St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Relegation Group | FootballTips.app

St. Mirren

St. Mirren

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Sunday 17 May
Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd

Away
St. MirrenTimelineDundee Utd
1st Half
Cleall-Harding S.
20'
Sapsford Z. (Watters M.)
sports_soccer
27'
2nd Half
Devaney J.Out: O'Hara M.
sync_alt
46'
Falconer T.Out: Freckleton M.
sync_alt
46'
Russell J.Out: Watters M.
sync_alt
59'
Eskesen J.Out: Cleall-Harding S.
sync_alt
59'
Strain R.
60'
Calvin J.Out: Tanser S.
sync_alt
66'
King R.Out: Fraser M.
sync_alt
66'
Constable S.Out: Strain R.
sync_alt
66'
Young J. (King R.)
sports_soccer
69'
Esselink B.Out: Sibbald C.
sync_alt
74'
Stirton O.Out: Sapsford Z.
sync_alt
74'
McMillan C.Out: Douglas L.
sync_alt
85'

Top stats

1.22Expected goals (xG)0.37
49%Ball possession51%
16Total shots6
7Shots on target3
0Big chances1
10Corner kicks2
78% (350/446)Passes81% (393/486)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

1.22Expected goals (xG)0.37
1.28xG on target (xGOT)1.09
16Total shots6
7Shots on target3
2Shots off target3
7Blocked shots0
9Shots inside the box3
7Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

0Big chances1
10Corner kicks2
24Touches in opposition box12
1Accurate through passes0
4Offsides2
10Free kicks10

Passes

78% (350/446)Passes81% (393/486)
32% (14/44)Long passes42% (27/65)
64% (89/139)Passes in final third61% (52/85)
4% (1/26)Crosses23% (3/13)
0.69Expected assists (xA)0.46
24Throw ins15

Defense

10Fouls10
73% (8/11)Tackles65% (11/17)
39Duels won47
24Clearances39
7Interceptions6
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves6
1.09xGOT faced1.28
0.09Goals prevented0.28
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.29
X3.49
22.92

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (8/10)
84
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.89 PPG vs Away 1.19 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.56 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.17 conc vs Away 2.06 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

30%
19%
50%
St. Mirren
Draw
Dundee Utd

Match Preview

Regardless of whatever happens on the 2025/26 Scottish Premiership final day, St Mirren have been consigned to the relegation playoff place and Dundee United are stuck in seventh place.

St Mirren will be delighted to have returned to winning ways in their midweek match, before they take on either Partick Thistle or Dunfermline Athletic in the Scottish Premiership playoff final, after defeating Aberdeen 2-0 at Pittodrie on Tuesday night but will unfortunately finish no higher than 11th. Including the curtailed 2019/20 season, it's just the second time that the Buddies have won their final away game in their previous 10 top tier campaigns (D3 L5).

Dundee United missed out on the chance to beat Livingston on a third successive occasion for the first time ever in the top flight of Scottish football, after their goalless game with the basement boys at Tannadice on Tuesday night. The Terrors had previously won their past five league games against sides starting the day bottom of the Scottish Premiership, since a 1-1 draw with Hibernian in November 2024, but appear to be on the beach already.

St Mirren will want to enter their Premiership playoff with back-to-back victories under their belt, looking to take advantage of a Dundee United team with absolutely nothing to play for.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

St. Mirren

Starting 11
-Ross Sinclair
GK
-Marcus Fraser
DC
-Alex Gogic
DC
-Liam Donnelly
DC
-Miguel Freckleton
DML
-Allan Campbell
MC
-Jacob Devaney
MC
-Mark O'Hara
MC
-Richard King
DMR
-Mikaël Mandron
FW
-Killian Phillips
FW

Dundee Utd

Starting 11
-Dave Richards
GK
-Krisztián Keresztes
DC
-Ross Graham
DC
-Iurie Iovu
DC
-Will Ferry
DML
-Panutche Camará
MC
-Vicko Sevelj
MC
-Ryan Strain
DMR
-Zachary Sapsford
FWL
-Johnny Russell
FW
-Neil Farrugia
FWR
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 37 matches
St. MirrenvsDundee Utd

radarTeam Profile

St. Mirren
Dundee Utd
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
21Attack40
shield
40Defense47
swap_horiz
32Possession22
gps_fixed
40Efficiency55
auto_fix_high
18Creativity31
gavel
39Discipline36

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

29Goals Scored48
54Goals Conceded59
9Clean Sheets7
65Big Chances76
45Big Chances Missed54
1Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

434Total Shots497
131Shots on Target166

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.2%Avg Possession42.2%
13,696Total Passes11,482
75.5%Pass Accuracy69.0%

shieldDefending

542Tackles582
260Interceptions385
106Saves120
48.3%Duels Won48.8%

gavelDiscipline

476Fouls480
74Yellow Cards81
4Red Cards4
79Offsides57

analyticsOther

201Corners171
203Successful Dribbles250
7Errors Leading to Goal10
6.74Avg Rating6.77

Statistical Comparison

St. MirrenMetricDundee Utd
2
Goals
3
26.7
Average Age
27.2
186.3
Average Height (cm)
183.9

history Recent Form

St. MirrenSt. Mirren
0.9 GPG
W
L
L
L
L
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1.2 GPG
D
L
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL3 Mar 2026
Dundee United
2-1
St. Mirren
PL6 Dec 2025
St. Mirren
2-0
Dundee United
PL25 Oct 2025
Dundee United
3-1
St. Mirren
PL10 May 2025
Dundee United
0-2
St. Mirren
PL11 Jan 2025
St. Mirren
0-1
Dundee United
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
74%
28 / 38 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
20 / 38 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
8 / 38 matches
Both Teams to Score
47%
18 / 38 matches
St. Mirren CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Dundee Utd CS
39%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Mar 2026
Dundee United
2 - 1
St. Mirren
6 Dec 2025
St. Mirren
2 - 0
Dundee United
25 Oct 2025
Dundee United
3 - 1
St. Mirren
10 May 2025
Dundee United
0 - 2
St. Mirren
11 Jan 2025
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Dundee United
30 Nov 2024
Dundee United
2 - 0
St. Mirren
5 Oct 2024
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Dundee United
18 Aug 2024
Dundee United
1 - 0
St. Mirren
18 Mar 2023
Dundee United
1 - 1
St. Mirren
22 Oct 2022
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Dundee United
20 Aug 2022
Dundee United
0 - 3
St. Mirren
19 Mar 2022
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Dundee United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
St. Mirren
0.89
Form (Overall)
Dundee Utd
1.19

Dundee Utd is +34% better in terms of Points Per Game

Aberdeen
0 - 2
St. Mirren
St. Mirren
0 - 3
Kilmarnock
Dundee
1 - 0
St. Mirren
St. Mirren
0 - 2
Livingston
Celtic
1 - 0
St. Mirren
Dundee United
0 - 0
Livingston
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Dundee United
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Dundee United
Dundee United
3 - 0
Dundee
Dundee United
3 - 2
Livingston

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