St Etienne vs Montpellier Prediction & Tips | Ligue 2 | FootballTips.app

St Etienne
HomeFull Time
3 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 5 September

Montpellier
AwaySt EtienneTimelineMontpellier
1st Half
Bernauer M. (Cardona I.)
sports_soccer
41'
Camara Z.
42'
Boakye A.
45'
Meddah D. (Mukiele N.)
sports_soccer
45+5'
2nd Half
Boakye A.Assist: Svetlin T.
sports_soccer
49'
Old B.Out: Bernauer M.
sync_alt
58'
El Hannach N.
59'
Cathro I.
59'
Duffus J.Out: Ballo T.
sync_alt
64'
Jaber M.Out: Davitashvili Z.
sync_alt
65'
Meddah D.
67'
Hatchi J.Out: Abderrebi H.
sync_alt
70'
Chennahi T.Out: El Hannach N.
sync_alt
71'
Duffus J. (Cardona I.)
sports_soccer
71'
Breum J.Out: Boakye A.
sync_alt
76'
Ferreira J.Out: Pedro K.
sync_alt
77'
Ayem G.Out: Meddah D.
sync_alt
79'
Camara M.Out: Megnan-Pave L.
sync_alt
79'
Vidal-Cartoux N.Out: Pays N.
sync_alt
84'
Top stats
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.45
45%Ball possession55%
13Total shots7
5Shots on target3
0Big chances1
5Corner kicks4
84% (363/431)Passes89% (467/524)
1Yellow cards2
Shots
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.45
0.65xG on target (xGOT)0.61
13Total shots7
5Shots on target3
4Shots off target1
4Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box5
6Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1
Attack
0Big chances1
5Corner kicks4
28Touches in opposition box18
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides0
21Free kicks18
Passes
84% (363/431)Passes89% (467/524)
58% (25/43)Long passes52% (27/52)
66% (75/113)Passes in final third77% (70/91)
33% (5/15)Crosses22% (4/18)
0.72Expected assists (xA)0.74
26Throw ins15
Defense
18Fouls21
56% (9/16)Tackles86% (12/14)
49Duels won49
21Clearances18
9Interceptions12
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves2
0.61xGOT faced0.65
-0.39Goals prevented-2.35
3Goal kicks7
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.56
X4.22
25.34
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Odds: 4.75Stake: Medium (6/10)
55
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.40 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
53%
St Etienne Win
24%
Draw
23%
Montpellier Win
St Etienne
Draw
Montpellier
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.67 | 1.98 | — | -15.8% |
| Saint-Étienne Win | 1.55 | 1.88 | 1.73 | -17.5% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 4.18 | 4.25 | -9.1% |
| Montpellier Win | 4.75 | 4.38 | 5.31 | +8.5% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.75 | 2.03 | — | -13.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 4 matchesSt EtiennevsMontpellier
3.25Goals / Match0.75
0.75Conceded / Match0.25
2Clean Sheets3
8.25Shots on Target / Match5.25
56.0%Possession %53.0%
88.9%Pass Accuracy %81.1%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
13Goals Scored3
3Goals Conceded1
2Clean Sheets3
18Big Chances12
7Big Chances Missed9
gps_fixedShooting
71Total Shots63
33Shots on Target21
swap_horizPassing & Possession
56.0%Avg Possession53.0%
2,197Total Passes1,687
88.9%Pass Accuracy81.1%
shieldDefending
70Tackles76
36Interceptions50
8Saves19
54.8%Duels Won47.9%
gavelDiscipline
53Fouls80
4Yellow Cards11
18Offsides0
analyticsOther
17Corners24
20Successful Dribbles23
7.93Avg Rating7.61
history Recent Form
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
D
group Head to Head
PL7 Feb 2026
1-0
PL4 Oct 2025
0-2
PL16 Mar 2025
0-2
PL23 Nov 2024
1-0
PL31 Jul 2024
1-2
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
18 / 31 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
11 / 31 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
3 / 31 matches
Both Teams to Score
35%
11 / 31 matches
St Etienne CS
45%
Clean Sheets
Montpellier CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
7 Feb 2026
Saint-Étienne
1 - 0
Montpellier
4 Oct 2025
Montpellier
0 - 2
Saint-Étienne
16 Mar 2025
Montpellier
0 - 2
Saint-Étienne
23 Nov 2024
Saint-Étienne
1 - 0
Montpellier
31 Jul 2024
Montpellier
1 - 2
Saint-Étienne
5 Feb 2022
Saint-Étienne
3 - 1
Montpellier
12 Sept 2021
Montpellier
2 - 0
Saint-Étienne
2 May 2021
Montpellier
1 - 2
Saint-Étienne
1 Nov 2020
Saint-Étienne
0 - 1
Montpellier
9 Feb 2020
Montpellier
1 - 0
Saint-Étienne
24 Nov 2019
Saint-Étienne
0 - 0
Montpellier
10 May 2019
Saint-Étienne
0 - 1
Montpellier
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.90
Form (Overall)
2.10
Montpellier is +11% better in terms of Points Per Game
Dijon
2 - 3
Saint-Étienne
Saint-Étienne
4 - 0
Grenoble Foot 38
Saint-Étienne
3 - 1
Clermont
Sochaux
0 - 3
Saint-Étienne
Montpellier
0 - 0
Boulogne
Dunkerque
0 - 1
Montpellier
Nancy
0 - 1
Montpellier
Montpellier
1 - 1
Dijon
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