St. Pauli vs Freiburg Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 22 March
Freiburg

Freiburg

Away
St. PauliTimelineFreiburg
1st Half
Ando T.
14'
Sinani D. (Ando T.)
sports_soccer
24'
2nd Half
Irie C.Out: Beste J.
sync_alt
46'
Lienhart P.Out: Ogbus B.
sync_alt
46'
Matanovic I.
sports_soccer
65'
Oppie L.Out: Ritzka L.
sync_alt
68'
Scherhant D.Out: Grifo V.
sync_alt
69'
Matanovic I. ()
sports_soccer
78'
Blessin A.
80'
Hountondji A.Out: Pereira Lage M.
sync_alt
84'
Metcalfe C.Out: Rasmussen M.
sync_alt
84'
Holer L.Out: Matanovic I.
sync_alt
86'
Kaars M.Out: Ando T.
sync_alt
89'
Osterhage P.Out: Manzambi J.
sync_alt
89'
Suzuki Y.
90+8'

Top stats

0.76Expected goals (xG)2.04
49%Ball possession51%
11Total shots15
5Shots on target6
1Big chances5
3Corner kicks2
80% (343/430)Passes85% (384/451)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

0.76Expected goals (xG)2.04
1.17xG on target (xGOT)3.23
11Total shots15
5Shots on target6
4Shots off target6
2Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box13
5Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances5
3Corner kicks2
22Touches in opposition box22
0Accurate through passes0
5Offsides3
6Free kicks9

Passes

80% (343/430)Passes85% (384/451)
32% (14/44)Long passes58% (30/52)
65% (91/140)Passes in final third69% (73/106)
40% (6/15)Crosses42% (5/12)
1.05Expected assists (xA)0.86
15Throw ins16

Defense

9Fouls6
73% (11/15)Tackles58% (7/12)
37Duels won39
23Clearances26
5Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot1
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3
3.23xGOT faced1.17
1.23Goals prevented0.17
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.84
X3.09
22.86

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
63
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #8
Season: Home 0.92 PPG vs Away 1.31 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 0.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.08 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

38%
22%
40%
St. Pauli
Draw
Freiburg

Match Preview

St. Pauli were unable to respond to goals from Kevin Stöger and Franck Honorat last weekend as Kiezkicker were beaten 2-0 on the road by Borussia Mönchengladbach. At home, though, Alexander Blessin's men are unbeaten in six Bundesliga fixtures.

Freiburg were heading for a respectable home draw against Union Berlin last weekend before Woo-Yeong Jeong scored in stoppage time to send the points back to the capital. Julian Schuster's men now travel to the Millerntor-Stadion looking to end a three-match winless streak.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

St. Pauli

Starting 11
-Nikola Vasilj
GK6.62
-Tomoya Ando
DC6.69
-Eric Smith
DC6.60
-Hauke Wahl
DC6.72
-Lars Ritzka
DML6.30
-Mathias Rasmussen
MC6.11
-Jackson Irvine
MC6.52
-Arkadiusz Pyrka
DMR6.51
-Joel Chima Fujita
AMC6.62
-Mathias Pereira Lage
AMC6.59
-Danel Sinani
FW6.61

Freiburg

Starting 11
-Noah Atubolu
GK6.60
-Jordy Makengo
DL6.30
-Bruno Ogbus
DC6.46
-Matthias Ginter
DC6.90
-Philipp Treu
DR6.49
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC6.78
-Johan Manzambi
DMC6.74
-Derry Scherhant
AML6.47
-Yuito Suzuki
AMC6.64
-Niklas Beste
AMR6.68
-Igor Matanovic
FW6.60
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 matches
St. PaulivsFreiburg

radarTeam Profile

St. Pauli
Freiburg
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
18Attack41
shield
47Defense38
swap_horiz
37Possession46
gps_fixed
48Efficiency65
auto_fix_high
15Creativity27
gavel
62Discipline59

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

23Goals Scored37
42Goals Conceded43
5Clean Sheets5
38Big Chances55
29Big Chances Missed32
4Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

268Total Shots330
88Shots on Target111

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.7%Avg Possession48.5%
11,426Total Passes10,743
78.5%Pass Accuracy81.5%

shieldDefending

433Tackles362
247Interceptions228
93Saves77
49.4%Duels Won51.4%

gavelDiscipline

264Fouls244
40Yellow Cards39
1Red Cards3
50Offsides51

analyticsOther

119Corners118
131Successful Dribbles152
6Errors Leading to Goal9
6.70Avg Rating6.77

Statistical Comparison

St. PauliMetricFreiburg
23
Goals
35
16
Assists
20
6.4
Average Ratings
6.5
28.1
Average Age
24.5
184.8
Average Height (cm)
183.7
0.7
Shots pg
0.8
43%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

St. PauliSt. Pauli
0.9 GPG
L
D
W
W
L
FreiburgFreiburg
1.3 GPG
L
D
L
W
L

group Head to Head

PL9 Nov 2025
Freiburg
2-1
St. Pauli
PL15 Feb 2025
St. Pauli
0-1
Freiburg
PL28 Sept 2024
Freiburg
0-3
St. Pauli
PL19 Oct 2022
Freiburg
2-1
St. Pauli
PL10 Apr 2016
Freiburg
4-3
St. Pauli
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
6 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
6 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
3 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
63%
5 / 8 matches
St. Pauli CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Freiburg CS
13%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 Nov 2025
Freiburg
2 - 1
St. Pauli
15 Feb 2025
St. Pauli
0 - 1
Freiburg
28 Sept 2024
Freiburg
0 - 3
St. Pauli
19 Oct 2022
Freiburg
2 - 1
St. Pauli
10 Apr 2016
Freiburg
4 - 3
St. Pauli
25 Oct 2015
St. Pauli
1 - 0
Freiburg
15 Jan 2011
St. Pauli
2 - 2
Freiburg
21 Aug 2010
Freiburg
1 - 3
St. Pauli

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
St. Pauli
0.92
Form (Overall)
Freiburg
1.31

Freiburg is +42% better in terms of Points Per Game

Borussia M'gladbach
2 - 0
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
0 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
0 - 1
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
2 - 1
Werder Bremen
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
St. Pauli
Freiburg
0 - 1
Union Berlin
Freiburg
3 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 0
Freiburg
Freiburg
2 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
Hoffenheim
3 - 0
Freiburg

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