Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app
Stoke
HomeFull Time
2 - 3
HT: 0 - 0
Tuesday 13 October
Middlesbrough
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
13.46
X3.81
21.95
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
65
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #2
Season: Home 1.78 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
34%
25%
41%
Stoke
Draw
Middlesbrough
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.69 | 1.79 | 1.79 | -5.7% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.13 | 2.26 | 2.26 | -5.9% |
| Stoke City Win | 3.43 | 2.95 | 3.59 | +16.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.06 | 3.92 | -7.5% |
| Middlesbrough Win | 2.05 | 2.41 | 2.14 | -14.9% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.60 | 1.81 | 1.72 | -11.6% |
| BTTS - No | 2.21 | 2.23 | 2.38 | -1.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Stoke
Starting 11
-Viktor Johansson
GK6.63
-Luke Graham
DC7.01
-Bosun Lawal
DC6.60
-Ben Wilmot
DC6.85
-Eric Bocat
DML6.89
-Ethan Galbraith
MC7.10
-Djibril Soumaré
MC6.62
-Ben Johnson
DMR7.04
-Justin Devenny
AMC6.89
-Jack McGlynn
AMC7.11
-Lamine Cissé
FW6.96
Middlesbrough
Starting 11
-Radek Vítek
GK6.70
-Neto Borges
DL6.68
-Adilson Malanda
DC6.95
-Ashley Phillips
DC6.85
-Callum Brittain
DR6.93
-Sebastian Berhalter
DMC6.97
-Aidan Morris
DMC6.92
-Kyle Joseph
AML6.37
-Riley McGree
AMC6.39
-Amario Cozier-Duberry
AMR7.52
-Will Lankshear
FW7.09
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Stoke turned in a seriously impressive performance against Bolton on Saturday, scoring twice after going down to 10 men to beat the newly promoted side on the road. The Potters have now taken 16 points from the last 18 available heading into gameweek 10.
Will Lankshear scored the decisive goal in gameweek nine as Middlesbrough edged past fellow promotion hopefuls Wolves on home soil. Kim Hellberg's side are up to second in the standings after extending their unbeaten run to seven Championship games.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 9 matchesStokevsMiddlesbrough
1.67Goals / Match1.89
1.44Conceded / Match1.33
2Clean Sheets2
4.00Shots on Target / Match5.22
44.9%Possession %59.3%
79.4%Pass Accuracy %87.3%
radarTeam Profile
Stoke
Middlesbrough
sports_soccer
40Attack75
shield
52Defense44
swap_horiz
38Possession72
gps_fixed
75Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
44Creativity73
gavel
17Discipline70
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
15Goals Scored17
13Goals Conceded12
2Clean Sheets2
13Big Chances32
8Big Chances Missed20
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
106Total Shots154
36Shots on Target47
swap_horizPassing & Possession
44.9%Avg Possession59.3%
3,192Total Passes4,755
79.4%Pass Accuracy87.3%
shieldDefending
145Tackles150
95Interceptions68
28Saves22
48.8%Duels Won51.8%
gavelDiscipline
133Fouls91
21Yellow Cards11
2Red Cards0
24Offsides23
analyticsOther
40Corners50
52Successful Dribbles63
1Errors Leading to Goal1
7.06Avg Rating7.58
Statistical Comparison
StokeMetricMiddlesbrough
15
Goals
17
10
Assists
10
6.5
Average Ratings
6.7
24.5
Average Age
24.4
181.2
Average Height (cm)
182.8
1
Shots pg
1.2
51%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.3
Tackles pg
1.3
history Recent Form
StokeW
W
W
D
L
MiddlesbroughD
L
W
D
W
group Head to Head
PL21 Jan 2026
1-2
PL30 Sept 2025
0-0
PL25 Feb 2025
1-3
PL28 Sept 2024
2-0
PL27 Aug 2024
0-5
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
15 / 21 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
8 / 21 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4 / 21 matches
Both Teams to Score
38%
8 / 21 matches
Stoke CS
43%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
21 Jan 2026
Stoke City
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
30 Sept 2025
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Stoke City
25 Feb 2025
Stoke City
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
28 Sept 2024
Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Stoke City
27 Aug 2024
Middlesbrough
0 - 5
Stoke City
2 Mar 2024
Stoke City
2 - 0
Middlesbrough
28 Oct 2023
Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Stoke City
14 Mar 2023
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Stoke City
17 Aug 2022
Stoke City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough
30 Apr 2022
Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Stoke City
11 Dec 2021
Stoke City
0 - 0
Middlesbrough
13 Mar 2021
Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Stoke City
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.25
Form (Overall)
1.25
Stoke is +80% better in terms of Points Per Game
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