Sunderland and Burnley are scheduled to meet in a Premier League matchup at the Stadium of Light on February 2, 2026.

Sunderland currently holds the 11th position in the standings, while Burnley trails behind in 19th place, with a notable gap in points between the two teams.

Sunderland has accumulated 33 points and displayed strength at home with 6 wins in 11 league matches.

On the contrary, Burnley has faced challenges on the road, suffering 4 losses in their most recent 6 away fixtures, amassing a total of 15 points.

With the statistical data highlighting Sunderland's home prowess and Burnley's struggles on their travels, the match is expected to be a closely contested affair at the Stadium of Light.

Considering the teams' recent performances, our algorithm predicts that under 2.5 goals will be scored in this encounter.

Two promoted sides with sharply diverging trajectories meet under the lights at the Stadium of Light, where Sunderland’s remarkable home form is tested against a Burnley side increasingly resigned to a relegation fight. The Black Cats remain the only Premier League team yet to lose at home this season (W6, D5), a record that continues to underpin faint European ambitions despite a recent dip in overall form.

Sunderland’s 3–1 defeat at West Ham last weekend extended a stuttering run of just one win in seven league matches, dropping them into the bottom half. Even so, they start the round just five points off the top four and, crucially, have not lost consecutive league games all season. With 13 of their 18 home league goals arriving after half-time, patience rather than dominance has defined their success on Wearside.

Burnley, by contrast, arrive entrenched in trouble. A 14-game winless league run has left Scott Parker’s side ten points adrift of safety, and their 2–2 draw with Tottenham last time out did little to change the broader picture. Away from home, the Clarets have managed just one win all season, conceding late goals at an alarming rate and repeatedly failing to protect positive positions.

Sunderland are likely to allow Burnley spells of sterile possession before targeting transitions and late pressure, particularly down the flanks. Burnley’s tendency to concede late, combined with Sunderland’s second-half scoring profile, shapes the tactical rhythm of this contest.

If Sunderland avoid early setbacks, their home discipline and superior game management should gradually tilt the balance. Burnley’s away fragility and lack of cutting edge make sustained pressure difficult to maintain.

With Sunderland unbeaten at home all season and Burnley deeply vulnerable late in matches, the hosts look well placed to respond to last weekend’s defeat. Expect a measured first half followed by Sunderland control after the break.