.30xG on target (xGOT)1.20
19Total shots23
6Shots on target8
6Shots off target10
7Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box20
11Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances4
6Corner kicks10
19Touches in opposition box47
0Accurate through passes4
0Offsides2
15Free kicks6

Passes

76% (269/354)Passes85% (447/528)
40% (26/65)Long passes57% (21/37)
68% (64/94)Passes in final third76% (133/174)
17% (2/12)Crosses22% (6/27)
0.82Expected assists (xA)1.95
13Throw ins19

Defense

6Fouls15
75% (21/28)Tackles68% (13/19)
53Duels won54
30Clearances18
12Interceptions11
1Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves5
1.20xGOT faced1.30
-0.80Goals prevented0.30
14Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
15.99
X4.86
21.44

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Odds: 5.50Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.44 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 2.75 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.75 conc vs Away 2.50 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

35%
24%
42%
St. Mirren
Draw
Celtic
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.501.67-10.0%
St. Mirren Win5.502.89+90.4%
Draw4.604.22+9.1%
Celtic Win1.472.40-38.7%
BTTS - Yes1.621.81-10.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Both St Mirren and Celtic won in their midweek matches without conceding, away to Kilmarnock and at home to Aberdeen respectively, before the two teams meet in Paisley on Saturday night.

St Mirren trail their weekend opponents by just two points, after their mental match against Motherwell was succeeded with a sole goal success against Kilmarnock in Ayrshire, after beating Killie away from home in the league for the first time since a 3-1 victory back in May 2013. Having just dropped two points so far, this will undoubtedly be the Buddies' trickiest task of 2026/27 so far.

Celtic made it four wins from four Scottish Premiership matches so far this season, as their strong recent record against Aberdeen continued to succeed victories over Dundee, Kilmarnock and Falkirk. Having not been beaten by the Dons in the league since May 2018, the Hoops will hope to open up a five-point gap at the top of the table should they beat St Mirren on Saturday night.

Celtic left it late twice against the Buddies, both home and away, last season. Having snuck past the Saints by a sole goal in all three 2025/26 meetings, it could be a tougher test in Paisley here.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

St. Mirren

Starting 11
-Jacob Chapman
GK7.32
-Declan John
DL6.81
-Henry Fieldson
DC7.64
-Alex Gogic
DC6.81
-Calvin Ramsay
DR7.39
-Ryan Carr
DMC6.98
-Paul Nsio
DMC7.46
-Ismeal Kabia
AML6.56
-Fraser Taylor
AMC7.13
-Chris Mochrie
AMR6.66
-Nikolas Agrafiotis
FW6.56

Celtic

Starting 11
-Viljami Sinisalo
GK7.11
-Liam Scales
DL7.46
-Auston Trusty
DC7.12
-Cameron Carter-Vickers
DC7.36
-Colby Donovan
DR6.74
-Callum McGregor
DMC7.15
-Alex Oxlade Chamberlain
DMC7.26
-Yang Hyun-Jun
AML7.75
-Benjamin Nygren
AMC7.85
-Haissem Hassan
AMR6.92
-Camilo Durán
FW7.87
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
St. MirrenvsCeltic
1.75Goals / Match2.75
0.75Conceded / Match0.50
3Clean Sheets2
4.75Shots on Target / Match10.00
48.0%Possession %63.0%
81.5%Pass Accuracy %90.1%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

7Goals Scored11
3Goals Conceded2
3Clean Sheets2
11Big Chances25
6Big Chances Missed17
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

61Total Shots97
19Shots on Target40

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.0%Avg Possession63.0%
1,722Total Passes2,641
81.5%Pass Accuracy90.1%

shieldDefending

83Tackles56
39Interceptions34
9Saves10
48.9%Duels Won55.9%

gavelDiscipline

56Fouls36
10Yellow Cards3
6Offsides2

analyticsOther

22Corners37
37Successful Dribbles43
7.79Avg Rating8.32

Statistical Comparison

St. MirrenMetricCeltic
7
Goals
11
6
Assists
7
6.9
Average Ratings
7.1
24.1
Average Age
26.4
181.8
Average Height (cm)
183.2
1.3
Shots pg
1.8
43%
Aerial Duel Success
59%
0.8
Dribbles pg
1.3
1.9
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

St. MirrenSt. Mirren
2.0 GPG
W
D
W
W
CelticCeltic
2.0 GPG
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL19 Apr 2026
Celtic
6-2
St. Mirren
PL11 Apr 2026
Celtic
1-0
St. Mirren
PL14 Dec 2025
St. Mirren
3-1
Celtic
PL22 Nov 2025
St. Mirren
0-1
Celtic
PL3 Aug 2025
Celtic
1-0
St. Mirren
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
85%
34 / 40 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
25 / 40 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
15 / 40 matches
Both Teams to Score
38%
15 / 40 matches
St. Mirren CS
8%
Clean Sheets
Celtic CS
60%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Apr 2026
Celtic
6 - 2
St. Mirren
11 Apr 2026
Celtic
1 - 0
St. Mirren
14 Dec 2025
St. Mirren
3 - 1
Celtic
22 Nov 2025
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Celtic
3 Aug 2025
Celtic
1 - 0
St. Mirren
17 May 2025
Celtic
1 - 1
St. Mirren
1 Mar 2025
St. Mirren
2 - 5
Celtic
5 Jan 2025
Celtic
3 - 0
St. Mirren
25 Aug 2024
St. Mirren
0 - 3
Celtic
18 May 2024
Celtic
3 - 2
St. Mirren
13 Apr 2024
Celtic
3 - 0
St. Mirren
11 Feb 2024
St. Mirren
0 - 2
Celtic

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
St. Mirren
2.00
Form (Overall)
Celtic
2.00

Both teams have equal form.

Kilmarnock
0 - 1
St. Mirren
St. Mirren
3 - 3
Motherwell
St. Mirren
1 - 0
St. Johnstone
Falkirk
0 - 2
St. Mirren
Celtic
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Celtic
2 - 1
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
1 - 5
Celtic
Celtic
1 - 0
Dundee

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