St Johnstone vs Ayr Prediction & Tips | Challenge Cup - Play Offs | FootballTips.app
Unlock with Pro
Open every match before full time, with no ads. This page is public after full time.
$7.49/month
Billed as $89.9/year
Every match before full time
Ad-free experience
Full access to all features
or
10%St Johnstone
X0%Draw
20%Ayr
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.71
X3.57
24.53
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.57 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.71 conc vs Away 1.75 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
51%
26%
24%
St Johnstone
Draw
Ayr
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Johnstone Win | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.86 | -13.5% |
| Draw | 3.57 | 3.91 | 3.88 | -8.7% |
| Ayr United Win | 4.53 | 4.20 | 4.92 | +7.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
St Johnstone
Starting 11
10James Gullan
CF
24Joshua McPake
-Alfredo Agyeman
7Jason Holt
CM
11Sam Stanton
CM
-Adam Forrester
42Reece McAlear
CM
3Cheick Diabate
4Morgan Boyes
CB
33Liam Smith
RB
Substitutes
17Louis LLoyd
18Uche Ikpeazu
CF
6Victor Alfredo Griffith Mullins
CDM
8Jonathan Svedberg
CDM
22Stephen Mallan
CM
14Matthew Foulds
LB
15Jack Baird
CB
-Ross Sinclair
GK
Ayr
Starting 11
7Anton Dowds
22Mark McKenzie
ST
6Stuart Bannigan
CM
8Ben Dempsey
CM
23Marco Rus
38Liam Russell
55George Finney
5Kevin Holt
LB
20Leon Thomson King
CB
33Scott McMann
LB
Substitutes
-George Oakley
11Dominic Thomas
RM
11Ben Summers
35Jack Simpson
3Liam Dick
LB
4Shaun Want
CB
-David Mitchell
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
St JohnstonevsAyr
history Recent Form
St JohnstoneD
L
W
D
W
AyrW
L
D
D
W
group Head to Head
PL12 Dec 2025
2-4
PL4 Oct 2025
0-0
PL25 Jul 2023
1-2
PL23 Jul 2022
1-0
PL8 Feb 2020
1-2
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
3 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
3 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
1 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
3 / 5 matches
St Johnstone CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Ayr CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
12 Dec 2025
Ayr United
2 - 4
St. Johnstone
4 Oct 2025
St. Johnstone
0 - 0
Ayr United
25 Jul 2023
St. Johnstone
1 - 2
Ayr United
23 Jul 2022
St. Johnstone
1 - 0
Ayr United
8 Feb 2020
Ayr United
1 - 2
St. Johnstone
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.80
Form (Overall)
1.50
St Johnstone is +20% better in terms of Points Per Game
St. Johnstone
2 - 2
Partick Thistle
St. Johnstone
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic
St. Johnstone
1 - 0
Arbroath
Ross County
0 - 0
St. Johnstone
St. Johnstone
5 - 0
Greenock Morton
Ayr United
2 - 1
Raith Rovers
Partick Thistle
2 - 1
Ayr United
Ayr United
1 - 1
Airdrieonians
Greenock Morton
1 - 1
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
2 - 3
Ayr United
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities