St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Home
Full Time
0 - 5
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 11 April
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

Away
St. PauliTimelineBayern Munich
1st Half
Musiala J.Assist: Laimer K.
sports_soccer
9'
Laimer K.
19'
2nd Half
Fujita J.
52'
Olise M.
52'
Goretzka L.
sports_soccer
53'
Olise M. (Goretzka L.)
sports_soccer
55'
Stanisic J.Out: Laimer K.
sync_alt
58'
Davies A.Out: Kimmich J.
sync_alt
59'
Diaz L.Out: Olise M.
sync_alt
59'
Jackson N. (Musiala J.)
sports_soccer
65'
Metcalfe C.Out: Fujita J.
sync_alt
66'
Tah J.Out: Ito H.
sync_alt
67'
Oppie L.Out: Ritzka L.
sync_alt
77'
Kaars M.Out: Hountondji A.
sync_alt
77'
Ndiaye B.Out: Musiala J.
sync_alt
84'
Guerreiro R.
sports_soccer
88'
Hara T.Out: Pereira Lage M.
sync_alt
89'

Top stats

0.49Expected goals (xG)3.37
23%Ball possession77%
6Total shots20
3Shots on target8
0Big chances8
3Corner kicks4
74% (201/273)Passes92% (871/944)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

0.49Expected goals (xG)3.37
0.27xG on target (xGOT)3.26
6Total shots20
3Shots on target8
2Shots off target5
1Blocked shots7
4Shots inside the box16
2Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork2
0Headed goals1

Attack

0Big chances8
3Corner kicks4
8Touches in opposition box43
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides3
7Free kicks9

Passes

74% (201/273)Passes92% (871/944)
22% (10/46)Long passes65% (33/51)
54% (22/41)Passes in final third83% (211/253)
38% (3/8)Crosses13% (1/8)
0.35Expected assists (xA)3.76
11Throw ins20

Defense

9Fouls7
53% (10/19)Tackles33% (4/12)
34Duels won43
30Clearances6
7Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
2Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
3.26xGOT faced0.27
-1.74Goals prevented0.27
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
17.66
X5.24
21.40

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
78
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #1
Season: Home 0.89 PPG vs Away 2.61 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.08 GPG vs Away 3.14 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

1%
1%
99%
St. Pauli
Draw
Bayern Munich

Match Preview

Jackson Irvine's stoppage-time red card had no impact on the result last weekend as St. Pauli closed out an away draw against Union Berlin. Kiezkicker are winless in four heading into this challenging fixture, leaving them four points clear of Wolfsburg in 17th.

Young duo Tom Bischof and Lennart Karl both scored in stoppage time against Freiburg in gameweek 28 as Bayern Munich rounded off an impressive 3-2 comeback win on the road. Vincent Kompany's side have now scored 100 league goals this season and are nine points clear at the top with six games remaining.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

St. Pauli

Starting 11
-Nikola Vasilj
GK6.62
-Karol Mets
DC6.51
-Eric Smith
DC6.61
-Hauke Wahl
DC6.70
-Lars Ritzka
DML6.31
-Mathias Rasmussen
MC6.22
-Joel Chima Fujita
MC6.63
-Arkadiusz Pyrka
DMR6.50
-Danel Sinani
AMC6.63
-Mathias Pereira Lage
AMC6.66
-Andréas Hountondji
FW6.27

Bayern Munich

Starting 11
-Manuel Neuer
GK6.29
-Tom Bischof
DL6.61
-Kim Min-Jae
DC6.83
-Hiroki Ito
DC6.64
-Konrad Laimer
DR7.00
-Joshua Kimmich
DMC7.24
-Leon Goretzka
DMC6.82
-Luis Díaz
AML7.60
-Jamal Musiala
AMC6.60
-Lennart Karl
AMR6.87
-Nicolas Jackson
FW6.47
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 matches
St. PaulivsBayern Munich

radarTeam Profile

St. Pauli
Bayern Munich
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
18Attack100
shield
46Defense52
swap_horiz
36Possession92
gps_fixed
49Efficiency95
auto_fix_high
15Creativity78
gavel
60Discipline59

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

25Goals Scored100
45Goals Conceded27
5Clean Sheets10
41Big Chances135
31Big Chances Missed73
4Penalty Goals11

gps_fixedShooting

289Total Shots535
95Shots on Target243

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.9%Avg Possession66.7%
12,241Total Passes19,424
78.2%Pass Accuracy90.1%

shieldDefending

468Tackles355
263Interceptions234
105Saves48
49.4%Duels Won48.4%

gavelDiscipline

281Fouls259
42Yellow Cards49
2Red Cards2
55Offsides63

analyticsOther

124Corners176
139Successful Dribbles258
7Errors Leading to Goal10
6.71Avg Rating7.12

Statistical Comparison

St. PauliMetricBayern Munich
25
Goals
97
17
Assists
74
6.4
Average Ratings
6.8
27.7
Average Age
27.2
185.2
Average Height (cm)
182.6
0.7
Shots pg
1.1
43%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.1
Tackles pg
0.8

history Recent Form

St. PauliSt. Pauli
0.9 GPG
D
L
L
D
W
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
2.6 GPG
W
W
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Bayern München
3-1
St. Pauli
PL29 Mar 2025
Bayern München
3-2
St. Pauli
PL9 Nov 2024
St. Pauli
0-1
Bayern München
PL7 May 2011
St. Pauli
1-8
Bayern München
PL11 Dec 2010
Bayern München
3-0
St. Pauli
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
4 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
4 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
3 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
3 / 5 matches
St. Pauli CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Bayern Munich CS
40%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Bayern München
3 - 1
St. Pauli
29 Mar 2025
Bayern München
3 - 2
St. Pauli
9 Nov 2024
St. Pauli
0 - 1
Bayern München
7 May 2011
St. Pauli
1 - 8
Bayern München
11 Dec 2010
Bayern München
3 - 0
St. Pauli

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
St. Pauli
0.89
Form (Overall)
Bayern Munich
2.61

Bayern Munich is +193% better in terms of Points Per Game

Union Berlin
1 - 1
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
1 - 2
Freiburg
Borussia M'gladbach
2 - 0
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
0 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
0 - 1
St. Pauli
Freiburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
Bayern München
4 - 0
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Bayern München
Bayern München
4 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern München

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