Stoke vs Portsmouth Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Stoke

Stoke

Home
Full Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 25 April
Portsmouth

Portsmouth

Away
StokeTimelinePortsmouth
1st Half
Killip B.Out: Bursik J.
sync_alt
4'
Segecic A. (Blair H.)
sports_soccer
32'
2nd Half
Rak-Sakyi J.Out: Gallagher S.
sync_alt
46'
Gibson B.Out: Bocat E.
sync_alt
46'
Cisse L. (Thomas S.)
sports_soccer
48'
Matthews H.
61'
Bowat I.Out: Matthews H.
sync_alt
61'
Murphy J.Out: Blair H.
sync_alt
62'
Tchamadeu J.Out: Agina S.
sync_alt
63'
Segecic A.Assist: Murphy J.
sports_soccer
66'
N'Zonzi S.Out: Pearson B.
sync_alt
71'
Brown J.Out: Swift J.
sync_alt
78'
Waddingham T.Out: Bishop C.
sync_alt
79'
Manhoef M.Out: Otegbayo R.
sync_alt
79'
Segecic A.
sports_soccer
82'
Segecic A.
82'

Top stats

1.51Expected goals (xG)1.62
48%Ball possession52%
13Total shots8
3Shots on target4
2Big chances3
8Corner kicks1
71% (221/312)Passes78% (282/362)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

1.51Expected goals (xG)1.62
1.65xG on target (xGOT)2.64
13Total shots8
3Shots on target4
4Shots off target3
6Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box5
2Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances3
8Corner kicks1
23Touches in opposition box15
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides0
13Free kicks9

Passes

71% (221/312)Passes78% (282/362)
28% (19/67)Long passes19% (10/52)
57% (51/90)Passes in final third63% (53/84)
29% (8/28)Crosses14% (2/14)
0.66Expected assists (xA)1.00
30Throw ins21

Defense

9Fouls13
69% (9/13)Tackles73% (11/15)
51Duels won48
21Clearances49
9Interceptions12
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves2
2.64xGOT faced1.65
-0.36Goals prevented0.65
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.70
X3.32
22.67

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
63
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #17 vs Away #20
Season: Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 1.16 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.50 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 0.95 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

41%
34%
26%
Stoke
Draw
Portsmouth

Match Preview

Caleb Taylor's second-half goal was nothing more than a consolation for Stoke on Tuesday night as the Potters were beaten 3-1 on home soil by promotion contenders Millwall. Mark Robins' side have picked up just one point from their last four Championship outings and are sliding down the standings.

Portsmouth, meanwhile, are now safe from relegation after Oxford United's midweek defeat, but John Mousinho's men travel to the bet365 Stadium looking to avenge a 5-1 away defeat to Coventry. The visitors have won one, drawn one and lost one of their last three on the road.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Stoke

Starting 11
-Gavin Bazunu
GK6.28
-Eric-Junior Bocat
DL6.49
-Raphael-Pijus Otegbayo
DC5.73
-Ashley Phillips
DC6.73
-Syd Agina
DR5.99
-Lewis Baker
DMC6.70
-Tatsuki Seko
DMC6.43
-Sorba Thomas
AML6.82
-Million Manhoef
AMC6.62
-Lamine Cissé
AMR6.50
-Sam Gallagher
FW6.45

Portsmouth

Starting 11
-Nicolas Schmid
GK6.30
-Connor Ogilvie
DL6.62
-Conor Shaughnessy
DC6.89
-Regan Poole
DC6.82
-Jordan Williams
DR6.46
-Andre Dozzell
DMC6.49
-Ebou Adams
DMC6.86
-Josh Murphy
AML6.63
-Conor Chaplin
AMC6.53
-Millenic Alli
AMR6.51
-Colby Bishop
FW6.63
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 44 matches
StokevsPortsmouth

radarTeam Profile

Stoke
Portsmouth
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
28Attack26
shield
45Defense41
swap_horiz
45Possession33
gps_fixed
60Efficiency46
auto_fix_high
25Creativity15
gavel
47Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

50Goals Scored45
51Goals Conceded62
13Clean Sheets10
76Big Chances66
49Big Chances Missed47
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

487Total Shots540
168Shots on Target163

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.9%Avg Possession50.3%
17,580Total Passes16,428
78.9%Pass Accuracy74.8%

shieldDefending

575Tackles595
327Interceptions371
116Saves113
49.6%Duels Won50.5%

gavelDiscipline

456Fouls435
90Yellow Cards83
5Red Cards2
118Offsides76

analyticsOther

252Corners255
259Successful Dribbles221
7Errors Leading to Goal8
6.77Avg Rating6.73

Statistical Comparison

StokeMetricPortsmouth
46
Goals
44
33
Assists
27
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
24.5
Average Age
28.4
184.1
Average Height (cm)
180.2
0.7
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.4
0.8
Tackles pg
1

history Recent Form

StokeStoke
1.3 GPG
L
L
D
L
W
PortsmouthPortsmouth
1.2 GPG
L
W
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL25 Oct 2025
Portsmouth
0-1
Stoke City
PL22 Jan 2025
Portsmouth
3-1
Stoke City
PL2 Oct 2024
Stoke City
6-1
Portsmouth
PL27 Aug 2014
Stoke City
3-0
Portsmouth
PL20 Feb 2010
Portsmouth
1-2
Stoke City
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
7 / 9 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
7 / 9 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
4 / 9 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
5 / 9 matches
Stoke CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Portsmouth CS
11%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Oct 2025
Portsmouth
0 - 1
Stoke City
22 Jan 2025
Portsmouth
3 - 1
Stoke City
2 Oct 2024
Stoke City
6 - 1
Portsmouth
27 Aug 2014
Stoke City
3 - 0
Portsmouth
20 Feb 2010
Portsmouth
1 - 2
Stoke City
22 Nov 2009
Stoke City
1 - 0
Portsmouth
27 Oct 2009
Portsmouth
4 - 0
Stoke City
21 Feb 2009
Stoke City
2 - 2
Portsmouth
5 Oct 2008
Portsmouth
2 - 1
Stoke City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Stoke
1.25
Form (Overall)
Portsmouth
1.16

Stoke is +8% better in terms of Points Per Game

Stoke City
1 - 3
Millwall
Wrexham
2 - 0
Stoke City
Stoke City
1 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
Derby County
2 - 0
Stoke City
Stoke City
2 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
Coventry City
5 - 1
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
1 - 0
Leicester City
Portsmouth
2 - 0
Ipswich Town
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
2 - 2
Oxford United

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