St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Relegation Group | FootballTips.app

St. Mirren

St. Mirren

Home
Full Time
0 - 3
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 9 May
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
St. MirrenTimelineKilmarnock
1st Half
Freckleton M.Assist: Own goal
sports_soccer
9'
Tanser S.Out: McMenamin C.
sync_alt
14'
Donnelly L.
15'
Idowu R.
26'
2nd Half
Richardson J.Out: Campbell A.
sync_alt
46'
Young J.Out: O'Hara M.
sync_alt
46'
Watson D.Out: Clescenco N.
sync_alt
46'
Curtis F. (Kiltie G.)
sports_soccer
46'
Hugill J.
52'
Phillips K.
54'
Mayo L.Out: Schjonning-Larsen M.
sync_alt
54'
Curtis F. (Lowery T.)
sports_soccer
68'
King R.Out: Tanser S.
sync_alt
69'
Douglas L.Out: Idowu R.
sync_alt
74'
Anderson B.Out: Hugill J.
sync_alt
79'
McKenzie R.Out: Kiltie G.
sync_alt
79'
Magennis K.Out: Curtis F.
sync_alt
87'

Top stats

0.78Expected goals (xG)1.15
59%Ball possession41%
12Total shots10
2Shots on target4
2Big chances3
1Corner kicks4
86% (527/616)Passes81% (344/427)
3Yellow cards1

Shots

0.78Expected goals (xG)1.15
0.80xG on target (xGOT)1.38
12Total shots10
2Shots on target4
3Shots off target2
7Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box7
5Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances3
1Corner kicks4
16Touches in opposition box20
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides1
11Free kicks11

Passes

86% (527/616)Passes81% (344/427)
50% (33/66)Long passes52% (36/69)
74% (126/170)Passes in final third68% (67/98)
15% (4/27)Crosses27% (4/15)
0.53Expected assists (xA)0.38
19Throw ins19

Defense

11Fouls11
62% (8/13)Tackles43% (6/14)
41Duels won43
13Clearances29
7Interceptions12
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
1.38xGOT faced0.80
-0.62Goals prevented0.80
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.00
X3.53
23.57

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
56
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.86 PPG vs Away 0.89 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.59 GPG vs Away 0.88 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.06 conc vs Away 2.29 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

28%
33%
39%
St. Mirren
Draw
Kilmarnock

Match Preview

A huge Scottish Premiership basement battle takes place in Paisley this weekend, as St Mirren - who currently occupy the relegation playoff place - host tenth-placed Kilmarnock on Saturday afternoon.

Over their past 10 Scottish Premiership matches, St Mirren (7) have picked up the fewest points of any team in the division (W2 D1 L7) as the Buddies' recent woes continued with defeat at Dens against Dundee last Saturday. Only already relegated Livingston (11) have picked up fewer points at home than St Mirren (20), who will hope to change their fortunes against Kilmarnock this weekend.

Kilmarnock continued their wonderful recent record over Dundee United, as Killie are now unbeaten in nine Scottish Premiership meetings (W5 D4) against the Terrors since a 4-0 defeat back in November 2022. Killie look to have turned a previously poor home record into one of their greatest strengths, but no team has picked up fewer points on their travels than Ayrshire's only Premiership club (9).

Killie have beaten the Buddies twice at Rugby Park this season, but there was no separating Saints and Kilmarnock in a goalless game in Paisley back in December so that could prove the case again here in what should be a tight and tense affair.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

St. Mirren

Starting 11
-Ross Sinclair
GK
-Scott Tanser
DL
-Miguel Freckleton
DC
-Richard King
DC
-Jayden Richardson
DR
-Allan Campbell
MC
-Jacob Devaney
MC
-Mark O'Hara
MC
-Killian Phillips
AMC
-Mikaël Mandron
FW
-Roland Idowu
FW

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Max Stryjek
GK
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DL
-Robbie Deas
DC
-George Stanger
DC
-Findlay Curtis
DR
-Greg Kiltie
MC
-Tom Lowery
MC
-Aaron Tshibola
MC
-Nicky Clescenco
FWL
-Joe Hugill
FW
-Bruce Anderson
FWR
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 35 matches
St. MirrenvsKilmarnock

radarTeam Profile

St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
21Attack28
shield
39Defense39
swap_horiz
31Possession23
gps_fixed
39Efficiency61
auto_fix_high
17Creativity18
gavel
39Discipline31

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

27Goals Scored40
51Goals Conceded66
8Clean Sheets8
61Big Chances67
43Big Chances Missed42
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

413Total Shots390
124Shots on Target134

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.0%Avg Possession42.0%
12,690Total Passes11,835
75.2%Pass Accuracy73.1%

shieldDefending

515Tackles539
240Interceptions277
103Saves127
48.3%Duels Won48.6%

gavelDiscipline

454Fouls467
69Yellow Cards78
4Red Cards5
77Offsides64

analyticsOther

199Corners153
193Successful Dribbles177
7Errors Leading to Goal4
6.74Avg Rating6.74

Statistical Comparison

St. MirrenMetricKilmarnock
0
Goals
3
25.5
Average Age
25.9
186.4
Average Height (cm)
181.6

history Recent Form

St. MirrenSt. Mirren
0.9 GPG
L
L
L
W
W
KilmarnockKilmarnock
0.9 GPG
W
L
D
L
W

group Head to Head

PL11 Feb 2026
Kilmarnock
4-3
St. Mirren
PL27 Dec 2025
St. Mirren
0-0
Kilmarnock
PL4 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock
2-0
St. Mirren
PL19 Sept 2025
Kilmarnock
2-2
St. Mirren
PL29 Mar 2025
St. Mirren
5-1
Kilmarnock
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
68%
25 / 37 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
15 / 37 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
10 / 37 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
20 / 37 matches
St. Mirren CS
19%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock CS
38%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

11 Feb 2026
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
St. Mirren
27 Dec 2025
St. Mirren
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
4 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
St. Mirren
19 Sept 2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
St. Mirren
29 Mar 2025
St. Mirren
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
2 Jan 2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
St. Mirren
14 Sept 2024
St. Mirren
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
11 May 2024
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
16 Mar 2024
Kilmarnock
5 - 2
St. Mirren
27 Dec 2023
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
30 Sept 2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
St. Mirren
22 Apr 2023
St. Mirren
0 - 2
Kilmarnock

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
St. Mirren
0.86
Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
0.89

Kilmarnock is +3% better in terms of Points Per Game

Dundee
1 - 0
St. Mirren
St. Mirren
0 - 2
Livingston
Celtic
1 - 0
St. Mirren
St. Mirren
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Falkirk
1 - 2
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Dundee United
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee
Hibernian
3 - 0
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston

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