Stuttgart vs Celtic Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Stuttgart

Stuttgart

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Thursday 26 February
Celtic

Celtic

Away
StuttgartTimelineCeltic
1st Half
McCowan L.Assist: Adamu J.
sports_soccer
1'
Donovan C.
45'
2nd Half
Fuhrich C.Out: Leweling J.
sync_alt
46'
Cvancara T.Out: Adamu J.
sync_alt
56'
Ralston A.Out: Donovan C.
sync_alt
56'
Demirovic E.Out: Tomas T.
sync_alt
64'
Stiller A.Out: Andres C.
sync_alt
64'
Nygren B.Out: Yang Hyun-Jun
sync_alt
68'
Tounekti S.Out: McCowan L.
sync_alt
68'
Hendriks R.Out: Jaquez L.
sync_alt
72'
Iheanacho K.Out: Hatate R.
sync_alt
78'
El Khannouss B.Out: Bouanani B.
sync_alt
85'

Top stats

2.12Expected goals (xG)0.30
66%Ball possession34%
24Total shots4
8Shots on target2
4Big chances1
13Corner kicks7
87% (523/600)Passes77% (241/311)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

2.12Expected goals (xG)0.30
0.48xG on target (xGOT)0.76
24Total shots4
8Shots on target2
6Shots off target1
10Blocked shots1
15Shots inside the box2
9Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances1
13Corner kicks7
51Touches in opposition box14
1Accurate through passes0
6Offsides2
13Free kicks6

Passes

87% (523/600)Passes77% (241/311)
61% (39/64)Long passes49% (24/49)
79% (159/201)Passes in final third69% (48/70)
25% (8/32)Crosses7% (1/14)
2.58Expected assists (xA)0.64
16Throw ins11

Defense

6Fouls13
50% (5/10)Tackles53% (9/17)
43Duels won46
16Clearances42
7Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves6
0.76xGOT faced0.48
-0.24Goals prevented-0.52
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.37
X5.49
27.37

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
65
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 2.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.50 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

71%
15%
14%
Stuttgart
Draw
Celtic

Match Preview

Stuttgart and Celtic will clash in the Europa League at the MHPArena on February 26, 2026.

Stuttgart has been solid, winning 22 out of their last 35 matches and maintaining a perfect record of 4 wins in 4 home matches in the Europa League this season.

Meanwhile, Celtic has struggled, losing 50% of their last 6 Europa League matches but managing to secure 3 wins in their last 6 away fixtures.

In their previous meetings, Stuttgart has a 100% winning record against Celtic in the Europa League.

Our algorithm predicts Stuttgart to claim victory with a probability of 57%.

Stuttgart return to the MHPArena with one foot firmly in the last 16 after a commanding 4-1 victory at Celtic Park. The Bundesliga side were clinical in Glasgow, and their attacking momentum has scarcely slowed since. A 3-3 draw with Heidenheim at the weekend extended their run to just one defeat in eight matches (W6 D1 L1), with six of those games featuring three or more Stuttgart goals.

Celtic, by contrast, travel to Germany with pride and probability at odds. A 2-1 defeat to Hibernian compounded the disappointment of the first leg, and they now face the daunting task of overturning a three-goal deficit in a country where they have never won in 16 European attempts (D4 L12). While Martin O’Neill can point to a ten-match unbeaten run prior to the first leg, the historical pattern in European knockouts is stark: Celtic are winless in their last 12 away knockout matches in major European main-draw competition (D3 L9).

For Stuttgart, there is one caveat. Despite strong overall home form, they are winless in their last seven European knockout matches on home soil (D3 L4). The tie may look settled, but European nights in February rarely follow a script without tension.

Stuttgart are unlikely to sit deep despite their advantage. Hoeneß’s philosophy leans toward control through possession and aggressive counter-pressing rather than passive defence. If they score first, the tie will effectively be beyond reach. Celtic, therefore, must begin with intensity and purpose, seeking an early breakthrough while avoiding the spaces that Leweling and Undav exploit so effectively.

The German side’s attacking output suggests further goals are probable, especially given Celtic’s need to commit bodies forward. With seven of Stuttgart’s last eight matches clearing the 2.5-goal mark, another open encounter cannot be ruled out.

Celtic may show greater urgency than in the first leg, but the scale of the deficit, their away record in Germany, and Stuttgart’s current attacking form all point toward the hosts seeing this through without major alarm.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Stuttgart

Starting 11
-Alexander Nübel
GK6.57
-Maximilian Mittelstädt
DL7.22
-Ramon Hendriks
DC6.68
-Finn Jeltsch
DC6.70
-Josha Vagnoman
DR6.33
-Atakan Karazor
DMC6.30
-Chema Andres
DMC6.91
-Jamie Leweling
AML6.94
-Nikolas Nartey
AMC6.60
-Badredine Bouanani
AMR6.54
-Deniz Undav
FW7.21

Celtic

Starting 11
-Kasper Schmeichel
GK6.17
-Kieran Tierney
DL6.57
-Auston Trusty
DC7.05
-Liam Scales
DC6.77
-Julián Araujo
DR5.30
-Paulo Bernardo
MC6.05
-Callum McGregor
MC6.53
-Benjamin Nygren
MC6.83
-Sebastian Tounekti
FWL6.49
-Tomás Cvancara
FW6.30
-Daizen Maeda
FWR6.54
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 matches
StuttgartvsCeltic

radarTeam Profile

Stuttgart
Celtic
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
85Attack48
shield
39Defense25
swap_horiz
68Possession62
gps_fixed
68Efficiency92
auto_fix_high
66Creativity58
gavel
45Discipline48

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

19Goals Scored14
10Goals Conceded19
2Clean Sheets0
30Big Chances30
16Big Chances Missed17
1Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

167Total Shots86
57Shots on Target37

swap_horizPassing & Possession

58.6%Avg Possession50.8%
4,658Total Passes4,370
85.9%Pass Accuracy84.0%

shieldDefending

116Tackles133
66Interceptions69
20Saves31
50.2%Duels Won47.6%

gavelDiscipline

114Fouls105
20Yellow Cards15
0Red Cards1
10Offsides13

analyticsOther

53Corners45
62Successful Dribbles73
4Errors Leading to Goal2
6.91Avg Rating6.72

Statistical Comparison

StuttgartMetricCeltic
19
Goals
13
16
Assists
10
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
25
Average Age
27.4
186.2
Average Height (cm)
183.3
1.3
Shots pg
0.7
53%
Aerial Duel Success
43%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.8
0.9
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Stuttgart

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Bologna843115
11Stuttgart850315
12Ferencvaros843115

For Celtic

PosTeamPWDLPts
20Panathinaikos833212
21Celtic832311
22Ludogorets831410

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

54.6/ 111.3
Dangerous Attacks
62.8/ 105.3
37.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
15.9
Total Shots
13.9
59.0%
Possession
63.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.7
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Stuttgart Wins
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Celtic Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 1

Recent Form Stats

MarketStuttgartCeltic
Over 1.5 Goals
86%31/36
100%36/36
Over 2.5 Goals
67%24/36
75%27/36
Both Teams to Score
53%19/36
67%24/36
* Based on last 36 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Stuttgart

De1
Stuttgart
3 - 1
Köln
De1
Stuttgart
1 - 0
Freiburg
UEL
Stuttgart
3 - 2
Young Boys
De1
Stuttgart
1 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Stuttgart
3 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
De1
Stuttgart
0 - 0
Hoffenheim

Home Games: Stuttgart

De1
Stuttgart
3 - 1
Köln
De1
Stuttgart
1 - 0
Freiburg
UEL
Stuttgart
3 - 2
Young Boys
De1
Stuttgart
1 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Stuttgart
3 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
De1
Stuttgart
0 - 0
Hoffenheim

Last 6: Celtic

Sc1
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Celtic
Sc1
Hearts
2 - 2
Celtic
UEL
Bologna
2 - 2
Celtic
FA
Auchinleck Talbot
0 - 2
Celtic
Sc1
Falkirk FC
0 - 1
Celtic
Sc1
Motherwell
2 - 0
Celtic

Away Games: Celtic

Sc1
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Celtic
Sc1
Hearts
2 - 2
Celtic
UEL
Bologna
2 - 2
Celtic
FA
Auchinleck Talbot
0 - 2
Celtic
Sc1
Falkirk FC
0 - 1
Celtic
Sc1
Motherwell
2 - 0
Celtic

history Recent Form

StuttgartStuttgart
2.0 GPG
D
W
L
W
W
CelticCeltic
2.0 GPG
L
W
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL19 Feb 2026
Celtic
1-4
Stuttgart
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
1 / 1 matches
Stuttgart CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Celtic CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Feb 2026
Celtic
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Stuttgart
2.00
Form (Overall)
Celtic
2.00

Both teams have equal form.

Heidenheim
3 - 3
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
3 - 1
Köln
St. Pauli
2 - 1
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
1 - 0
Freiburg
Borussia M'gladbach
0 - 3
Stuttgart
Celtic
1 - 2
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Celtic
Celtic
2 - 1
Livingston
Celtic
2 - 0
Falkirk
Hearts
2 - 2
Celtic

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