Stoke vs Bristol City Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
Stoke
HomeFull Time
0:0
Saturday 24 October
Bristol City
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
12.30
X3.31
23.04
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
57
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #15
Season: Home 1.73 PPG vs Away 1.27 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.80 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
52%
24%
24%
Stoke
Draw
Bristol City
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.96 | 1.94 | 2.09 | +1.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.80 | 2.07 | 1.92 | -12.9% |
| Stoke City Win | 2.37 | 1.93 | 2.63 | +22.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 4.13 | 3.61 | -21.4% |
| Bristol City Win | 2.62 | 4.17 | 2.91 | -37.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.75 | 1.82 | 1.88 | -4.1% |
| BTTS - No | 2.00 | 2.21 | 2.14 | -9.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Stoke
Starting 11
-Viktor Johansson
GK6.67
-Luke Graham
DC7.08
-Bosun Lawal
DC6.59
-Ben Wilmot
DC6.82
-Luca Bombino
DML6.68
-Ethan Galbraith
MC7.05
-Djibril Soumaré
MC6.67
-Ben Johnson
DMR6.92
-Justin Devenny
AMC6.68
-Jack McGlynn
AMC6.92
-Lamine Cissé
FW6.81
Bristol City
Starting 11
-Sam Tickle
GK6.03
-Cameron Pring
DL6.19
-Luke McNally
DC7.46
-Rob Atkinson
DC6.85
-George Tanner
DR6.75
-Jason Knight
DMC6.52
-Brian De Keersmaecker
DMC6.25
-Yu Hirakawa
AML6.53
-Scott Twine
AMC6.71
-Jed Wallace
AMR6.40
-Dom Ballard
FW6.47
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Luke Graham scored the only goal of the game against Derby last time out as Stoke left Pride Park with all three points in the bank. Mark Robins' side have won four of their last five league games, and six of their last eight.
Bristol City couldn't respond to Oliver Arblaster's fifth-minute opener last weekend as the Robins suffered a narrow home defeat to Sheffield United. Michael Skubala's side are winless in three, with four defeats from their last six Championship matches.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 11 matchesStokevsBristol City
1.64Goals / Match1.09
1.45Conceded / Match1.36
3Clean Sheets1
3.73Shots on Target / Match4.36
44.1%Possession %46.8%
78.8%Pass Accuracy %75.2%
radarTeam Profile
Stoke
Bristol City
sports_soccer
38Attack38
shield
53Defense31
swap_horiz
36Possession26
gps_fixed
72Efficiency44
auto_fix_high
43Creativity35
gavel
29Discipline54
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
18Goals Scored12
16Goals Conceded15
3Clean Sheets1
15Big Chances24
10Big Chances Missed17
1Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
126Total Shots156
41Shots on Target48
swap_horizPassing & Possession
44.1%Avg Possession46.8%
3,812Total Passes3,996
78.8%Pass Accuracy75.2%
shieldDefending
175Tackles157
105Interceptions88
38Saves16
48.1%Duels Won51.4%
gavelDiscipline
152Fouls129
22Yellow Cards15
2Red Cards1
27Offsides16
analyticsOther
48Corners60
65Successful Dribbles39
2Errors Leading to Goal1
7.10Avg Rating7.09
Statistical Comparison
StokeMetricBristol City
17
Goals
12
12
Assists
8
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
23.8
Average Age
26.3
181.3
Average Height (cm)
180.9
0.9
Shots pg
0.9
50%
Aerial Duel Success
56%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1.2
history Recent Form
StokeL
W
W
W
D
Bristol CityD
W
L
W
W
group Head to Head
PL2 May 2026
2-0
PL1 Nov 2025
5-1
PL12 Feb 2025
2-0
PL22 Oct 2024
2-2
PL4 May 2024
4-0
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
14 / 17 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
7 / 17 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
4 / 17 matches
Both Teams to Score
41%
7 / 17 matches
Stoke CS
18%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City CS
41%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
2 May 2026
Bristol City
2 - 0
Stoke City
1 Nov 2025
Stoke City
5 - 1
Bristol City
12 Feb 2025
Bristol City
2 - 0
Stoke City
22 Oct 2024
Stoke City
2 - 2
Bristol City
4 May 2024
Stoke City
4 - 0
Bristol City
30 Sept 2023
Bristol City
2 - 3
Stoke City
7 Apr 2023
Stoke City
1 - 2
Bristol City
17 Dec 2022
Bristol City
1 - 2
Stoke City
15 Apr 2022
Stoke City
0 - 1
Bristol City
24 Nov 2021
Bristol City
1 - 0
Stoke City
2 Apr 2021
Bristol City
0 - 2
Stoke City
20 Sept 2020
Stoke City
0 - 2
Bristol City
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.80
Form (Overall)
1.60
Stoke is +12% better in terms of Points Per Game
Stoke City
2 - 3
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2 - 1
Sheffield United
Stoke City
4 - 0
Charlton Athletic
Stoke City
1 - 0
Norwich City
Stoke City
1 - 1
Hull City
Charlton Athletic
1 - 1
Bristol City
Crystal Palace
0 - 2
Bristol City
Southampton
4 - 1
Bristol City
Burnley
1 - 2
Bristol City
Preston North End
1 - 3
Bristol City
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