Stoke vs Oxford Utd Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Stoke

Stoke

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Wednesday 25 February
Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

Away
StokeTimelineOxford Utd
1st Half
Talovierov M.
10'
Cisse L. (Manhoef M.)
sports_soccer
36'
Brown C. (Mills S.)
sports_soccer
44'
2nd Half
Emakhu A.Out: Jeon Jin-Woo
sync_alt
46'
Wilmot B.
53'
Rak-Sakyi J.Assist: Thomas S.
sports_soccer
57'
Prelec N.Out: Lankshear W.
sync_alt
66'
ter Haar Romeny O.Out: Mills S.
sync_alt
66'
Konak Y. E.Out: Brannagan C.
sync_alt
66'
Bae J.Out: Rak-Sakyi J.
sync_alt
70'
Seko T.Out: Rigo T.
sync_alt
78'
Harris M.Out: Peart-Harris M.
sync_alt
83'
Vaulks W.
89'
Smit M.Out: Cisse L.
sync_alt
90+4'

Top stats

1.51Expected goals (xG)1.46
61%Ball possession39%
21Total shots9
9Shots on target2
3Big chances2
8Corner kicks7
85% (389/456)Passes74% (202/273)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

1.51Expected goals (xG)1.46
1.68xG on target (xGOT)0.97
21Total shots9
9Shots on target2
7Shots off target5
5Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box8
9Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances2
8Corner kicks7
18Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides5
5Free kicks11

Passes

85% (389/456)Passes74% (202/273)
49% (32/65)Long passes34% (18/53)
81% (108/134)Passes in final third62% (58/94)
27% (7/26)Crosses23% (6/26)
1.08Expected assists (xA)0.82
26Throw ins13

Defense

11Fouls5
64% (7/11)Tackles78% (14/18)
46Duels won51
30Clearances37
4Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves6
0.97xGOT faced1.68
-0.03Goals prevented-0.32
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.88
X3.31
24.78

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #23
Season: Home 1.33 PPG vs Away 0.88 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.31 GPG vs Away 0.88 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

75%
14%
12%
Stoke
Draw
Oxford Utd

Match Preview

At bet365 Stadium on February 25, 2026, Stoke City will go head-to-head against Oxford United in the Championship.

Stoke City, positioned 16th in the standings with 44 points, will face off against bottom-placed Oxford United, who have collected 29 points.

Stoke City has faced difficulties at home, losing 3 of their last 6 matches at their own ground, while Oxford United has struggled overall, recording 4 losses in their last 6 matches.

With a probability of 42%, the algorithm predicts Stoke City to emerge victorious in this encounter.

Ben Wilmot was the unlikely hero for Stoke on Saturday afternoon as his brace salvaged a point at home against a relegation-threatened Leicester side. The Potters have dropped a long way from play-off contention after a seven-game winless run.

Oxford United defended bravely against title contenders Middlesbrough at the weekend, grinding out a goalless draw at the Riverside Stadium. Matt Bloomfield's side remain winless in five, though, and are five points adrift from safety heading into gameweek 34.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Stoke

Starting 11
-Tommy Simkin
GK6.64
-Aaron Cresswell
DC6.67
-Ben Wilmot
DC6.82
-Ashley Phillips
DC6.81
-Eric-Junior Bocat
DML6.48
-Ben Pearson
MC6.38
-Tatsuki Seko
MC6.43
-Sorba Thomas
DMR6.85
-Million Manhoef
AMC6.64
-Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
AMC6.14
-Lamine Cissé
FW6.40

Oxford Utd

Starting 11
-Jamie Cumming
GK6.54
-Jack Currie
DL6.86
-Ciaron Brown
DC7.13
-Michal Helik
DC6.99
-Sam Long
DR6.65
-Will Vaulks
DMC6.47
-Cameron Brannagan
DMC6.56
-Aidomo Emakhu
AML5.74
-Myles Peart-Harris
AMC6.43
-Stanley Mills
AMR6.42
-Will Lankshear
FW6.30
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 matches
StokevsOxford Utd

radarTeam Profile

Stoke
Oxford Utd
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
26Attack18
shield
52Defense51
swap_horiz
47Possession17
gps_fixed
59Efficiency39
auto_fix_high
24Creativity11
gavel
48Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

36Goals Scored28
31Goals Conceded44
12Clean Sheets6
54Big Chances41
35Big Chances Missed28

gps_fixedShooting

363Total Shots389
124Shots on Target106

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.5%Avg Possession40.9%
13,657Total Passes10,470
79.6%Pass Accuracy71.1%

shieldDefending

421Tackles567
239Interceptions335
92Saves100
49.2%Duels Won50.4%

gavelDiscipline

343Fouls361
69Yellow Cards57
3Red Cards1
97Offsides66

analyticsOther

187Corners120
192Successful Dribbles157
3Errors Leading to Goal7
6.80Avg Rating6.72

Statistical Comparison

StokeMetricOxford Utd
34
Goals
26
25
Assists
17
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
25.9
Average Age
26
180.4
Average Height (cm)
184.1
0.7
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.3
0.8
Tackles pg
1.3

League Standings Context

For Stoke

PosTeamPWDLPts
15Sheffield United331431645
16Stoke City331281344
17Charlton Athletic3410111341

For Oxford Utd

PosTeamPWDLPts
22Leicester City3410101434
23Oxford United336111629
24Sheffield Wednesday331824-7

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

40.4/ 95.0
Dangerous Attacks
38.8/ 84.9
33.0%
Shots on Target
30.0%
11.0
Total Shots
12.1
53.0%
Possession
42.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.0
Goals Scored / Match
0.8
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Stoke Wins
40%
2
Draws
40%
1
Oxford Utd Wins
20%
Total H2H Matches: 5

Recent Form Stats

MarketStokeOxford Utd
Over 1.5 Goals
57%21/37
62%23/37
Over 2.5 Goals
41%15/37
46%17/37
Both Teams to Score
35%13/37
49%18/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Stoke

CH
Stoke City
2 - 2
Leicester City
FA
Stoke City
1 - 2
Fulham
CH
Stoke City
0 - 2
Southampton
CH
Stoke City
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
CH
Stoke City
0 - 0
QPR
FA
Stoke City
1 - 0
Coventry City

Home Games: Stoke

CH
Stoke City
2 - 2
Leicester City
FA
Stoke City
1 - 2
Fulham
CH
Stoke City
0 - 2
Southampton
CH
Stoke City
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
CH
Stoke City
0 - 0
QPR
FA
Stoke City
1 - 0
Coventry City

Last 6: Oxford Utd

CH
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Oxford United
CH
Coventry City
0 - 0
Oxford United
CH
Sheffield United
3 - 1
Oxford United
CH
Leicester City
1 - 2
Oxford United
FA
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 1
Oxford United
CH
Ipswich Town
2 - 1
Oxford United

Away Games: Oxford Utd

CH
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Oxford United
CH
Coventry City
0 - 0
Oxford United
CH
Sheffield United
3 - 1
Oxford United
CH
Leicester City
1 - 2
Oxford United
FA
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 1
Oxford United
CH
Ipswich Town
2 - 1
Oxford United

history Recent Form

StokeStoke
1.3 GPG
D
L
D
L
D
Oxford UtdOxford Utd
0.9 GPG
D
L
D
L
L

group Head to Head

PL4 Nov 2025
Oxford United
0-3
Stoke City
PL25 Jan 2025
Stoke City
0-0
Oxford United
PL14 Sept 2024
Oxford United
1-0
Stoke City
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 3 matches
Stoke CS
67%
Clean Sheets
Oxford Utd CS
67%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Nov 2025
Oxford United
0 - 3
Stoke City
25 Jan 2025
Stoke City
0 - 0
Oxford United
14 Sept 2024
Oxford United
1 - 0
Stoke City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Stoke
1.33
Form (Overall)
Oxford Utd
0.88

Stoke is +51% better in terms of Points Per Game

Stoke City
2 - 2
Leicester City
Charlton Athletic
1 - 0
Stoke City
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 0
Stoke City
Stoke City
0 - 2
Southampton
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Oxford United
Oxford United
0 - 3
Norwich City
Coventry City
0 - 0
Oxford United
Sheffield United
3 - 1
Oxford United
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City

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